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Oxford Lane Capital Corp.(OXLCO)Q2 2026 法說會逐字稿

51 段

管理層發言

OperatorModerator

Good morning, and thank you for attending the Oxford Lane Capital Corp. announcement of net asset value and selected financial results for the second fiscal quarter, along with the declaration of distributions on common stock. My name is Braca, and I will be your moderator for today. I would now like to pass the conference over to your host, Jonathan Cohen, Chief Executive Officer at Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Thank you. You may proceed, Jonathan.

Jonathan CohenCEO

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Oxford Lane Capital Corp.'s Second Fiscal Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. I'm joined today by Saul Rosenthal, our President; Bruce Rubin, our CFO; and Joe Kupka, our Managing Director. Bruce, could you open the call with the disclosure regarding forward-looking statements?

Bruce RubinCFO

Thank you, Jonathan. Today's conference call is being recorded. An audio replay of the call will be available for 30 days. Replay information is included in our press release that was issued earlier this morning. Please note that this call is the property of Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Any unauthorized rebroadcast of this call in any form is strictly prohibited. At this point, please direct your attention to the customary disclosure in this morning's press release regarding forward-looking information. Today's conference call, including forward-looking statements and projections that reflect the company's current views with respect to, among other things, future events and financial performance. We ask that you refer to our most recent filings with the SEC for important factors that can cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these projections. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements unless required to do so by law. During this call, we will use terms defined in the earnings release and also refer to non-GAAP measures. For definitions and reconciliations to GAAP, please refer to our earnings release posted on our website at www.oxfordlanecapital.com. With that, I'll turn the presentation back over to Jonathan.

Jonathan CohenCEO

Thank you, Bruce. On September 30, our net asset value per share stood at $19.19 compared to a net asset value per share of $20.60 as of the prior quarter. All prior quarter per share amounts being discussed during this call have been adjusted to reflect the 1-for-5 reverse stock split of our common stock, which became effective on September 5. For the quarter ended September, we reported GAAP total investment income of approximately $128.3 million, representing an increase of approximately $4.3 million from the prior quarter. The quarter's GAAP total investment income consisted of approximately $124.6 million from our CLO equity and CLO warehouse investments and approximately $3.7 million from our CLO debt investments and from other income. Oxford Lane recorded GAAP net investment income of approximately $81.4 million or $0.84 per share for the quarter ended September compared to approximately $75.1 million or $0.80 per share for the quarter ended June. Our core net investment income was approximately $120 million or $1.24 per share for the quarter ended September compared with approximately $112.4 million or $1.19 per share for the quarter ended June. As of September 30, we held approximately $366 million in newly issued or newly acquired CLO equity investments that had not yet made their initial distributions to Oxford Lane. For the quarter ended September, we recorded net unrealized depreciation on investments of approximately $68.5 million and net realized losses of approximately $18.1 million. We had a net decrease in net assets resulting from operations of approximately $5.3 million or $0.05 per share for the second fiscal quarter. As of September 30, the following metrics applied. We note that none of these metrics necessarily represented a total return to shareholders. The weighted average yield of our CLO debt investments at current cost was 17.4%, up from 16.9% as of June 30. The weighted average effective yield of our CLO equity investments at current cost was 14.6%, down from 14.7% as of June 30. The weighted average cash distribution yield of our CLO equity investments at current cost was 19.4%, down from 21.6% as of June 30. We note that the cash distribution yields calculated on our CLO equity investments are based on the cash distributions we received or which we were entitled to receive at each respective period end. During the quarter ended September, we issued a total of approximately 700,000 shares of our common stock pursuant to an at-the-market offering, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $14.5 million. During the quarter ended September, we repurchased a total of approximately 1.2 million shares of our common stock pursuant to our share repurchase program for approximately $20.5 million. During the quarter ended September, we made additional CLO investments of approximately $145.2 million, and we received approximately $173.5 million from sales and from repayments. On October 24, our Board of Directors declared monthly common stock distributions of $0.40 per share for each of the months ending January, February and March of 2026. With that, I'll turn the call over to our Managing Director, Joe Kupka. Joe?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

Thanks, Jonathan. During the quarter ended September 30, 2025, U.S. loan market performance remained steady versus the prior quarter. U.S. loan price index decreased from 97.07% as of June to 97.06% as of September 30. Against this backdrop, median U.S. CLO equity net asset values rose approximately 20 basis points. Additionally, we observed median weighted average spreads across loan pools within CLO portfolios decreased to 318 basis points compared to 327 basis points last quarter. The 12-month trailing default rate for the loan index increased to 1.47% by principal amount at the end of the quarter from 1.11% at the end of June 2025. We note that out-of-court restructurings, exchanges and subpar buybacks, which are not captured in the cited default rate remain elevated. CLO new issuance for the quarter totaled approximately $53 billion, reflecting an approximate $2 billion increase from the previous quarter. Additionally, the U.S. CLO market saw approximately $105 billion in reset and refinancing activity in Q3 2025 compared to approximately $53 billion in the previous quarter. Oxford Lane remained active this quarter, investing over $145 million in CLO equity debt and warehouses. During the quarter, we also directed or participated in more than 25 resets and refinancings taking advantage of tightening liability spreads to lower the cost of funding and lengthen the weighted average reinvestment period of Oxford Lane's CLO equity portfolio from January 2029 to May 2029. We continue to evaluate existing investments for opportunities to improve the economics of our CLO equity positions. Our primary investment strategy during the quarter was to engage in relative value trading and seek to lengthen the weighted average reinvestment period of Oxford Lane's CLO equity portfolio. In the current market environment, we intend to continue to utilize our opportunistic and unconstrained CLO investment strategy across U.S. CLO equity debt and warehouses as we look to maximize our long-term total return. And as a permanent capital vehicle, we have historically been able to take a longer-term view towards our investment strategy. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Jonathan.

Jonathan CohenCEO

Thank you, Joe. Additional information about Oxford Lane's second fiscal quarter performance has been uploaded to our website at www.oxfordlanecapital.com. And with that, operator, we're happy to open the call up for any questions.

分析師問答

OperatorModerator

And the first question we have comes from Mickey Schleien with Clear Street.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Jonathan, how would you characterize trends in loan spreads in October relative to September?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

So I think year-to-date, the year was dominated by this repricing wave. Through October, we've definitely seen a softness in the loan market with the LSTA selling off a bit. So that had put a bit of a pause on the repricing wave. With that said, now the loan market is now about over 40% trading above par. So I don't expect the repricing wave we've seen year-to-date to continue at this pace, but I think there's still a bit of repricing activity to come.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Okay. My next question relates to cash yield. What drove the decrease in the CLO equity portfolio's cash yield quarter-to-quarter? And how do we reconcile that against an increase in your core NII?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

The decrease in cash yields was driven by two main factors. First, we had a number of resets and refinancings, which temporarily impacted cash yield due to associated expenses. However, the primary reason was the repricing wave that compressed the ARB across all CLO equity vehicles and the broader market. Regarding the core net investment income, that figure tends to fluctuate because of first-time payers, which we've seen a notable amount of in recent quarters, as well as repayments related to liquidated CLOs.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

That's helpful, Joe. First Brands filed for bankruptcy at the very end of the quarter, and as we know, it was widely held among many CLOs with some having over a 1% allocation to it. So I'd like to understand what was the impact of its bankruptcy on your portfolio's value?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

I would say it was pretty muted overall, even though there were some CLOs that had 1% positions. Overall, the average position was somewhere between 20 to 30 basis points. So there wasn't a significant impact, I would say, just given the diversified nature of CLOs in general. We also didn't see a huge impact to OC ratios, especially considering the robust OC ratios we've had in our portfolio. In fact, we saw a decrease quarter-over-quarter.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Yes, that was actually my next question, and I apologize.

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

No, sorry. Go ahead.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

No, I was going to ask about the OC cushion, which, as you said, held up. And do you expect it to have a modest impact on portfolio yields going forward? I'm referring to First Brands.

Jonathan CohenCEO

We don't really make those sorts of public pronouncements, Mickey, but I think Joe's comments sort of frame the issue from our point of view.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Okay. And Jonathan, if First Brands wasn't a major factor, what, aside from loan spread compression, contributed to this quarter's realized and unrealized losses?

Jonathan CohenCEO

It was primarily loan spread compression, Mickey. I don't really think there was a secondary or tertiary element that was nearly as pronounced as that fact.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Jonathan, can you share what value plays you're focusing on and what you're moving out of and into that are contributing to the realized losses?

Jonathan CohenCEO

With about 300 line items, Mickey, you can appreciate, of course, that we're not really pursuing thematic trading strategies. We're typically selling things we think we can sell well, and we're buying things that we think we can buy better.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

And a couple more questions, if I might. What would you say is the current level of AAA CLO debt, Jonathan, in the market? And could you quantify the remaining opportunity in your portfolio to refinance or reset liabilities?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

Sure. So currently, the for Tier 1 AAAs, they just broke 120, so like 119, the best level currently. In terms of resets, that number is a bit back, call it, low 120s in terms of our go-forward opportunities. We were very active this quarter, resetting and refinancing any of our in-the-money positions. I don't expect that to be repeated this quarter. But starting next quarter, we see several more CLOs come out of their non-call period, which we see a lot of opportunity for continued resetting refinancing starting next year.

Jonathan CohenCEO

And portfolio rotation.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Right, right. And I see that your average AAA spread is 133. So there has to be at least a handful that are in the money, right, Joe?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

Yes, exactly.

Jonathan CohenCEO

We would, yes, I think so.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Okay. And lastly, and I appreciate your patience. Could you give us a sense of your target balance sheet leverage ratio under these current market conditions? I mean it's pretty low right now.

Jonathan CohenCEO

Sure, Mickey. We don't publish or announce a target leverage ratio by virtue of the fact that there are so many variables for us to consider, principally amongst them, the overall level of leverage on our balance sheet, which, as you referenced, I think, is on the relatively low side at the moment. But most profoundly, the cost of capital and ultimately, the use of proceeds. So we don't have a target that's specifically higher than where we're sitting right now. But as you can imagine, we're looking at that cost of capital, and we're looking at those uses of proceeds, essentially on a real-time basis.

Mickey SchleienAnalyst

Let me ask it a different way, Jonathan. Are you open to operating at a little bit higher leverage to take advantage of all the opportunities in the market, given how much volatility we're seeing?

Jonathan CohenCEO

Yes, we are open to that possibility.

Steven BavariaAnalyst

Jonathan, Steve Bavaria here. You were the first to introduce CLOs, which were previously an institutional asset class, to the retail market. Although this happened some time ago, my readers and I are still trying to understand this complex asset class and how to analyze it, particularly in a closed-end fund context. A point that often arises, and I may not have it entirely correct, is that since you are required to distribute around 90% of your pretax income and an even higher percentage of capital gains, you cannot operate like a typical bank. Unlike regular banks, CLOs cannot set aside reserves for future loan losses in the same way JPMorgan and others do. If my understanding is correct, it seems that many losses in CLOs manifest when the CLOs are winding down, which forces you to pay out distributions that may not be fully earned by the time a particular CLO concludes. If this is indeed the case, there will always be some level of NAV erosion that is expected. When evaluating your performance, we should consider your total return and total distribution, minus any NAV erosion. If that figure remains attractive, then it's acceptable. Am I approaching this correctly? Is that the right way to assess your performance?

Jonathan CohenCEO

We believe so, Steve. I mean that's certainly how we view our mandate and how we run the portfolio within Oxford Lane. So we are a total return-focused investor. And the manifestation of that return can appear through the income that we receive from our CLO equity and junior debt investments. It can appear in the form of capital gains, potentially. It can appear to the investor through the distributions they receive and changes in the NAV, which can be positive or negative for any period. Certainly, we've had years, individual years where the total return has greatly exceeded the amount of the distribution. And we've had years where the total return has not equaled the amount of distribution, and therefore, there's been mathematically a diminishment to the NAV in those periods. But I think from a philosophical point of view, Steve, you're certainly thinking of it in a manner that's aligned with our own.

Steven BavariaAnalyst

There will be a requirement to pay out most of your pretax income, which means that even after absorbing some of the typical default credit losses, there will always be a certain level of NAV erosion over time that we should expect. The key question then becomes determining what level of NAV erosion is considered normal and what is deemed abnormal. Is that essentially correct?

Jonathan CohenCEO

It's an opinion, so it's difficult to determine its accuracy, but I believe it is a logically consistent perspective that aligns with our views in those markets. The outcome of the situation you've described is that since Oxford Lane Capital Corp. went public in 2011, we have been following an active portfolio management strategy. This means we routinely review our portfolio, often on a daily basis, and make decisions based on both relative and absolute value to achieve our total return goals. Consequently, you may have noticed, and historically, we've maintained relatively high trading volumes because, as Joe mentioned earlier, we aim to extend our maturity windows and reinvestment periods while actively managing the portfolio in light of the dynamic you've outlined.

OperatorModerator

We now have the next question from Erik Zwick with Lucid Capital Markets.

Erik ZwickAnalyst

I wanted to start just Jonathan, maybe get your view. Your spreads remain very tight in the primary market, yet there's still a great deal of uncertainty with regard to the macroeconomic outlook. There's been noted weakness in lower end consumer. The impact of higher tariffs are still unknown. You got the government shutdown, which could have primary as well as secondary impact. So just kind of curious, putting that together, do you think lenders and CLO buyers are being appropriately compensated for the level of risk in the economy today?

Jonathan CohenCEO

I wouldn't make, Erik, that blanket statement. What I would say instead is that in the primary market, in new CLOs that we are involved with and purchasing. And in the secondary market, in terms of the trading opportunities that we see, we have and continue to see opportunities that we believe are compelling and are providing us with an adequate level of risk-adjusted return. But in terms of the market overall, there are certainly CLO transactions in the primary market and CLO transactions in the secondary market that we would not participate in because we don't think they're sufficiently compelling like every other market. I think to go into this asset class and to essentially buy the market has never been something that we've embraced. We've always been, I'd like to think anyways, and I believe more discerning and selective than that.

Erik ZwickAnalyst

Yes, that makes sense. Given that commentary, has the size of your pipeline changed compared to 9 or 12 months ago? Are you seeing fewer attractive risk-adjusted opportunities due to some of the macroeconomic factors, or is it still fairly robust? Additionally, do you think the more attractive opportunities today are in the primary or secondary market?

Jonathan CohenCEO

Sure. Well, keeping in mind, Erik, that a forward pipeline really only refers to the primary market. We don't know what's going to be available to us at what price in 1 or 2 or 3 months in the secondary market. But Joe, why don't you speak a little bit to what we're seeing in the primary market right now?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

Yes. I think to your question, things have definitely changed with what we're focusing on. Earlier this year and last year, we were very heavily investing in the primary market. Now to your point, that has changed a bit. We're very focused on the secondary market, while we're a little more patiently ramping in the primary and kind of waiting for the right moment to term out some of the CLOs. So I would say we're still seeing a large number of relatively attractive opportunities, but the type of those opportunities has and continues to change very rapidly given the tightening liability and the repricing wave we've seen.

Jonathan CohenCEO

And the macroeconomic factors, Erik, that you referenced earlier.

Erik ZwickAnalyst

Yes. Great. And in terms of the net unrealized depreciation in the most recent quarter, curious, was that more reflective of individual security fair value changes or more due to broad market factors? Just curious what the drivers there were.

Jonathan CohenCEO

I think it was more broadly based, Erik, principally predicated on the U.S. syndicated corporate loan spread compression dynamic that Joe was referencing earlier.

Erik ZwickAnalyst

Yes. And then if so, I guess, if we were to see spreads widen a little bit, you could certainly see some recapture of that unrealized depreciation in future periods if we were to see that.

Jonathan CohenCEO

Ceteris paribus, yes.

Erik ZwickAnalyst

Yes, yes. Okay. And you would expect most of those to make their first payments here in calendar 4Q?

Joseph KupkaManaging Director

About half to make next quarter and then the other half, the following quarter.

OperatorModerator

I can confirm that does conclude the question-and-answer session. I'd like to hand it back to Jonathan Cohen for some final closing comments.

Jonathan CohenCEO

I'd like to thank everybody on the call and listening in the replay for their interest and their participation, and we look forward to speaking to you again soon. Thanks very much.

OperatorModerator

Thank you. I can confirm that does conclude today's conference call with Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Thank you all for your participation, and you may now disconnect.

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