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Weather Gauge Advisory, LLC

SEC CIK
0001762575
Latest filing
Oct 22, 2021

The latest 13F from Weather Gauge Advisory, LLC covers Q3 2021 (filed Oct 22, 2021): 75 long positions worth $77.4M. The top 10 holdings make up 41.8% of the portfolio, and the largest is Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) at 7.8%. Livermore has 3 filings on Form 13F from this institution, going back to Q1 2021.

What changed in Q3 2021

Share counts compared with Q2 2021: how many positions were new, added to, reduced or sold out, and the biggest buys and sells. Dollar amounts are estimated at the quarter-end prices implied by the filing.

Full comparison
New
3
Est. +$186.0K
Added
12
Est. +$3.64M
Reduced
52
Est. −$3.19M
Sold out
7
Est. −$6.35M

Top 5 holdings

Share of this quarter's portfolio value

  1. JNJJohnson & Johnson
    7.8%$6.03MHistory
  2. BAMBrookfield Asset Management Ltd.
    7.4%$5.71MHistory
  3. ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Co
    5.3%$4.08MHistory
  4. TFCTruist Financial Corp
    4.3%$3.34MHistory
  5. ABBVAbbVie Inc.
    3.2%$2.45MHistory

Biggest buys

New and added positions, by estimated amount bought

  1. ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Co
    +$3.64MAddedHistory
  2. AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.
    +$112.0KNewHistory
  3. AVBAvalonbay Communities Inc
    +$74.0KNewHistory
  4. INTCIntel Corp
    +$3.46KAddedHistory
  5. PNCPNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
    +$979.01AddedHistory

Largest weight increases

New and added positions, by percentage points of the portfolio gained

  1. ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Co
    +4.63 pp0.6% → 5.3%History
  2. PFEPfizer Inc
    +0.38 pp1.8% → 2.1%History
  3. AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.
    +0.14 pp0.0% → 0.1%History
  4. PMPhilip Morris International Inc.
    +0.13 pp2.2% → 2.3%History
  5. AVBAvalonbay Communities Inc
    +0.10 pp0.0% → 0.1%History

Biggest sells

Reduced and sold-out positions, by estimated amount sold

  1. APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management Inc.
    −$4.27MSold outHistory
  2. AAPLApple Inc.
    −$1.20MReducedHistory
  3. BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.
    −$801.0KSold outHistory
  4. TAT&T Inc.
    −$427.0KSold outHistory
  5. BACBank of America Corp
    −$372.0KSold outHistory

Largest weight decreases

Reduced and sold-out positions, by percentage points of the portfolio lost

  1. APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management Inc.
    −4.97 pp5.0% → 0.0%History
  2. AAPLApple Inc.
    −3.91 pp4.6% → 0.7%History
  3. BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.
    −0.93 pp0.9% → 0.0%History
  4. TAT&T Inc.
    −0.50 pp0.5% → 0.0%History
  5. BACBank of America Corp
    −0.43 pp0.4% → 0.0%History

Metrics

13F metrics for Q3 2021, computed only from the numbers in the filings. Definitions below.

Portfolio value
$77.4M
−$8.49M (−9.9%) vs. prior quarter
Positions
75
−4 vs. prior quarter
Top 10 concentration
41.8%
Top 10 as share of value
Turnover
4.7%
Q3 2021, one quarter
Average holding period
3.0 quarters
Weighted by value

How these are calculated

  • Portfolio value: the market value of all long positions in the 13F, as reported at quarter end, excluding options.
  • Top 10 concentration: the combined value of the 10 largest positions as a share of portfolio value.
  • Turnover: the smaller of this quarter's estimated purchases and estimated sales, divided by the average of this and last quarter's portfolio value. Estimates multiply the change in shares by the quarter-end price implied by the filing (market value divided by shares); new positions use this quarter's value and sold-out positions last quarter's. Only positions reported in shares count, and it is not calculated when the previous quarter was not filed.
  • Average holding period: how many consecutive quarters each current position has been held (including this one; a quarter without the position or without a filing starts the count over), weighted by this quarter's value. Counting starts with the first 13F in Livermore (Q1 2021), so positions held before then are understated.

13F filings by quarter

3 quarters, going back to Q1 2021. Bars show each quarter's 13F portfolio value; quarters without a filing are left blank.

Peak $85.9M (Q2 2021)

Q1 2021: $84.8MQ2 2021: $85.9MQ3 2021: $77.4M
Q1 2021Q3 2021
13F filings of Weather Gauge Advisory, LLC by quarter
QuarterFiledPositionsValueTop 3 holdingsChangesFiling
Q3 2021Oct 22, 202175$77.4MJNJBAMADMvs. Q2 2021SEC
Q2 2021Jul 21, 202179$85.9MJNJBAMAPAMvs. Q1 2021SEC
Q1 2021Apr 19, 202178$84.8MJNJBAMAPAM–SEC