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October Effect Ltd

SEC CIK
0002078353
Latest filing
Oct 20, 2026

The latest 13F from October Effect Ltd covers Q3 2026 (filed Oct 20, 2026): 62 long positions worth $98.3M. The top 10 holdings make up 46.8% of the portfolio, and the largest is NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) at 8.5%. Livermore has 6 filings on Form 13F from this institution, going back to Q2 2025.

What changed in Q3 2026

Full comparison

Share counts compared with Q2 2026: how many positions were new, added to, reduced or sold out, and the biggest buys and sells. Dollar amounts are estimated at the quarter-end prices implied by the filing.

New
4
Est. +$1.56M
Added
20
Est. +$6.59M
Reduced
28
Est. −$4.59M
Sold out
6
Est. −$4.36M

Top 5 holdings

Share of this quarter's portfolio value

  1. NVDANVIDIA Corp
    8.5%$8.33MHistory
  2. WDCWestern Digital Corp
    5.5%$5.38MHistory
  3. METAMeta Platforms, Inc.
    5.1%$5.02MHistory
  4. State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF78468R663
    4.7%$4.65M
  5. AMDAdvanced Micro Devices Inc
    4.5%$4.39MHistory

Share of portfolio

Top 5 holdings and the other 57 positions, by share of portfolio value

  1. NVDA8.5%
  2. WDC5.5%
  3. META5.1%
  4. State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF4.7%
  5. AMD4.5%
  6. Other 57 positions71.8%

Biggest buys

New and added positions, by estimated amount bought

  1. Neos ETF Trust78433H675
    +$2.79MAdded
  2. Direxion Shs ETF Tr25459W458
    +$977.9KAdded
  3. Calamos ETF Tr12811T571
    +$831.3KNew
  4. State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF78468R663
    +$701.8KAdded
  5. GOOGLAlphabet Inc.
    +$322.7KAddedHistory

Largest weight increases

New and added positions, by percentage points of the portfolio gained

  1. Neos ETF Trust78433H675
    +2.89 pp0.8% → 3.7%
  2. State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF78468R663
    +1.02 pp3.7% → 4.7%
  3. Calamos ETF Tr12811T571
    +0.85 pp0.0% → 0.8%
  4. SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
    +0.59 pp2.9% → 3.5%History
  5. PSLVSprott Physical Silver Trust
    +0.47 pp2.3% → 2.8%History

Biggest sells

Reduced and sold-out positions, by estimated amount sold

  1. ORCLOracle Corp
    −$1.46MReducedHistory
  2. SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp
    −$1.11MSold outHistory
  3. NBISNebius Group N.V.
    −$1.08MSold outHistory
  4. AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.
    −$992.6KReducedHistory
  5. State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF78464A631
    −$693.6KSold out

Largest weight decreases

Reduced and sold-out positions, by percentage points of the portfolio lost

  1. WDCWestern Digital Corp
    −2.08 pp7.6% → 5.5%History
  2. AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.
    −1.98 pp3.5% → 1.5%History
  3. ORCLOracle Corp
    −1.44 pp3.0% → 1.5%History
  4. SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp
    −1.04 pp1.0% → 0.0%History
  5. NBISNebius Group N.V.
    −1.01 pp1.0% → 0.0%History

Metrics

13F metrics for Q3 2026, computed only from the numbers in the filings. Definitions below.

Portfolio value
$98.3M
−$8.04M (−7.6%) vs. prior quarter
Positions
62
−2 vs. prior quarter
Top 10 concentration
46.8%
Top 10 as share of value
Turnover
8.0%
Q3 2026, one quarter
Average holding period
4.8 quarters
Weighted by value

How these are calculated

  • Portfolio value: the market value of all long positions in the 13F, as reported at quarter end, excluding options.
  • Top 10 concentration: the combined value of the 10 largest positions as a share of portfolio value.
  • Turnover: the smaller of this quarter's estimated purchases and estimated sales, divided by the average of this and last quarter's portfolio value. Estimates multiply the change in shares by the quarter-end price implied by the filing (market value divided by shares); new positions use this quarter's value and sold-out positions last quarter's. Only positions reported in shares count, and it is not calculated when the previous quarter was not filed.
  • Average holding period: how many consecutive quarters each current position has been held (including this one; a quarter without the position or without a filing starts the count over), weighted by this quarter's value. Counting starts with the first 13F in Livermore (Q2 2025), so positions held before then are understated.

13F filings by quarter

6 quarters, going back to Q2 2025. Bars show each quarter's 13F portfolio value; quarters without a filing are left blank.

Peak $106.3M (Q2 2026)

Q2 2025: $82.9MQ3 2025: $90.7MQ4 2025: $90.8MQ1 2026: $86.8MQ2 2026: $106.3MQ3 2026: $98.3M
Q2 2025Q3 2026
13F filings of October Effect Ltd by quarter
QuarterFiledPositionsValueTop 3 holdingsChangesFiling
Q3 2026Oct 20, 202662$98.3MNVDAWDCMETAvs. Q2 2026SEC
Q2 2026Jul 21, 202664$106.3MWDCNVDAINTCvs. Q1 2026SEC
Q1 2026Apr 21, 202664$86.8MNVDAPSLVState Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETFvs. Q4 2025SEC
Q4 2025Jan 20, 202661$90.8MNVDAMETAState Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETFvs. Q3 2025SEC
Q3 2025Oct 31, 202555$90.7MState Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETFNVDAMETAvs. Q2 2025SEC
Q2 2025Aug 11, 202552$82.9MNVDAMETAState Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF–SEC