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ZILLOW GROUP, INC.(Z)Q1 2026 法說會逐字稿

30 段

管理層發言

OperatorOperator

Hello, and welcome to Zillow Group's First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Call. Operator instructions were provided. Also, as a reminder, this conference call is being recorded today. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. Brad, you may begin.

Bradley BerningInvestor Relations

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to Zillow Group's quarterly earnings call. Joining me today to discuss our results are Zillow Group's CEO, Jeremy Wacksman; and CFO, Jeremy Hofmann. During today's call, we will make forward-looking statements about our future performance and operating plans based on current expectations and assumptions. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and we encourage you to consider the risk factors described in our SEC filings for additional information. We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events, except as required by law. Please review the cautionary statement and additional information in our earnings release, which can be found on our Investor Relations website. This call is being broadcast on the Internet and is available on our Investor Relations website. A recording of the call will be available later today. During the call, we will discuss GAAP and non-GAAP measures, including adjusted EBITDA, which we refer to as EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow, which we refer to as free cash flow. We encourage you to read our shareholder letter and earnings release, which can be found on our Investor Relations website as they contain important information about our GAAP and non-GAAP results, including reconciliations of historical non-GAAP financial measures. We will open the call with remarks followed by live Q&A. And with that, I will now turn the call over to Jeremy Wacksman.

Jeremy WacksmanCEO

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Q1 was another quarter of consistent execution and continued momentum across our business. We delivered revenue near the high end of our outlook range and EBITDA above our outlook, putting us on track toward achieving our full year goals. That consistency reflects a winning strategy and a platform that is built to grow. Our strategy is straightforward: make moving easier by connecting the entire housing journey into one integrated experience, supporting both consumers and the professionals who serve them. In For Sale, that encompasses shopping, touring, financing, agent collaboration and closing for consumers as well as a suite of agent software tools to make them more efficient at serving clients. And in rentals, it spans search, tours, applications, leases and payments. This integration is what drives better outcomes for everyone involved and fuels our growth. Roughly 80% of our traffic comes directly to us, and we have more than twice the daily active app users of our next closest competitor. Buyers, sellers, renters and professionals choose Zillow because we build experiences that they trust and come back to. Our Q1 results reflect continued execution and progress across the business. Total revenue increased 18% year-over-year in the first quarter, near the high end of our outlook range. We once again outperformed the broader housing market, which stayed essentially flat amid worse-than-expected weather and interest rate volatility. EBITDA exceeded our outlook, driven by lower cost than planned, and we reported $46 million of net income. We made further progress on margin expansion with net income margin up more than 500 basis points year-over-year. In For Sale, revenue grew 12% year-over-year in Q1 to $514 million, with 8% growth in residential revenue and 56% growth in mortgages revenue. Our For Sale performance outpaced industry transaction trends, which were roughly flat and reflects our ability to convert more high-intent movers as we improve outcomes for consumers through a more integrated experience. In rentals, Q1 revenue was up 42% year-over-year, driven by 57% growth in multifamily revenue. We are gaining wallet share for broad-based marketing spend with multifamily property managers as they continue to see strong ROI we are providing to their businesses. Our results this quarter reflect our ability to innovate and grow the business while delivering sustainable profitability regardless of macro conditions. Before I give more detailed updates on what's driving our results in both For Sale and rentals, I want to spend a moment on our company strategy and on how we're using AI to accelerate it. We laid out our thinking on this at our AI Investor Summit in March, and I'll reiterate it here. We have been building advanced technology in residential real estate for 20 years from the Zestimate to the mobile revolution to computer vision and beyond. We are now in the next chapter of that arc, and we believe Zillow is uniquely positioned to lead real estate in this chapter as well, thanks to three advantages: content, context and integration. These advantages are difficult to replicate and differentiate us from horizontal large language models and from other real estate companies. First, content. We have the most comprehensive and increasingly differentiated housing inventory in the country across existing For Sale homes, new construction homes and rentals. Content that is elevated by proprietary rich media, Zillow 3D home tours, interactive floor plans, virtual staging and SkyTour. More than 10% of new For Sale listings on Zillow today include Zillow 3D home tours and interactive floor plans, and we expect rich media to become the standard that buyers and sellers demand for every listing. That growing coverage is already making the consumer experience better. Over time, it will help make our AI more capable. Our second advantage is context. Seventy percent of everyone who buys or sells a home in America uses Zillow during the process, spending an average of two to three hours a week over five months. They are not just browsing. They're saving homes, they're booking tours, they're determining their buyability range, messaging with their agents and loan officers and preparing to make offers. That activity spanning every point in the transaction is sustained, deep intent that Zillow uniquely sees and understands. And it is the context that compounds into a unique scale data advantage. Zillow doesn't just see the search or the first question. We see the homes someone returns to every day, the affordability calculations, the conversations with loan officers, the deals closed. That full advantage is what allows us to do more than answer generic listing questions. We can answer personalized questions, anticipate what a consumer needs to do next and actually help them take that action. This leads to our third advantage, integration. For buyers and sellers, we connect marketing, search, touring, financing and closing into a single coherent experience interwoven with agent workflows. Tools that operate only at the top of the funnel can only answer surface level questions, summarizing listings, providing market data, setting a search filter. But Zillow operates at the core of the transaction, not around the edges of it. We handle the complexity, understand the full picture and help consumers and professionals take action. That's what Zillow is delivering. A buyer can understand whether they can afford a home through buyability, see available time and book a tour through ShowingTime, receive a preapproved loan scenario from Zillow Home Loans and connect with a Zillow preferred agent who already knows their search history and preferences through our robust CRM system, Follow Up Boss, all within a single continuous experience. These three advantages are built on something that matters just as much as the technology itself: two decades of operating in one of the most regulated and complex transaction categories. Structural complexity in housing shapes what AI can do and what it takes to do it well. Transactions are high dollar, high stakes, highly personal and for most people, they happen only a handful of times over their entire lifetime. There are hundreds of thousands of brokers working across several hundred MLSs powering 1.5 million real estate agents. We spent 20 years navigating this landscape, putting in place the industry relationships and the infrastructure to provide products and services directly for the transaction, not just observe it from the outside. Our long history of innovation and investment enable us to deliver value that only increases as AI capabilities grow. At our AI Summit last month, we also debuted Zillow's new consumer-facing AI mode experience. This new way of engaging throughout our site is live for about 5% of our audience so far, which equates to availability for millions of users, and we plan to expand access this year as we continue to test, learn and refine the experience, consistent with how we approach all major product rollouts. Early signals are encouraging. Zillow users in AI mode are having deeper, more substantive conversations than they do in traditional search, and we are seeing more actionable engagement as a result. As just one of many examples of how users are engaging throughout the transaction life cycle, a recent AI mode user had 16 conversations across 10 days researching neighborhoods in Sonoma County, California, comparing areas, tracking sold properties, asking for shareable maps to discuss with a partner and referencing their agent in Santa Rosa. They are now under contract to buy one of the homes they found through this robust experience. That is the arc Zillow covers, guiding the consumer from the very first question to keys in hand. We are also empowering the professional at every step, embedding AI throughout the agent and loan officer experience to help them better serve customers and work more efficiently. This makes our platform increasingly indispensable to the professionals who drive the most volume in this industry. Consider what a high-performing agent's day looks like, juggling multiple active clients while simultaneously running a pipeline of hundreds, prospecting for new listings, negotiating offers and having the key conversations that move deals forward. Follow Up Boss, which top agents in the country rely on to manage their businesses, is becoming an AI-powered workflow engine that handles coordination, prioritization and outreach, so agents can stay focused on the judgment, advocacy, trust and human relationships that get deals done. The result is that great agents become, in effect, super agents who can take on more transactions at higher quality without more hours, all enabled by Zillow. Just as AI is making our two-sided marketplace work smarter on both sides in For Sale, the same is true in rentals. For renters, it's powering more personalized search and helping surface the right next step, whether that's scheduling a tour, submitting an application or understanding financial readiness for a future home purchase. For property managers using AI Assist, it's streamlining lead management, application screening and lease coordination, reducing friction at every step of the transaction. Our commitment to AI fuel efficiency doesn't stop at our consumer and professional products. It runs all the way through how Zillow itself operates. We are rapidly becoming an AI-native company. Internally, we're already seeing what that means in practice. Our engineers are shipping 40% more code per engineer at the same or higher quality. Product and design teams are prototyping faster and taking features from concept to launch in a matter of days, and our employees are using AI to reinvent and streamline their workflows. We are investing to make AI a foundational capability for our employee base, channeling productivity gains directly back into building more and building faster, so the benefits compound over time. We have spent two decades building the content, the context and the integration that differentiate Zillow from others in our category. Now we are powered by AI across every layer of our company in our products, in our professional tools and in how we build. All that depth of capability positions Zillow to lead real estate in the AI era. Now I'll walk you through more details on how our strategy is coming to life in each area of our business, starting with For Sale. Our thesis is straightforward. Integration improves outcomes. When marketing, search, touring, financing and agent collaboration work together, every participant in the transaction gets a better result. Buyers and sellers move forward with confidence, agents close more deals and Zillow captures more of the opportunity already flowing through our funnel. Here's how that thesis continues to prove out for buyers, sellers and their real estate agents. For buyers, the integrated experience begins the moment they start shopping. Buyability, a tool from Zillow Home Loans that helps buyers understand what they can realistically afford before they tour or make an offer, has enrolled 4.3 million users as of the end of Q1, up from 3.6 million at the end of 2025. Buyers see real value in Zillow Home Loans affordability tools, competitive rates, free appraisals for eligible buyers and fast loan officer response times. Purchase loan origination volume grew by 96% year-over-year to a record $1.5 billion in Q1, and Zillow Home Loans is now a top 25 purchase lender. Zillow Home Loans averages double-digit adoption rates across our enhanced markets, where the integrated transaction experience is most fully realized as we help agents and loan officers better serve buyers. Enhanced markets accounted for 49% of our connections in Q1, up from 44% in Q4 and well on our way to our target of at least 75%. Our new shop with pre-approval feature, which is now available across our entire platform, takes the integration a step further. Buyers who have a Zillow Home Loans verified pre-approval in hand now get a clearer view of the monthly cost of ownership and whether a listing is within their pre-approval budget. It makes the shopping experience more grounded and actionable, signals to us and agents that a buyer is higher intent, and it is one of the clearest expressions yet of what our integrated platform can do to help a buyer shop with confidence. Shop with pre-approval is unique to Zillow, and it works in concert with our tool called My Agent, which lets buyers designate the agent they're working with, regardless of whether they're a Zillow preferred agent, and shop alongside them, making a buyer's whole team present and accessible as they use Zillow. Messaging on the Zillow app then threads it all together by letting a buyer, agent and loan officer communicate in one place. We're also bringing co-shoppers into a cohesive integrated experience because a significant portion of buyers aren't going it alone. On Zillow, buyers can search and collaborate with a co-shopper in real time. This capability became available earlier this year and is already driving better buyer engagement because it brings a naturally collaborative part of the home buying journey into Zillow's integrated ecosystem where those discussions can be acted on. For sellers, we continue to expand our suite of products designed to provide differentiated ways to market homes and achieve stronger results. Zillow Preview gives pre-market listings broad public exposure on the most visited real estate platform in America. Unlike premarketing in a private listing network, Preview puts listings in front of the buying public from day one. With Preview, sellers can build interest and get real-time signals—views, saves, tour scheduling, requests—from Zillow's massive audience of deeply engaged users, which is pricing intelligence they can actually use. Preview listings surface right in a buyer's regular Zillow search and recommendations—no insider access required. Yesterday, we announced a new Preview collaboration with realtor.com, extending the visibility of Preview listings across the two most visited real estate platforms in the country. This wide exposure benefits sellers, buyers and agents with unrestricted access to the inventory in more places. New Harris Poll survey data backs up why this matters. Nearly nine in ten Americans would be interested in viewing prelisted homes online if they were buying a home and 85% of soon-to-be sellers said they'd be more likely to hire an agent who can premarket their home to the broadest online audience. So it is no wonder agent adoption of Zillow Preview has moved so quickly. We announced Preview just seven weeks ago with five initial brokerage partners, and we have since added more than 60 brokerages. We are currently onboarding agents to use Preview, and we're excited about the significant agent demand as we launch and scale it. After Zillow Preview builds initial momentum and the listing goes active, sellers and agents can choose Zillow Showcase to maximize impact. Showcase listings provide an immersive high-impact listing experience that includes interactive floor plans, 3D tours, virtual staging and SkyTour, and they drive more engagement and sell faster and for more money than non-Showcase listings. Zillow Showcase was on 4.3% of new listings in Q1, up from 3.7% in Q4. Agents using Showcase on the majority of their listings win more new listings than peers who don't, which is why adoption continues to grow, including through recent enterprise-level agreements with some of the country's largest brokers and franchisors. Together, Preview and Showcase give sellers and their agents a complete marketing toolkit for the listing lifecycle. For professionals, the tools and infrastructure Zillow provides on both sides of the transaction can increasingly function as an operating system for modern real estate. Follow Up Boss is the customer relationship management system of choice for more than 80% of the highest-volume real estate teams in the country. It's seen more than 70% growth in monthly active users since Zillow acquired it at the end of 2023. ShowingTime enables tours on 90% of all homes for sale in the country. Forty million tours were booked through the platform last year, and dotloop facilitates closings on nearly half of all transactions nationwide. Each of these is a significant product in its own right. Connected, they power the transaction from the first signal that a consumer is shopping to the final closing document. Zillow Pro brings it all together, giving agents a single connected system to manage all of their clients, including those who originated outside the Zillow ecosystem. Zillow Pro is in beta and already drawing meaningful interest with more than 12,000 agents using the product so far. It's on track for a broader nationwide rollout in the second half of this year. Over time, we expect Zillow Pro to reinforce our role as a long-term partner for real estate professionals across their entire business. All of our For Sale solutions point to the same conclusion. The more integrated the experience, the better the outcome for buyers, for sellers, for agents, for loan officers and for Zillow. We are executing against our $1 billion incremental mid-cycle revenue target in For Sale and the momentum we are building gives us conviction about the path ahead. In rentals, we are building something that has not previously existed in the category: a true comprehensive two-sided marketplace that brings together the most and the widest variety of listings, high-intent demand and modern transaction tools. Our strategy is twofold. First, we're building a trusted destination for renters to find every type of property from single-family homes to large apartment communities. Second, we're modernizing the rental transaction itself, streamlining how renters and property managers connect and manage applications, leases and payments. We reached an all-time high of 76,000 multifamily properties as of the end of Q1, up from 55,000 properties a year ago. Combining this with our industry-leading inventory of long-tail rentals, the smaller buildings and single-family homes, Zillow had 2.7 million average monthly active rental listings in Q1, the most in the category. Zillow Rentals attracted 36 million average monthly unique visitors in Q1. And because of our relentless focus on the consumer experience, renters rate Zillow as their number one preferred platform. High-quality audience engagement translates to strong outcomes for our partners. Property managers tell us Zillow delivers the highest return on marketing investment in our category compared with not just other rental platforms, but other digital marketing options available to them, including search and social. They keep renewing and upgrading their presence on Zillow as a result of the ROI we provide, and we see a significant opportunity to keep growing wallet share from here and capture more of the marketing dollars currently being spent on other advertising platforms. Multifamily was the engine behind our 42% year-over-year increase in rentals revenue in Q1. Our continued growth in rentals is a reflection of what happens when you build real value and improve the transaction experience on both sides of the marketplace, and we're not stopping there. For example, the total monthly price feature we launched recently lets property managers display the all-in cost of a rental. That gives renters a clearer picture and property managers a differentiated way to present their inventory. In April, we launched two new tools for multifamily property managers: a live analytics dashboard that gives partners a single place to track portfolio performance, benchmark against marketing trends and make smarter leasing and advertising decisions; and a paid social product that puts their listings in front of renters on Instagram, Facebook and TikTok, fully built and managed by Zillow. The two are designed to work together, identify which units need more traffic in the dashboard, then dial up social reach instantly. It's all part of the growing list of ways Zillow's rental platform is leveling up for our partners and making it easier for them to fill units faster. The same principles driving our For Sale strategy apply in rentals. Transparency builds trust, integration drives efficiency and a better experience on both sides of the marketplace compounds over time. Rentals revenue has grown at an average of 32% annually since 2022, significantly outpacing the broader rental advertising market. And because nearly every buyer starts as a renter, our progress in rentals continues to expand the top of Zillow's funnel overall and contribute to durable growth across the business. With a clear path toward our incremental mid-cycle target of $1 billion or more in annual revenue, rentals is one of our most compelling growth opportunities. Before I turn it over to our CFO, Jeremy Hofmann, I want to step back and put this quarter in context. We delivered 18% revenue growth, net income of $46 million, net income margin expansion and continued growth in both For Sale and rentals, all against a housing market that was essentially flat. Our revenue has consistently outperformed industry total transaction value for more than three years now. That kind of performance in this kind of environment does not happen by accident. It reflects the durability of a multiyear strategy that is designed to perform across market cycles and a platform that operates across the entire housing transaction that consumers trust and return to throughout a month's long journey and that professionals rely on every day to run their businesses. Underpinning all of it is a strong brand; millions of people come to Zillow for help making one of the biggest financial decisions of their lives. We earn the trust of consumers and professionals by consistently showing up for them at every stage of the housing journey. It's why roughly 80% of our traffic comes directly to us. It's why Zillow is searched more often than the term real estate. It's why we have more than twice the daily active app users of our next closest competitor. And it's why Zillow is the only large company in our category that has increased the amount of real estate audience we reach over the past six quarters according to Comscore. When people are ready to move, Zillow is where they start and increasingly where they stay to take the next step and the next. We are focused on helping more people move with confidence, delivering real value to the professionals who serve them and creating long-term value for shareholders. We're on track toward achieving our full year goals, and we are in control of our own path. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jeremy.

Jeremy HofmannCFO

Thanks, Jeremy, and good afternoon, everyone. We delivered excellent results in Q1 and are well positioned to continue delivering strong performance as we execute on our strategy in 2026 and beyond. In Q1, we generated revenue of $708 million, up 18% year-over-year and near the high end of our outlook range. EBITDA of $182 million was above the high end of our outlook range, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 26%, which was flat year-over-year. Excluding $11 million of incremental year-over-year legal costs, EBITDA would have been $193 million in Q1, representing a 27% margin and 160 basis points of margin expansion. We reported net income of $46 million with a net income margin of 6%, up more than 500 basis points year-over-year. Share-based compensation expense was down 16% year-over-year. Diluted net income per share was $0.19 compared to $0.03 a year ago. We generated $127 million of free cash flow in the quarter, a 44% increase compared with the same period a year ago. Now let me take you through the details of the quarter. Our For Sale revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $514 million. Within the For Sale revenue category, residential revenue of $450 million was up 8% year-over-year and in line with our growth outlook. The majority of the increase in residential revenue was due to growth in Zillow Preferred, primarily driven by the expansion of connections alongside our enhanced markets growth and strong conversion for our preferred partners. Zillow Showcase, our suite of agent software tools and new construction were also contributors to residential revenue growth. Market-based pricing revenue continues to decline as we transition the majority of our agent-related activity to our preferred partners. Within the For Sale revenue category, mortgages revenue increased 56% year-over-year to $64 million, above our outlook for 40% growth as we saw better-than-expected conversion rates from customers in our pipeline. Purchase loan origination volume growth accelerated to 96% year-over-year, which was the main driver of our mortgages revenue growth. Our results continue to demonstrate that Zillow Home Loans has an attractive value proposition for buyers. Note that as Zillow Home Loans continues to scale, the gap between loan origination volume growth and mortgages revenue growth will continue to narrow over time. Rentals continues to be one of our most exciting growth stories. Q1 revenue of $183 million grew 42% year-over-year with multifamily revenue up 57%. We reached 76,000 total properties on the platform, up 38% from a year ago, a milestone that reflects the strength of our value proposition with property managers. The growth algorithm here is straightforward and working. Add more properties, deliver best-in-class ROI and capture more wallet share. We see a clear path to $1 billion or more in annual rentals revenue, and Q1 is another data point confirming we're on track. We produced strong growth in the quarter despite tougher-than-expected macro conditions with winter weather and higher interest rates impacting For Sale shopping activity. As a result, the real estate industry grew 2% as reported by NAR, and we estimate purchase mortgage origination volume declined 1% year-over-year. Q1 EBITDA expenses of $526 million were below our outlook of $535 million to $540 million as we benefited from lower people-related and legal costs than we anticipated. We ended the quarter with cash and investments of $788 million, down from $1.3 billion at the end of 2025. We repurchased $626 million of our stock during the quarter, a meaningful level of activity that reflects our conviction in the long-term value of the business and our commitment to returning capital when the opportunity is compelling. This resulted in our diluted shares outstanding declining from 256 million shares a year ago to 240 million shares at quarter end. As of the end of March, we have approximately $1.3 billion remaining under our existing authorizations. Combining our $788 million of cash and investments with our $500 million undrawn revolving credit facility, we have total liquidity of approximately $1.3 billion. This strong liquidity position gives us flexibility on our financial priorities to invest in growth, maintain an adequate risk-based capital reserve, support flexibility for potential M&A and continue to be opportunistic with share buybacks. Turning to our Q2 outlook. We expect total revenue of $750 million to $765 million, implying year-over-year growth of approximately 16% at the midpoint of our outlook range. We expect For Sale revenue growth to be similar to Q1. Within For Sale, we expect residential revenue growth of mid-single digits year-over-year. For mortgages, we continue to see a strong pipeline, which we expect puts us on track for growth at similar levels to Q1. In rentals, we expect revenue growth of approximately 30% year-over-year for the quarter. In Q2, we expect EBITDA expenses of $600 million and EBITDA of $150 million to $165 million. Our expectations include approximately $20 million of incremental legal expenses and approximately $16 million of incremental advertising spend compared to a year ago. Excluding the $20 million of anticipated incremental legal expenses year-over-year, we expect EBITDA would be approximately $170 million to $185 million in Q2, implying relatively flat year-over-year EBITDA margins. We are planning for approximately $80 million in total advertising spend in Q2, up from $64 million last year. The incremental year-over-year advertising growth is due to timing of planned product launches that were already included in our original full year outlook. Taken together, our Q1 results and Q2 outlook have us squarely on track for the full year. And importantly, the structural drivers that we expect to accelerate margins in the back half of 2026 are already in motion. Turning to our full year outlook for 2026. We continue to expect to deliver mid-teens total revenue growth, approximately 30% growth in rentals revenue and continued EBITDA margin expansion. We are updating our outlook for full year share-based compensation expense, which we now expect to be down more than 15% year-over-year versus our previous guide of down more than 10%. We expect our fixed cost base of approximately $1.1 billion to grow with inflation and believe it is the right investment level as we execute our growth strategy. For variable costs, we are continuing to invest in rentals and loan officers in Zillow Home Loans during the first half of 2026. We expect a slower pace of rentals investment in the second half of the year. This will drive variable cost growth to trend towards in line with revenue growth by year-end. We have consistently said we will be opportunistic with our advertising spend dialing it up or down depending on where we see opportunities across the business. In 2026, we plan to accelerate consumer awareness of our expanding offerings with modest growth in our advertising spend year-over-year. Our full year outlook implies margins will expand meaningfully in the back half of the year, and there are a number of drivers I will walk you through. First and foremost, our structural revenue growth drivers and cost levers are well intact. We expect these structural drivers to result in mid-teens revenue growth, EBITDA growing faster than revenue and net income growing faster than both revenue and EBITDA. From a revenue perspective, we continue to see a strong growth opportunity in 2026 and beyond. In For Sale, more consumers are receiving the integrated housing super app experience, which results in conversion improving for our preferred agents, Zillow Home Loans continuing to grow at a rapid pace and our software suite getting into the hands of more agents. When coupled with the continued growth in Zillow Showcase and new construction, our For Sale category growth prospects are solid. And of course, our rentals revenue is on a clear path to $1 billion plus in annual revenue. Our rental growth algorithm is clear: add more properties to our apps and sites and deliver best-in-class ROI to increase wallet share. The combination of our For Sale and rentals offerings are durable and growing, setting us up to succeed in any market environment. From a cost perspective, there are four key drivers to margin expansion in the second half of the year. First, we expect to continue to leverage fixed cost, which is within our control. Second, variable expense growth will decelerate as we move through the year. In the first half of 2026, we expect variable costs to be a headwind of more than 400 basis points to EBITDA margins. By year-end, we expect that headwind to be close to neutral, a meaningful swing that flows directly to the bottom line. Third, we expect that legal expenses will be an approximately 200 basis point headwind to EBITDA margins in the first half of 2026. We expect that legal expenses will be less of a headwind to margins in the second half of the year as we get through the FTC trial. Finally, our advertising spend is more heavily weighted in Q2 this year than in prior years due to planned product launches. In the back half of the year, we expect advertising to follow a more typical seasonal pattern, meaning less year-over-year pressure on margins than we're seeing now. To close, we are pleased with our results in Q1 and confident in our ability to deliver against our 2026 and mid-cycle financial targets. We are successfully executing on our strategy, and we have the right investments in place to support further revenue growth while expanding EBITDA margins, accelerating net income growth and continuing to build the platform that we believe will define how people move into their next home. And with that, operator, we'll open the line for questions.

分析師問答

OperatorOperator

Our first question today comes from Ryan McKeveny from Zelman & Associates.

Ryan McKevenyAnalyst, Zelman & Associates

So first, I wanted to dig in on Preview. Obviously, it's early days, but you've quickly ramped up broker partners. I'm curious what you're learning thus far, maybe what you're seeing in terms of reception or uptake across the landscape of brokers, agents, as well as home sellers. And then secondarily, on the relationship with realtor.com, how should we think about the strategy or the opportunity of working with them versus kind of Zillow standalone?

Jeremy WacksmanCEO

Thanks, Ryan. I'll take that. On Preview early learnings, the response really has been more than we expected. We announced it just two months ago with five partners, and now more than 60 have been announced. We are heads down on onboarding agents and franchisees and getting it into the hands of those folks, so we've been really pleased with the results. Regarding the collaboration with realtor.com, it's a win-win for both Zillow and our agent partners. Realtor.com extends the visibility of this pre-market inventory to another highly visited real estate platform, and we think that increases the value and the demand for Preview listings, which was already very strong. As a reminder, Zillow Preview brings pre-market listings in front of the public from day one. It's better for buyers; buyers can see listings, which helps homes sell faster and for more money. It's better for sellers; they can build interest and get real-time signals before they're ready to actively list the property, now from both Zillow's and realtor.com's audiences. It's still very early days, but we're excited to continue.

Ryan McKevenyAnalyst, Zelman & Associates

Great. And then on the EBITDA guidance, both in the context of Q2 and the full year, can you dig a bit more into how much of the cost is within your control to get the expected margin ramp? I'm curious both from a fixed cost and variable cost perspective and the visibility you have into the business to have confidence in the margin ramp in the back half.

Jeremy HofmannCFO

Thanks, Ryan. On Q2, two things are going on from a cost perspective. One is legal costs are up $20 million year-over-year. If you adjust for that, you'd see an EBITDA guide of $170 million to $185 million, which is more in line with margins from last year. The other is we're increasing advertising dollars by about $16 million in Q2. As we move into the back half of the year, we are confident in the full year guide for several reasons. The first half of the year in aggregate is right on plan. The structural revenue drivers across For Sale and rentals are intact and durable. Regarding costs, a lot is in our control. First, fixed costs are within our control and we expect to leverage them. Second, variable costs were a 400 basis point headwind in the first half; much of that is in our control. Our rentals investment pace slows in the back half of the year, and we expect variable expenses to be closer to neutral to EBITDA margins by year-end. Legal costs were a headwind in the first half; we expect less of a headwind in the second half as we move past the FTC trial. Finally, advertising spend is more heavily weighted in Q2 this year due to planned product launches, but in the back half we expect advertising to follow a more typical seasonal pattern. EBITDA is on track for margins to expand this year, and we feel good about it.

OperatorOperator

Our next question comes from Ron Josey at Citi.

Ronald JoseyAnalyst, Citi

Jeremy, I want to ask a little bit more on rentals here, just given the strength that we're seeing across multifamily in both properties and revenue growth. We're lapping the Redfin partnership and two in the back half of the year. Just talk about the outlook and thoughts on the broader competitive environment of rentals given that you're marching towards that $1 billion opportunity but have tougher comps in the back half. And then as a separate question, on AI mode — early days but live for 5% of the audience — just talk to lessons learned thus far and thoughts about rolling this out more broadly.

Jeremy HofmannCFO

Thanks, Ron. On rentals, we expect continued strong growth and execution in the second half of the year. Our full year guide of 30% implies second half rentals revenue growth of upper 20% even after lapping the Redfin-related revenue acceleration in the second half of last year. Looking back, in 2024 we grew rentals 27%; in 2025 we grew rentals revenue 39%; and we expect to grow another 30% this year. We've almost doubled the business over that period and are growing it faster in 2026 at nearly double the size. The opportunity from here still feels early because our strategy to aggregate supply across single-family rentals and apartments is differentiated, and the value proposition to consumers and advertisers is compelling. We expect continued growth from here.

Jeremy WacksmanCEO

To add, that's part of why we have the $1 billion target but don't see that as the end state. We are at around 76,000 multifamily buildings out of roughly 140,000–150,000 possible buildings, and we provide very high ROI for advertisers, which gives a long runway for multifamily rentals growth. Our twofold strategy—multifamily plus single-family and long tail—creates a one-stop shop for renters with 2.7 million rental listings. Property management tools for semi-pros and long-tail professionals will contribute more services and integration over time. On AI mode, it's early at 5% of the audience, but we're getting strong signals from millions of users. Users in AI mode are having deeper, more substantive conversations than in traditional search; that activity can be incremental because people ask and discuss things that don't fit into a search filter. That deeper engagement keeps people on Zillow longer, offering more value, and tends to produce higher-intent customers who convert better when they engage loan officers or agents. Our long-term structural advantage is the combination of content, context and integration. As AI-enabled services become expected in the category, Zillow's integrated platform gives us a unique ability to build the best AI experience that understands consumers, supercharges professionals and reduces friction across the transaction.

OperatorOperator

Our next question comes from Brad Erickson at RBC Capital Markets.

Brad EricksonAnalyst, RBC Capital Markets

Can you hear me? So residential started the year a little softer. What's underpinning the back half confidence in your guide? Markets clearly weakened starting out the quarter. How much cushion is in your outlook and what market assumptions are you embedding for For Sale and residential in particular? Second, mortgage performance picked up — the critique is around the lower margin profile. How should investors think about the mortgage segment, its margins and how you expect them to evolve over time?

Jeremy HofmannCFO

Thanks, Brad. On the back half, we're planning for the housing market to continue to be effectively flat. It started the year slower than anticipated due to weather and rates, and we're not planning for that to get better. Against that backdrop, we expect mid-single-digit growth in residential and For Sale growth to be faster than residential because mortgages are outperforming expectations and the enhanced markets playbook is working regardless of housing market conditions. Rentals remain a bright spot and a key growth driver. When combined, total revenue stays on track for mid-teens growth due to diversification and structural growth drivers. Regarding mortgage margins, we're making great progress growing the mortgage business, but we're not yet at scale. Margins are improving. We're seeing better loan officer and processor productivity — for example, last year loan officer productivity improved 11% despite a 40% increase in loan officer count. Over time, as we scale, margin dollars will be compelling because we don't spend the same amount on customer acquisition as a typical lender, and origination is well-suited to AI applications. So think of mortgages as a nascent but high-potential business for revenue and margin dollars as we scale and integrate with the broader platform.

OperatorOperator

Our next question comes from Nick Jones of BNP Paribas.

Nicholas JonesAnalyst, BNP Paribas

A follow-up on rentals. As that business continues to grow, is there a threshold where product velocity on the rental side starts to look like what you've done in residential? As you approach the $1 billion threshold, might your posture on the segment change? And more broadly, as you build this end-to-end stack, are you getting more visibility into consumer behavior than historically — for example, seeing pre-approvals — and does that give you better signals on how the macro environment is evolving?

Jeremy WacksmanCEO

I don't think our posture will change. We're excited about progressing toward the $1 billion target, and we don't see that as the end. The strategy and penetration are strong: we have a large runway with multifamily coverage and a compelling ROI for advertisers. Our twofold approach—multifamily plus single-family and long-tail—creates scale and breadth, and property management tools and services will continue to expand. Regarding visibility into consumer behavior, that's been our strategy for the last decade: moving down funnel and becoming a transaction platform. When you're the software platform for buyers—helping them get preapproved, book tours, virtually tour, hire an agent, message, write offers and close—you capture rich context. On the agent side, Follow Up Boss provides that same depth of data to help agents be more responsive. That combined consumer and professional context gives us unparalleled insight in the category and helps us build a more capable AI platform that can deliver highly personalized and actionable experiences.

Jeremy HofmannCFO

To add, solving the consumer problem means giving them as much inventory as possible, and consumers are often both renters and prospective buyers. Aggregating inventory across For Sale homes, apartments, new homes and existing homes gives us great context and relationships over multiple transactions. If we do a good job on rentals, we can earn the right to expand For Sale relationships when that person becomes a buyer, which is central to our strategy.

OperatorOperator

Our next question comes from John Colantuoni at Jefferies.

John ColantuoniAnalyst, Jefferies

Can you hear me? First, on residential revenue growth, can you help reconcile the slowdown you're expecting in Q2 relative to your view that the housing market will bounce along the bottom? Is there anything transitory and are you expecting a pickup in the second half? Second, talk a bit about early responses from agents and sellers regarding Zillow Preview and why you think you've got the right approach relative to alternatives.

Jeremy HofmannCFO

John, for Q2, the market started out slower than folks anticipated due to weather and rates, which impacted sentiment and agent sentiment heading into the spring selling season. That affects what agents are willing to buy and can cause MVP to lag. We're not planning for a recovery in transaction volume through the year, so that is reflected in the residential outlook. The enhanced markets strategy, however, is clearly working and is our primary focus. The margin movement you see is largely around the MVP segment.

Jeremy WacksmanCEO

On Preview, the strong response shows that broad public exposure is widely desired. The majority of sellers want to sell for the most money and fastest, and making a home available to a broad pool of buyers helps achieve that. That's reflected in the consumer sentiment data we shared and the quick adoption among brokers and agents in the first two months. We're excited to continue scaling Preview.

OperatorOperator

Our final question today comes from Nikhil Devnani at Bernstein.

Nikhil DevnaniAnalyst, Bernstein

Following up on earlier questions around revenue guidance: Is there an expectation that residential improves from mid-single digits in the back half? Or is mid-teens total revenue growth achievable even if mid-single-digit residential is the run rate for the rest of the year?

Jeremy HofmannCFO

Nikhil, housing has been effectively flat and we're not planning for improvement. Against that backdrop, the mid-teens guide is driven by mid-single-digit residential growth, For Sale growing faster than residential because of enhanced markets and mortgages, and strong rentals growth. Together, these layers result in mid-teens total revenue growth without assuming a macro improvement from Q1.

OperatorOperator

This completes the allotted time for questions. I will now turn the call back over to Jeremy Wacksman for closing remarks. Thank you.

Jeremy WacksmanCEO

Great. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today and for staying a few minutes longer. We really appreciate your continued support. We are tremendously excited for what's ahead, and we look forward to speaking with you next quarter. Thanks all.

OperatorOperator

Thank you for joining Zillow Group's First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Call. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

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