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Metallus Inc.(MTUS)Q2 2026 法說會逐字稿

34 段

管理層發言

OperatorOperator

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the 2Q 2026 Metallus Inc. Earnings Call. I will now hand the conference over to Jenna Johnson. Please go ahead.

Jenna JohnsonSenior Manager, Finance and Investor Relations

Good morning, and welcome to Metallus' Second Quarter 2026 Conference Call. I'm Jenna Johnson, Senior Manager, Finance and Investor Relations for Metallus. Joining me today are Mike Williams, Chief Executive Officer; Kris Westbrooks, President and Chief Operating Officer; and John Zaranec, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. You should have received a copy of our press release, which was issued last night. During today's conference call, we may make forward-looking statements as defined by the SEC. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied due to a variety of factors, which we describe in greater detail in yesterday's release. Please refer to our SEC filings, including our most recent Form 10-Q, which will be filed later today as well as the risk factors included in our earnings release, all of which are available on the Metallus website. Where non-GAAP financial information is referenced, additional details and reconciliations to its GAAP equivalent are included in the earnings release and earnings presentation available on the Investor page at metallus.com. Now I'll turn the call over to Mike Williams for his remarks.

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jenna, and thank you all for joining us today. In the second quarter, we generated adjusted EBITDA of $29 million, improving profitability, both sequentially and year-over-year. This is consistent with the expectations we outlined earlier this year. Increased shipments, higher melt utilization, improved pricing and product mix and solid operating performance drove the improvement. We also continue to benefit from healthy demand across our end markets with the order book up over 50% year-over-year, providing strong visibility heading into the second half of the year. Our second quarter results reflect the progress we continue to make against our strategic priorities and underscore the strength of our existing and diversifying end markets and customer relationships. As we entered 2026, our focus was simple: improve profitability versus the prior year through consistent execution, commercial excellence and operational improvement. Our first half performance demonstrates the progress we are making towards that objective with safety remaining our top priority. At Metallus, we continue to strengthen our safety culture across our facilities through targeted training, enhanced tools and increased accountability. We also continue to make significant progress with our strategic capital investments with early indicators suggesting these initiatives are positioned to deliver meaningful commercial and operational benefits over time. The bloom reheat furnace was fully commissioned in early July and is improving process consistency, enhancing downstream product flow and increasing reliability across the facilities. These improvements are supporting stronger operational execution and position us for greater throughput and productivity gains. At the same time, commissioning of the roller furnace remains on track and is progressing as planned. These investments, which were supported in part by U.S. government funding, are expected to improve throughput, quality, efficiency and service levels for our customers once fully operational. Together, they represent an important step forward in strengthening Metallus' manufacturing capabilities, enhancing our ability to serve critical aerospace and defense programs and strengthening our ability to meet increasing customer demand across industrial, automotive and energy markets. In the third quarter, we look forward to celebrating these investments at our ribbon-cutting ceremony and hosting representatives from the U.S. government, key defense customers and industry partners as we mark this important milestone for the company. The event will highlight the successful partnership between Metallus and the U.S. government in supporting the defense industrial base. Strong customer demand and a continued growing backlog provide confidence as we begin the second half of the year. Lead times for both our engineered SBQ bar and seamless mechanical tubing products have extended into late fourth quarter 2026, reflecting healthy demand across all markets and ongoing inventory replenishment activity. Turning to the end markets. Our diversified end market portfolio continues to provide balance across market cycles, while creating opportunities for profitable growth and increasing participation in attractive growing markets. Automotive remains a core market for Metallus and an important contributor to our long-term growth strategy. Auto shipments during the second quarter grew 12% sequentially and 8% year-over-year. Demand across targeted light truck and SUV applications have remained steady, reflecting the value our long-standing customers place on our quality, technical expertise and reliability. We are also pleased to announce that we secured a new multi-year award for ring gears on a leading automaker's hybrid transmission platform. Production is expected to begin in 2028. This award further demonstrates our ability to win strategic business on key vehicle platforms while positioning Metallus to benefit from continued hybrid vehicle adoption. While industrial shipments in the quarter were down slightly sequentially and year-over-year due to balancing customer requirements with order and shipment timing, industrial markets remain strong and represent one of the largest portions of our order book growth. Our industrial backlog has nearly doubled compared with the prior year, providing strong visibility into future demand. We look forward to delivering for our customers to meet the growing industrial demand in the second half of 2026 as we advance our operational improvements and assets throughput initiatives. In Energy, demand remained stable despite a cautious capital spending environment. While geopolitical and commodity price uncertainty has moderated activity levels, reduced import competition and improving domestic production are supporting demand for our seamless tubing products. These market conditions are helping improve utilization of our seamless tube assets and create additional opportunities moving forward. Aerospace and defense remains one of our most attractive growth opportunities, and that momentum was evident in the second quarter when we delivered record shipment tons and sales for these products. Demand continues to be supported by new defense initiatives and existing program replenishment efforts, driving backlog growth. This momentum supports our confidence in achieving our targeted $250 million revenue run rate and highlights the increasingly important role Metallus plays in serving critical defense markets. We were also pleased to achieve AS9100D certification during the quarter, an important and widely recognized quality standard in the aerospace and defense industries. This certification gives customers added confidence in our ability to deliver the quality, reliability and consistency required for mission-critical applications. It also strengthens our competitive position, supporting our VAR growth strategy and expanding opportunities in high-value markets. I'd like to congratulate our team on this achievement. Earning the AS9100D certification was a significant cross-functional effort that required dedication, collaboration and discipline across the organization. Most importantly, it reflects the culture of continuous improvement and operational excellence that is embedded throughout Metallus. In closing, Metallus is a stronger and more resilient company today than it was just a few years ago. We are continuing to maintain a strong balance sheet, improve our operating performance, invest in key manufacturing capabilities, enhance partnerships with existing customers while broadening our customer portfolio and sharpen our focus on the most attractive opportunities within the specialty metals market. Our priorities remain clear: operate safely; serve our customers reliably; execute our strategic initiatives; and deliver sustainable value to our shareholders. I am proud of what our team accomplished during the second quarter, and I am encouraged by the opportunities ahead. With that, I'll turn the call over to John to review our second quarter financial results in more detail.

John ZaranecExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Mike. Good morning, and thank you for joining our second quarter 2026 earnings call. During the quarter, our team delivered improvements in shipments, net sales and profitability on both a sequential and year-over-year basis, consistent with our expectations. As Mike noted, we also safely advanced operational and strategic investments to support near- and long-term business growth while maintaining a strong balance sheet. From a top line revenue perspective, second quarter net sales totaled $341 million, a year-over-year increase of $36.4 million or 12%, primarily driven by higher shipments in aerospace and defense and automotive. Net income was $8.9 million in the second quarter or $0.21 per diluted share. On an adjusted basis, net income was $11.1 million or $0.26 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $29 million in the second quarter, a year-over-year increase of $2.5 million or 9%. The increased profitability was primarily driven by improved prices, improved mix and higher shipments, partially offset by manufacturing performance. As melt utilization improved, it fell short of plan to fully offset the known increases in energy costs and the first full quarter of labor related to the newly ratified union contract. In the second quarter, operating cash flow totaled $12.8 million, driven by profitability and lower inventory, partially offset by higher accounts receivable at the end of the quarter from increased sales and lower accounts payable due to the timing of raw material purchases. In the second quarter, capital expenditures totaled $15.2 million, including approximately $9.5 million related to the projects primarily funded by the U.S. government. Consistent with our previous communications, planned capital expenditures for the full year 2026 are expected to be approximately $70 million, inclusive of approximately $35 million of capital expenditures primarily funded by the U.S. government. At the end of the second quarter, the company's cash and cash equivalents balance was $108.6 million. As it relates to government funding, during the second quarter, the company received the final $11.3 million of cash funding from the U.S. Army. As a reminder, these funds are part of the previously announced nearly $100 million funding agreement in support of the U.S. Army's mission of increasing munitions production. This funding substantially paid for both the new bloom reheat furnace at the company's Faircrest facility as well as the new roller furnace at the Gambrinus facility. Now switching to pensions. In the second quarter, the company made $5.4 million of required pension contributions related to the U.S. bargaining plan. Based on our updated actuarial analysis, no additional pension contributions are expected for the remainder of 2026. As a reminder, our 2026 pension contributions represent a reduction of over 60% when compared to 2025. In terms of shareholder return activities, in the second quarter, the company repurchased approximately 190,000 shares of common stock at a cost of $3.6 million. At the end of June, a balance of $81.8 million remained under our existing share repurchase program. Since the inception of common share repurchases in early 2022, combined with the convertible note repurchase activities, we've reduced diluted shares outstanding by a significant 26% or 14 million shares. These actions reflect the strength of the company's balance sheet and confidence in through-cycle cash flow generation. As it relates to liquidity, on June 30, 2026, the company refinanced its asset-based revolving credit facility and extended the maturity date to June 2031. After the amendment, the credit facility committed capacity is now $300 million. The new agreement includes an increase in the optional credit facility expansion feature to $200 million and also includes a variety of improvements in other financial terms and covenants, including reduced annual fees. The refinance agreement provides us with the flexibility to pursue our strategic initiatives as total liquidity remains strong at $395 million as of June 30, 2026. At the end of the second quarter, the company had no outstanding borrowings. Turning to the near-term business outlook. Commercially, third quarter shipments are expected to be similar to the second quarter based on customer mix and lead time expectations. Lead times for bar and tube products currently extend into late fourth quarter. Based on lead times and product mix, third quarter price and mix are expected to be slightly better than in the second quarter. The company recently announced price increases effective early August for customers not covered by annual pricing agreements of $60 per ton on bar, $100 per ton on carbon seamless mechanical tubing and $160 per ton on alloy seamless mechanical tubing products. Based on lead times, the company expects to realize the full run rate benefit of these price increases beginning in 2027. From an operational perspective, the company anticipates a slight sequential increase in its third quarter average melt utilization rate, supported by a strong order book. Manufacturing costs are expected to be relatively flat in the third quarter as a result of slightly higher melt utilization, offset by increased planned maintenance outages. Finally, an adjusted effective income tax rate of between 27% and 30% is expected for the full year 2026. Given these elements, the company expects third quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be slightly higher sequentially and year-over-year, consistent with our message throughout the year of increased profitability each quarter. To wrap up, thank you to all of our employees, customers and suppliers for their support. The progress we have made in the first half of 2026 demonstrates our position as a high-quality U.S.-based specialty metals producer, supporting critical markets. As we continue to move forward in 2026, our focus is on safe execution to meet continued rising customer demand. We remain committed to delivering shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation and sustained profitable growth. As always, thank you for your interest in Metallus. We would now like to open the call for questions.

分析師問答

OperatorOperator

Our first question comes from Dave Storms with Stonegate.

Dave StormsAnalyst, Stonegate

I wanted to start with a clarification on the pricing increases. It sounded like you'll see the full run rate in 2027. Just want to confirm, that's on the 30% of your order book that is not contracted, correct? That's the spot price portion of your order book?

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

That is correct.

Dave StormsAnalyst, Stonegate

Okay. Perfect. So then we should expect maybe 2027, 2028 for those increases on the contracted portion of your order book, if that sounds fair. And then I guess maybe just the general question here is, how are those conversations going? Are customers being pretty receptive and understanding of the economic environment that we're in? Or any nuance there that we should be aware of?

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

Look, all negotiations with our customers are held in high confidence, so we really don't discuss publicly how those are going. To be honest, they haven't really started yet. There are some preliminary discussions. I also want to qualify that I can't predict what 2028 pricing will look like. But I will comment about 2027: this has been a year where demand has improved, which naturally drives utilization rates and can lead to higher pricing acceptance in the market, and that's what we've seen so far this year. It does establish a starting point or a base for price negotiations for 2027, which tends to be positive. 2027 is far from determined, but as that gets more clarified, we probably can talk a little bit more about that around the early first quarter when we review the fourth quarter results.

OperatorOperator

Your next question from the line of Samuel McKinney with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Samuel McKinneyAnalyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

You had a nice step-up in A&D sales in the second quarter, and it represents an annualized revenue of around $240 million, pretty close to the previously communicated target. So a two-part question. Can you provide some more details around the biggest drivers behind the sequential revenue increase? And second, should we expect you to hit that $250 million annualized run rate in the third quarter?

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

I would say it's a combination of the step-up in sales. There's continued increased demand on the 155-millimeter munitions and also other munitions, and then you combine that with the new programs that we've been awarded and are starting to see that demand materialize — that's what really drove the step-up in Q2. We do expect that to continue to improve over the next year as more of these new programs ramp up their manufacturing capacity and we're there to supply them. We continue to work on new programs that could ramp in 2027 and 2028. To confirm your second question: yes, our expectation is that we'll achieve that $250 million run rate by the end of this year.

Samuel McKinneyAnalyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay. And then second quarter melt utilization was 74%, up a little bit versus the first quarter, but it seems like you were looking to do a little better than 74%. If you could provide a little more detail on why melt utilization improved less than you expected during the quarter?

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

Some of it is tied to power interruptions on our interruptible supply agreement, but more so it really comes down to shop floor execution and maintenance reliability. We had expected better progress in that area in Q2. We did see positive progress, but not as much as we were planning for. That's the biggest single opportunity we have to drive further cost improvement. These new strategic investments in our assets are going to help us do that as well. We're on the right path and the right trend. We expect utilization to improve in Q3. I should also note that Q4 is when we have a very large maintenance outage. Our focus on shop floor execution, strategic and tactical investments are centered around reliability and improving our execution on the shop floor.

OperatorOperator

Our next question comes from the line of Aaron Reed with Northcoast Research. As we were planning for. That's the biggest single opportunity we have to drive further cost improvement. These new strategic investments in our assets are going to help us do that as well. We're on the right path and the right trend. We expect utilization to improve in Q3. I should also note that Q4 is when we have a very large maintenance outage. Our focus on shop floor execution, strategic and tactical investments are centered around reliability and improving our execution on the shop floor.

Aaron ReedAnalyst, Northcoast Research

I just want to briefly touch on the backlog in industrial doubling. Can you provide any more insights into maybe what subcategories or what industries are really driving that demand right now?

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

The number one driver is the industrial base that serves the yellow goods market, so it's being driven by construction and mining equipment. You combine that with some other areas of improvement — a little bit of agriculture and a little bit of rail — but the majority is coming from the yellow goods sector.

Aaron ReedAnalyst, Northcoast Research

Okay. That makes sense. And then as we get closer to 2027, do you have any more insights on the cadence for revenue generation from the A&D sector? I know that can be a little choppy, and I wasn't sure if that became a little less opaque as we get further along in the year.

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

There are many factors downstream from us being a primary material supplier to these specialty metal applications that we don't control. What we are seeing is higher utilization in the munitions sector as existing capacity ramps up, and we see new entrants coming into the sector as well. We'll have a much better picture early next year as we go through annual contract discussions. Very few of these customers are on spot arrangements. Demand visibility will also be enhanced by a number of program awards we're pursuing for 2027 and beyond. It's a little gray now, but we do expect munitions demand to continue to increase through next year based on their forecasts, and it will depend on the program awards we secure for 2027.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of John Franzreb with Sidoti & Company.

John FranzrebAnalyst, Sidoti & Company

I'd like to revisit the maintenance downtime that you expect in the third quarter. Can you talk to us a little bit about what you're doing and the potential impact on results in the 3Q?

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

Typically, our non-bottleneck downstream asset maintenance tends to be a couple of million dollars in the quarter. It's planned maintenance and some unplanned maintenance. We're very aware of what those planned costs will be, and that's why we guided that effect in Q3.

John ZaranecExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

John, we do maintenance every quarter. There is a little bit more in Q3 than in Q2.

John FranzrebAnalyst, Sidoti & Company

Was that the result of not hitting your maintenance targets in Q2 and you're playing that out in Q3? Am I reading that properly or no?

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

No. We did have our normal maintenance spend in Q2, but it wasn't our normal planned spend mix. We had expected a higher amount of utilization to offset that, and that didn't fully occur.

Kristopher WestbrooksPresident and Chief Operating Officer

John, this is Kris. The work that we're doing in Q3 was well planned a year ago. We've been working on these plans for the tube mills and thermal treat assets, and that will be our focus in Q3 to complete that over a week and get them back and running.

John FranzrebAnalyst, Sidoti & Company

Got it. And then on two of the end markets, any changes in your thoughts about the second half versus the first half in the automotive business? And similarly, curious about your thoughts on the Energy side. With pricing and opportunity out there, I would have thought Energy might be a little stronger.

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

Regarding automotive, you have to look at the platforms we're on — SUVs and trucks. Those platforms have been healthy for us. The overall increase in shipments in Q2 versus Q1 was largely timing, and we expect basically flat demand for the platforms we're on. Build rates they're forecasting for the year are up slightly year-over-year but pretty much in line with prior forecasts, so we don't see a significant increase right now. On Energy, it's fairly volatile, but we are seeing improvement in demand and opportunities. That's being influenced by a slight increase in drilling activity in the U.S. and the trade tariff environment, which helps us. We're seeing domestic energy companies seeking more domestic supply rather than relying on global supply chains, and that's supportive for us.

OperatorOperator

Our next question comes from the line of Dave Storms with Stonegate.

Dave StormsAnalyst, Stonegate

Just wanted to ask a quick follow-up on aerospace and defense. You mentioned a couple of times that you've had some new program awards there. With this new AS9100D certification, is that already driving new awards or is that more table stakes? Any more color would be helpful.

Michael WilliamsChief Executive Officer

The AS9100D certification verifies and validates the discipline of our quality management system and our execution on the shop floor to comply with those high quality requirements. We recently earned and announced it. It's a marketable capability for us and broadens the number of customers and applications we can serve. We expect it will broaden our opportunities in the aerospace and defense space to get more business and continue to grow this attractive end market.

OperatorOperator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Jenna for closing remarks.

Jenna JohnsonSenior Manager, Finance and Investor Relations

Thank you for joining us today, and that concludes our call.

OperatorOperator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

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