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FreightCar America, Inc.(RAIL)Q3 2024 法說會逐字稿

33 段

管理層發言

OperatorOperator

Welcome to FreightCar America’s Third Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participant lines are in a listen-only mode. For those of you participating on the conference call, there will be an opportunity for your questions at the end of today’s prepared comments. Please note this conference is being recorded. An audio replay of the conference call will be available on the company’s website within a few hours after this call. I would now like to turn the call over to Chris O'Dea with Riverton Investor Relations.

Chris O'DeaInvestor Relations

Thank you, and welcome. Joining me today are Nicholas Randall, President and Chief Executive Officer; Mike Riordan, Chief Financial Officer; and Matthew Tonn, Chief Commercial Officer. I would like to remind everyone that statements made during this conference call relating to the company’s expected future performance, future business prospects, or future events or plans may include forward-looking statements as defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Participants are directed to FreightCar America’s Form 10-K for a description of certain business risks, some of which may be outside the control of the company and may cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. We expressly disclaim any duty to provide updates to our forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

During today's call, there will also be a discussion of some items that do not conform to U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in the earnings release issued yesterday afternoon. Our earnings release for the third quarter of 2024 is posted on the company's website at freightcaramerica.com, along with Form 8-K, which was filed pre-market. With that, let me now turn the call over to Nick for a few opening remarks.

Nicholas RandallCEO

Thank you, Chris. Good morning, everyone, and thank you all for joining us today. This quarter marked another strong step in building on momentum from our record-setting start to the year. I'm pleased to report we remain on track to achieve our annual goals. We continue to execute our strategy of driving efficiencies at our state-of-the-art facility, enabling us to meet the unique needs of our customers by producing premium railcars, conversions, and rebodies along with providing exceptional parts and services. In terms of financial performance, we grew top line sales significantly, increasing 83% over the prior year period and delivered another quarter of consistently solid gross margins of 14.3% and a second consecutive quarter of robust operating cash flow. This quarter highlights our differentiated product offerings and ability to deliver on our commitments with operational excellence.

We managed multiple changeovers throughout the quarter, marked by robust shipments to customers. During the quarter, we were pleased with our performance as we delivered 961 railcars, just shy of last quarter's record output at our operating facility. We stand out in the industry due to our unique manufacturing capabilities and our operational flexibility, enabling us to meet diverse customer needs. By delivering differentiated products, we secure new business and improve our earnings quality. Our commercialization strategy is also distinct with nearly all market routes supported by independent financing options. This focused approach allows us to stay nimble, efficiently handle smaller orders and take on specialized projects as well as larger orders. Unlike competitors who both manufacture and lease, our exclusive manufacturing role enhances our appeal, allowing us to partner more freely with a wide range of leasing providers.

As proof of our flexibility to meet our customers' needs, we can partner with key shippers, positioning ourselves to consistently win high-quality work. For our large Covered Hopper, we have refined design enhancements including a lightweight structure and high-cubic capacity that provide additional optimization for our customers. This will be the first time we've produced this design of Covered Hoppers at our operating facility, which is being purposefully designed to help maximize payloads and transport efficiency. This underscores the value of our tailored solutions that address specific customer requirements. In terms of market dynamics, while the third quarter was slower regarding industry activity, we have continued to grow our market presence by capturing a historically strong proportion of orders and inquiries. On a trailing 12-month basis through September, we have gained 3% of share sequentially despite orders across the overall industry being down roughly 20%.

This steady flow of momentum and outperformance has been a hallmark of our commercial discipline this year as we continue to secure high-quality orders across our differentiated portfolio. Demand for railcars remained stable, largely tracking replacement cycles, and we expect this industry momentum to further support our business model as our pipeline grows. As we look to close out the year, we are confident in our market position. We're reaffirming our full-year revenue and railcar delivery expectations and raising the midpoint by narrowing our forecasted adjusted EBITDA range between $37 million and $39 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 89% at the midpoint. Looking ahead, we continue to see strong demand across various product lines, which will have a positive impact as we enter 2025, and we look forward to executing on our long-term growth prospects. Our focus remains clear: enhancing our product portfolio, capturing market share, and leveraging our proven manufacturing platform to drive sustained growth and cash generation.

In my eyes, delivering strong results year-to-date is a significant achievement, and we're excited to carry this momentum into the fourth quarter, continuing to build a business that thrives on consistently meeting demand through our operational versatility. With that, I will next turn the call over to Matt to discuss the market and then to Mike for more detail on our financial results.

Matthew TonnCRO

Thank you, Nick, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased with our progress and are well positioned heading into the end of the year. For the third quarter of 2024, we closed orders for 739 railcars valued at approximately $94.1 million. Excluding tank cars and autoracks, we captured 22% of industry orders on a trailing 12-month basis, led by continuing strong performance across open top hoppers and improvements in Flatcars, Gondolas, and large cube Covered Hoppers. Our improving market share is a testament to our team executing a commercial strategy that delivers value at every stage of the process. Our route to market as a pure play manufacturer, as well as our product offering focused on providing options to meet specific customer requirements, is a true differentiator. Our current product portfolio serves better than 60% of all car types by volume. Further, as reported on our Q2 earnings call, our recent order for tank car conversions of existing DOT-111 to DOT-117R tank cars is evidence of our capabilities to expand our offerings.

And finally, we continue to strengthen our portfolio, including railcar enhancements that improve carload efficiency and reduce the long-term cost of railcar ownership. All of these efforts equate to a healthy mix of car types that ensure we meet diverse customer needs. We ended the third quarter with a backlog of 3,611 railcars valued at approximately $372 million. We have experienced healthy inquiry activity and maintained a solid pipeline spanning many car types, including strong interest in conversions. Looking at the macro rail environment during the quarter, rail traffic in terms of car loadings remained relatively flat, down 1.7% year-over-year, largely driven by continued declines in coal car loadings. However, petroleum, chemicals, and agricultural commodity groups each posted positive year-over-year growth, which supports our continued focus on these car segments. With carload traffic expected to experience slight improvement as we close out 2024 and railroad key performance indicators, including velocity and dwell, largely tracking within their five-year averages, we see industry dynamics supporting new car demand consistent with 40,000 railcars each year for the foreseeable future, principally driven by replacement rates as railcars hit their mandated 50-year retirement. I'll now turn the call over to Mike for comments related to our financial performance.

Mike RiordanCFO

Thanks, Matt, and good morning, everyone. To begin, I will talk through an overview of the quarter's financial results. Third quarter financial results were strong as we delivered significant year-over-year revenue growth and maintained healthy margins. Consolidated revenues for the third quarter of 2024 totaled $113.3 million, with deliveries of 961 railcars, compared to $61.9 million on deliveries of 503 railcars in the third quarter of 2023. Gross profit in the third quarter of 2024 was $16.2 million, or a gross margin of 14.3%, compared to gross profit of $9.2 million and a gross margin of 14.9% in the third quarter of last year. The lower gross margin performance compared to the prior year was primarily driven by a mix shift in railcars delivered, with the prior year period delivering a number of conversion cars. Additionally, we saw a sequential improvement of 180 basis points from the second quarter of 2024 as we witnessed a favorable mix in car types delivered between the comparable periods.

We continue to anticipate industry-leading freight car gross margins moving forward, driven by the ongoing benefits of our facility operating at full capacity. SG&A for the third quarter of 2024 totaled $7.5 million, flat to the third quarter of 2023. Excluding stock-based compensation, SG&A as a percentage of revenue decreased 503 basis points from the prior year, further highlighting the substantial operating leverage we built into our business model. In the third quarter of 2024, we achieved adjusted EBITDA of $10.9 million, compared to $3.5 million in the third quarter of 2023, primarily driven by increased railcar deliveries between the comparable periods. For the third quarter of 2024, our adjusted net income was $7.3 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $0.8 million or a loss of $0.12 per share in the third quarter of last year. Adjusted net income accounts for the impact of certain non-cash items and non-recurring charges, such as the change in the fair market value of warrant liability, which fluctuates each quarter in line with the change in our share price during the period.

During the quarter, we recognized a $110 million non-cash charge for our warrant liability due to the appreciation in our share price during the quarter. Capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2024 were approximately $1.5 million, and our full-year forecast of capital spend has been narrowed to a range of $5 million to $6 million. As I mentioned on last quarter's call, we continue to strengthen our cash flow generation capabilities. This quarter, we delivered $7.2 million in operating cash flow, representing the second consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow and the largest operating cash flow generation in back-to-back quarters since the first quarter of 2017. As a result, we currently hold $44.8 million in cash and have no outstanding borrowings on our revolving credit facility. As we strengthen our balance sheet through strong cash flow generation, we are well positioned to enhance our capital structure and invest in continued growth and value creation for our shareholders. With that financial overview, I'd like to now open the line for questions and answers.

分析師問答

OperatorOperator

Thank you. Our first question is from Mark Reichman with Noble Capital Markets. Please proceed.

Mark ReichmanAnalyst

Yes. Would you please discuss the key ingredients for a 14% plus gross margin quarter, including the product mix? The reason I ask that question is that recognizing that the tank car conversions in 2026 and 2027 could enhance margins, along with tank car production beginning in 2028, I was just wondering about the sustainability of base margins ahead of those product introductions.

Mike RiordanCFO

Sure. Thanks, Mark. This is Mike. So in terms of mix, we had a very healthy mix of strong Gondolas, open-top Hoppers, and Flat Cars. What we saw this quarter was four lines operating at full capacity with a minimal number of changeovers. It was largely about utilization of the facility and optimizing the financial results.

Mark ReichmanAnalyst

And then Matt mentioned that demand continues to track the replacement cycle. With the incoming Trump administration, I was just wondering if the expectation for higher economic growth changes that thought, or what are your thoughts regarding the potential for tariffs?

Mike RiordanCFO

So, Matt might take the first part of it, and I'll take the second part on tariffs.

Matthew TonnCRO

Yes, I think as it relates to demand, it's still a little early to tell what will happen from an economic perspective to drive growth. When we look at overall demand and we note new plants coming online that may drive new railcar demand, it seems to fall within this 40,000 per year car demand that's tied to replacements. Looking out on the horizon, there are more than 250,000 cars that will retire in the next 5 to 10 years; they're over 40 years old. There doesn't seem to be a catalyst beyond the replacement demand that would drive new cars required for the industry above 40,000.

Mike RiordanCFO

And in terms of the tariff, to date the company has not had any tariffs directly affect our business, and we do not currently expect any future impact of tariffs on our business as of today.

Mark ReichmanAnalyst

And then just one final question, could you just provide an update on plans to recapitalize the balance sheet?

Mike RiordanCFO

Sure. That still remains our strategic objective to accomplish this year. We're working towards that, and we'll provide more updates as we have them.

OperatorOperator

Thank you. Our next question is from Brendan McCarthy with Sidoti & Company. Please proceed.

Brendan McCarthyAnalyst

Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to start off with the guidance increase for the midpoint of adjusted EBITDA for 2024. What supports that increase?

Mike RiordanCFO

Sure. The continued strong performance that we've had through the first three quarters, with plan optimization, cost optimization, and just as we approach the end of the year, we have a little more visibility and see the path to higher anticipated adjusted EBITDA for the full year based on how we've performed year to date with the high gross margins thus far.

Brendan McCarthyAnalyst

Got it. Okay. Thanks for that. And then looking at deliveries in the third quarter, what drove the variability compared to the second quarter of this year?

Nicholas RandallCEO

Good morning, Brendan. It's Nick. Our plant has, as we do some changeovers and we change from one product to another, there are timing issues as you complete those changeovers, which can affect when shipments go out of the quarter. In Q2, we were lighter on changeovers than we were in Q3, which explains the variance in total cars shipped. Nevertheless, shipping 961 cars is solid throughput for us, based on our guidance of 4,300 to 4,500 units. So we're still on track for that, and I don't expect to see anything that stops us from meeting that expectation.

Brendan McCarthyAnalyst

Understood. Thanks, Nick. And then looking at gross margins for the full year, is it still reasonable to expect gross margins for 2024 to be slightly below those of 2023? I think that was the expectation heading into the year, just with the kind of hiccups in the last quarter with the border issue. Is that still a reasonable expectation?

Mike RiordanCFO

I think we will be materially in line with last year. That is a good expectation, but we anticipate being materially in line with last year, with low single-digit gross margins for the full year. This is mainly held back by Q1, which was a lower gross margin quarter for us.

Brendan McCarthyAnalyst

Right, right. Okay. One more question for me: regarding the tank car conversion market, have you had further conversations with potential customers about an uptick in deal flow?

Matthew TonnCRO

Yes, Brendan, this is Matt. Overall, the pipeline is very strong across multiple car types, and we see strong activity and interest in tank car conversions. So that remains a clear focus as we move forward.

Brendan McCarthyAnalyst

Understood. Thanks, Matt. That's all for me.

OperatorOperator

Our next question is a follow-up question from Mark Reichman from Noble Capital Markets. Please proceed.

Mark ReichmanAnalyst

Thank you. I just had two follow-ups. The first is on the parts sales business. Would the delay in retirements of coal plants have a net positive impact on those railroads that are just holding on to their existing coal cars and have a greater need to extend their lives through parts sales? What are the real drivers of your parts sales? Is it coal cars? Could you provide some visibility there on the growth profile of that business?

Mike RiordanCFO

Sure. Hi, Mark. This is Mike. Yes, to answer your question, the delay in retirements of coal plants would have a net positive impact on our historical part sales, as the core of our business is replacement parts for the large coal fleet that FreightCar America has out in the market, as well as its ABC fleet. In terms of growth patterns, we've seen substantial year-over-year growth that will continue as we expand beyond coal and ABC markets. We view this as an attractive growth profile in helping supply aftermarket parts to Class II and Class III railroads and repair shops.

Mark ReichmanAnalyst

Thank you. And then just a follow-up, you can kind of back into it from your guidance. The first quarter was a weak margin quarter; second quarter was 12.5%, third quarter 14.3%. What are your expectations for the fourth quarter? Do you see those going back into the 12.5% range? What are the drivers for the fourth quarter?

Mike RiordanCFO

Sure. We don't generally provide quarter-by-quarter guidance, but from the implications, you can see we will be expecting gross margins to decrease sequentially from Q3 to Q4 based on our full-year guidance. A lot of that is due to the timing of changeovers since deliveries were down with the timing of changeovers at the very end of Q3, which prevented some shipments in the last two weeks that otherwise would have had deliveries on pace with Q2. Some of this is going to be mix-driven as we continue to expand market share and enter new markets. We'll see a little mix shift away from where we were in Q3, which will bring us down slightly sequentially, but still expected to remain in double digits as we anticipate ending the full year on a strong note.

Mark ReichmanAnalyst

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

OperatorOperator

This will conclude our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Nick Randall for further remarks.

Nicholas RandallCEO

Thank you. I just wanted to close in summary on a couple of things. We grew our top line significantly, increasing 83% over the prior year period and delivered another quarter of consistently solid gross margins of 14.3%. We have a strong cash position of $44.8 million with no outstanding borrowings and are well positioned with consistent quarters of strong operating cash flow generation. We captured 22% market share on a robust order intake, gaining 3% sequentially on a trailing 12-month basis. We raised the midpoint of adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year, and we continue to see strong demand across various product lines. This will have positive impacts as we enter 2025, and we look forward to executing on our long-term growth prospects. With that, I would like to thank everyone for their participation and have a great day.

OperatorOperator

Thank you. This will conclude today's teleconference.

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