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Forward Industries, Inc.(FWDI)Q3 2026 法說會逐字稿

23 段

管理層發言

OperatorOperator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Forward Industries Fiscal Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded, and a replay will be available on the company's Investor Relations website. I would now like to turn the call over to Georgia Quinn, General Counsel of Forward Industries. Please go ahead.

Georgia QuinnGeneral Counsel

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Forward Industries' earnings call for our fiscal third quarter, which ended June 30, 2026. Joining me on today's call are Kyle Samani, our Chairman; Ryan Navi, our Chief Investment Officer; and Mark Brazier, our Chief Financial Officer. Earlier this afternoon, we issued a press release announcing our financial and operating results for the quarter. That release, along with the presentation accompanying today's remarks, is available on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.forwardindustries.com. Before we begin, I need to remind everyone that certain statements made on today's call are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements include, among other things, statements regarding our Solana treasury strategy, our expectations for SOL per share growth, our expected returns on certain investments, our capital allocation plans, pending or potential acquisitions and regulatory developments.

Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied on this call. We described these risks in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most recent Form 10-K and subsequent Form 10-Q filings. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required by law. In addition, during today's call, we will refer to certain operating metrics, including SOL Holdings, SOL per share and mNAV. These are operational measures we use to describe our treasury strategy. They are not prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP and should be considered alongside, not as a substitute for, our GAAP financial results. Definitions and methodology for these metrics are included on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to our Chairman, Kyle Samani. Kyle?

Kyle SamaniChairman

Thank you, Georgia, and thank you to everyone joining us this afternoon. This was our third full quarter executing the Solana treasury strategy we launched last September. I want to open with the numbers that matter most to how we run this company. As of June 30, we held approximately 7.6 million SOL tokens and SOL equivalents. SOL per share on a fully diluted basis was 0.073, which is up from 0.0669 at March 31, which translates to an annualized growth rate of approximately 36%. That momentum has continued into the current quarter. As of August 3, we hold approximately 7.8 million SOL tokens, having added approximately another 254,000 SOL tokens just over a month ago at an average total cost of approximately $75 per token, bringing our SOL per share to 0.0754. Every decision we make is in service of growing SOL per share on a risk-adjusted basis. This quarter, our team continued to deliver on that promise for our shareholders.

That growth has come alongside real scale. As the world's largest Solana treasurer strategy, Forward reached an important milestone this quarter. Effective June 29, Forward was added to the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indices as part of their semiannual reconstitution. Index inclusion reinforces the growing institutional recognition of our strategy, scale and execution. We believe it will broaden our shareholder base, improve trading liquidity and increase our visibility amongst both institutional investors who track these benchmarks directly as well as retail investors who allocate to the Russell indices as passive investments. Forward's inclusion is a testament to what our team has built and to the scale this company has reached in a short period of time. It's been a busy quarter for the Solana ecosystem as well, which has continued to demonstrate not only resiliency, but accelerated growth as the ecosystem of choice for institutions, corporations and individual users.

In calendar Q2, Solana had one of the most active stretches in its history. The network processed 3.8 billion transactions in June alone. Monthly token holder addresses reached an all-time high of 167 million in April and tokenized real-world assets on the network crossed $2.5 billion. Earlier this year, the Solana Foundation reported that SOL-denominated value locked on the network crossed 80 million SOL for the first time. On economic activity, applications on Solana generated approximately $257 million in application revenue in the June quarter alone, according to DeFiLlama. That made it the ninth consecutive quarter that Solana applications outearned those on every other blockchain, representing roughly 40% of application revenue across all of Web3 and crypto. In May alone, Solana applications earned more than those on Ethereum and Hyperliquid combined. Real users paying real fees to real businesses is the signal we care about and no other number comes close.

Solana's tremendous growth and notable achievements this quarter continue to reinforce our conviction and validate our company's decision to build the Solana treasury strategy and to be an active participant in driving the ecosystem forward. Solana's network infrastructure also keeps getting faster and more resilient. Firedancer, which is the independent validator client that Jump Crypto launched on mainnet last December, continues to gain adoption across the validator set and the upcoming Alpenglow consensus upgrade unlocks meaningfully faster finality. We recognize that digital asset markets have remained soft, but as a company with a permanent capital base and a long-term view on the Solana ecosystem, we view quarters like this as an incredible opportunity to continue doubling down on our conviction in Solana as the fundamentals continue to improve and accelerate. Against that backdrop, Forward's position inside the ecosystem keeps compounding.

Forward accumulated approximately 508,000 SOL tokens during the quarter, increasing our total SOL held from 7 million to 7.6 million, while growing SOL per share from 0.0669 to 0.0730. We continue to stake almost all of our SOL holdings to Forward's validator, which continues to be a top 10 validator with approximately 1.8% of network stake rate. Part of our strategy is to selectively allocate capital to high conviction opportunities that extend beyond our core SOL holdings—investments that generate durable, uncorrelated returns while deepening our position in the Solana ecosystem. During the quarter, we put that strategy to work for the first time by taking a minority stake in OnRe, a Solana-based reinsurance platform, and becoming a liquidity provider in OnRe's RWA token called ONyc, an initiative which Ryan will cover in more detail shortly. Looking ahead, Forward is incredibly well positioned with access to industry-leading cost of capital, a strong balance sheet and minimal debt.

As some of you may have seen with our M&A activity this last quarter, Forward already has begun to leverage our advantageous position, and we expect to continue aggressively pursuing the opportunities that exist in this current market to drive long-term shareholder value. Ryan and Mark will now take you through more details on how we executed in the quarter. Ryan?

Ryan NaviChief Investment Officer

Thanks, Kyle, and good afternoon, everyone. Starting with the treasury: as of August 3, 2026, Forward held approximately 7.8 million SOL, which equates to roughly 1.3% of total Solana circulating supply. This compares to 7.6 million SOL as of June 30, and 7.0 million as of March 31. The sequential increase came from roughly 403,000 SOL acquired through open market purchases and 106,000 SOL and SOL equivalents earned through staking rewards during the quarter. Staking is the foundation of our treasury. We stake nearly all of our Solana to generate a consistent compounding source of SOL-denominated yield on top of our holdings. Cumulative staking rewards since we launched the strategy in September 2025 now total approximately 307,000 SOL. As of quarter end, the vast majority of our SOL continues to be staked to the Forward validator, which gives us the ability to borrow against the position without interrupting staking rewards and continues to generate positive carry under the terms of our agreements with our institutional lending partners.

As of June 30, 2026, our fully diluted mNAV was 0.908. This is based on a SOL closing price of $73.53, a fully diluted share count of 103,525,881 and a closing price of $4.22 for FWDI stock. Forward increased SOL holdings by over 500,000 in Q3 at an average cost of approximately $79 per SOL token, highlighting our team's continued focus on growing our Solana treasury. That focus has not slowed in the current quarter. As of August 3, on a preliminary basis, we have added a further 254,000 SOL at an average cost of approximately $75 per token, bringing total holdings to approximately 7.8 million Solana and a SOL per share of 0.0754 on a fully diluted basis. One month into the quarter, we have already added roughly half of what we accumulated in all of Q3 at a lower average cost. To fund SOL purchases, we utilize a number of tools at our disposal. With our recent inclusion in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indices, one of these tools is our at-the-market program, under which we issued approximately 94,000 shares for gross proceeds of $435,000, at prices that are accretive to SOL per share.

We deployed those proceeds into SOL purchases. Our discipline here is mechanical. We issue shares only when it is accretive and grows SOL per share. During the quarter, we also bought back approximately 2.5 million shares when doing so was accretive to our SOL per share. During the quarter, our net change in fully diluted share count was a reduction of approximately 1.7 million shares from 105.2 million to 103.5 million. The buyback and the ATM are two sides of the same discipline. When the stock trades below our net asset value and our internal view of intrinsic value supports it, repurchases are the accretive trade. When it trades above issuances, we will take cues from the market as to which lever to pull. Ultimately, our goal is to drive SOL per share growth while also continuing to expand the absolute scale of our treasury. SOL per share on a fully diluted basis was 0.0604 at the end of September 2025, 0.0624 at December 31, 0.0669 at March 31, 2026, and 0.0730 at June 30, 2026.

That is a 9% growth for the current quarter or approximately 36% annualized. Consistent with prior quarters, we calculate SOL per share using fully diluted share count. Again, as of June 30, 2026, our fully diluted mNAV was 0.908. Outside of our SOL treasury operations, Forward also made its first Solana ecosystem investment. As Kyle briefly mentioned, we acquired a minority stake in OnRe, a tokenized reinsurance platform. In connection with the investment, we committed up to $25 million of liquidity to OnRe's ONyc token. This is the type of investment our strategy contemplates: it deploys capital into Solana-native financial infrastructure with the potential to generate uncorrelated U.S. dollar-denominated yield and strengthen the ecosystem our treasury depends on. Since our investment in OnRe, the protocol's AUM has increased 73% from approximately $142 million to approximately $247 million at the end of June.

And the total tokenized RWA capitalization of Solana has grown from approximately $2.5 billion to more than $3.3 billion over the same period. The OnRe investment is also part of a broader strategy to increase our dollar-denominated yield, which provides us the flexibility to grow our treasury beyond SOL-denominated strategies and provide uncorrelated returns that we can use to more predictably offset dollar-denominated operating costs. Our CFO, Mark, will share more on how Forward has executed this year on reducing our SG&A costs since adopting our SOL treasury strategy. Our investment in OnRe is an example of a highly synergistic opportunity for Forward where we can both invest in a company at an attractive valuation and create our own catalyst by providing liquidity while supporting the broader Solana ecosystem. Following the success of our OnRe investment, we continue to assess other investment strategies that diversify the yield Forward generates while also delivering value for our shareholders.

Let me now spend a moment on M&A because it has become a more visible part of our strategy this quarter. The digital asset treasury sector is crowded and a number of vehicles now trade at a significant and persistent discount to the value of the assets they hold. We believe this condition is unsustainable and that there is an opportunity for the sector to consolidate around a small number of scaled, credible operators. As the largest Solana treasury by both net asset value and total SOL held, and being larger than the next three Solana treasury companies combined, Forward absolutely intends to play a lead role in industry consolidation. To be clear, an acquisition target doesn't need to be a Solana treasury itself. We're open to combining with companies holding other digital assets as well. In those cases, we convert the acquired asset to SOL and that conversion is factored directly into how we value the transaction.

For Forward and our shareholders, these acquisitions are unique opportunities to drive step-function growth in our treasury while delivering SOL per share accretion. The shareholders of potential targets, combining with Forward offers a path to closing persistent discounts for the treasury value and to join the largest Solana treasury company with a strong balance sheet and a clear track record of delivering both treasury growth and SOL per share accretion. Our approach to acquisitions follows the same arithmetic as everything else we do. A transaction has to be accretive for our shareholders on a SOL per share basis and increase the scale of our SOL treasury. Forward is actively considering and pursuing M&A opportunities, and we will share more as things develop. With that, I'll turn it over to Mark to cover the financials.

Mark BrazierChief Financial Officer

Thank you, Ryan, and good afternoon, everyone. Revenue for the fiscal third quarter was $10.8 million compared to $2.5 million in the prior year period, with the increase driven primarily by staking and treasury-related revenue. Gross margin was 62.2% compared to negative 24.9% in the prior year period. SG&A expense was $7.4 million compared to $1.9 million in the prior year period, with a caveat that our SOL treasury strategy launched in September 2025. Excluding stock-based compensation of $3.1 million, SG&A was $4.3 million. We run the company with a small team and a lean cost structure by design because every dollar of overhead is the dollar not compounded in the treasury. At the beginning of this year, we committed to reducing SG&A, and I'm happy to report that as of this quarter, we continue to be on track to bring down our average quarterly SG&A expense, excluding stock-based compensation, to $4.8 million on a go-forward basis.

Our results for the quarter include loss on digital assets of $49.8 million and an impairment of $15.2 million which is related to our Forward SOL and ONyc holdings. As a reminder, this treatment is required under U.S. GAAP and reflects changes in the estimated fair value of our SOL position during the period. It does not reflect realized sales. We encourage investors to evaluate the treasury on the operating metrics Ryan walked through—SOL held and SOL per share—alongside the GAAP results. Net loss for the quarter was $69.0 million or $0.80 per share compared to a net loss of $850,000 or $0.77 per share in the prior year period. Turning to the balance sheet and our capital position: we ended the quarter with cash of $11.0 million. The carrying value of our SOL and SOL equivalent holdings as of June 30 was $556.9 million, bringing our total digital treasury assets to $576.6 million. Total debt outstanding was $105 million on the Galaxy facility at an average weighted interest rate of 2.6%.

Leverage against the treasury remains modest in the mid- to high-teens, and we intend to continue being deliberate and intentional with how we utilize debt. The balance sheet is built to manage volatility and operate through drawdowns while also providing us flexibility to maximize the opportunities that the market provides us. With regards to our share count: common shares outstanding at quarter end were approximately 73.8 million compared to 76.3 million as of March 31. The change reflects 94,000 shares issued under the ATM program and 2.6 million shares repurchased. Fully diluted shares, including warrants and options, were approximately 103.5 million at quarter end. Finally, on liquidity, between cash on hand, stake and rewards, availability under the ATM program and our credit capacity, we believe we are well positioned to execute on our strategy through varying market conditions. With that, I'll hand the call to Georgia for an update on the regulatory landscape.

Georgia QuinnGeneral Counsel

Thank you, Mark. Before Kyle closes, I'd like to spend a moment on the regulatory landscape because the quarter ended June 30 saw continued and, in our view, meaningful movements toward a defined framework for digital assets in the United States. First, on the legislative side: the Senate Banking Committee advanced the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act on May 14. On June 1, the bill was placed on the Senate legislative calendar, making it formally eligible for floor consideration. Early in the morning on Saturday, August 8, Senate Majority Leader Thune filed cloture on the motion to proceed with the Clarity Act, and a vote is expected on September 15 when Congress is back in session. The legislation as advanced would allocate jurisdiction over digital commodity spot markets to the CFTC while preserving SEC jurisdiction over digital securities. This legislation will require a supermajority of 60 votes, and I encourage everyone listening to this call to e-mail or call your senators and urge them to vote in favor of this bill.

This piece of legislation provides the certainty that has kept builders and developers from engaging in our industry or sent them offshore and could be a significant catalyst to the Solana ecosystem, especially here in the U.S. That being said, Forward is in no way dependent upon the passage of the Clarity Act. Thanks to both the foresight of the Securities Act and the interpretive work of the Securities and Exchange Commission, we are able to carry out our mission with the requisite legal and regulatory confidence. Speaking of regulatory agencies, the SEC and CFTC continue to build on the March joint interpretation. On May 29, the CFTC approved the listing of cash-settled perpetual futures on registered designated contract markets, bringing onshore a product class that has developed almost entirely offshore. In June, the two agencies issued joint requests for comment addressing tokenized securities under the Title VII swap definitions and the harmonization of portfolio margin rules.

We are grateful to the SEC and the CFTC for their continued work to harmonize and reduce regulatory and jurisdictional ambiguity for companies that operate at the intersection of public markets and digital assets. With that, I'll turn the call over to Kyle for closing remarks.

Kyle SamaniChairman

Thanks, Georgia. Three quarters in, Forward is executing on the strategy we laid out at the end of last year. SOL per share is compounding and growing at an annualized rate of 36%. Our balance sheet is strong, and we're operating at mid-teens LTV with industry-leading access to capital, allowing us to play offense when the market provides us with opportunities, whether that's accumulating SOL at attractive prices or pursuing M&A. The regulatory environment is moving step by step, providing regulatory clarity and framework that will allow Solana to thrive. Solana is becoming the settlement layer for Internet capital markets, and Forward owns a larger share of that network per share than we did 90 days ago. Looking at the back half of 2026, we will continue to execute on our core strategy: grow SOL per share, deploy capital with discipline and deepen Forward's position within the Solana ecosystem. Thank you to our shareholders for your continued conviction. Operator, please open the line for questions.

分析師問答

OperatorOperator

And our first question comes from Devin Ryan with Citizens Bank. We have established a framework that will allow Solana to thrive. Solana is becoming the settlement layer for Internet capital markets, and Forward owns a larger share of that network per share than we did 90 days ago. Looking at the back half of 2026, we will continue to execute on our core strategy: grow SOL per share, deploy capital with discipline, and deepen Forward's position within the Solana ecosystem. Thank you to our shareholders for your continued conviction. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Noah KatzAnalyst (Citizens Bank) — on behalf of Devin Ryan

This is Noah Katz on for Devin. I appreciate all the comments today. So to start on agentic finance, we continue to see more financial activity being built around AI agents, particularly within payments and trading. As you look across Solana today, where are you seeing the most credible agentic products beginning to emerge? And then for Forward specifically, how do you plan to participate more directly in the economics?

Ryan NaviChief Investment Officer

Thanks for the question. Kyle, you want to take this one?

Kyle SamaniChairman

Yes, happy to. The Solana ecosystem has been pretty ahead of the curve on the kind of core infrastructure you need for agentic payments. They built two integrated protocols: one called x402 built by Coinbase and the other called Machine Payments Protocol, or MPP, which was developed by Stripe. Both of those implementations exist today and are being adopted by developers. Off the top of my head, I don't know which specific applications are using those two protocols. I do know Visa has integrated MPP with Solana because I actually spoke with someone from Visa about this a few weeks ago, but I don't have the specifics off the top of my head. On the trading side today, there's probably a new trading terminal launching on Solana every day at this point and a pretty large number of those already facilitate agentic trading, where you can just use Claude or ChatGPT or Grok or whatever, and they have a connector that connects directly to Solana to trade.

So that's already happening. I don't know that there's a ton of public reporting on it, but it's actually in production already. In terms of how Forward is participating and capturing all of that, the most direct instantiation of that is staking. All of those trades are producing MEV and the MEV is ultimately being captured by stakers such as Forward. We have not yet made any direct investments in that sector. We are certainly evaluating a bunch of opportunities, but that space is extremely speculative, and we have not yet developed a conviction to pull the trigger on anything quite yet.

Noah KatzAnalyst (Citizens Bank) — on behalf of Devin Ryan

That's helpful. And then switching gears a little bit on the Solana ecosystem as a whole, how are you thinking about the balance between continuing to grow the core SOL treasury and building recurring revenue streams around it? Which parts of the ecosystem look the most capable of becoming the next meaningful contributor?

Kyle SamaniChairman

Yes, I'll take this one. We started off with our first major outside investment in OnRe, which is a reinsurance protocol that Ryan led the investment in. I think they've grown something like 70% since we invested just a few months ago. We are looking at a lot more of these types of RWA growth initiatives. These work very well for us structurally for a handful of reasons. Because of our access to capital, we're borrowing at roughly 2.6% and we're able to deploy into various other environments at 8%, 9%, 10%, 11%, and we can capture that spread. So that's been very lucrative for us. It allows us to cover our SG&A as well as fund other investment opportunities. Ryan, do you want to add?

Ryan NaviChief Investment Officer

Yes, thank you. We're actively looking at different RWA protocols, as Kyle mentioned. We have industry-leading cost of capital at roughly 2.6% on an average basis. The more that we can find high single-digit to low double-digit yield opportunities, we can continue to effectively grow our dollar-denominated cash flow that offsets our dollar-denominated cost structure, both in terms of SG&A and interest expense. As in the case of OnRe, we also made a minority equity investment and created our own catalyst where we grew AUM pretty significantly post our involvement, and we'll look to do the same across other reinsurance players, royalties, credit, and a whole host of other yield-bearing dollar-denominated asset classes that are not correlated with Solana price, while also pushing the Solana ecosystem forward. These investments help derisk our business by providing stable uncorrelated cash flows and make our capital structure more resilient.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from Fedor Shabalin with B. Riley Securities.

Fedor ShabalinAnalyst (B. Riley Securities)

Thank you very much, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. My first question is strategy-wise, industry-wise: tokenized real-world asset market cap on Solana went up several quarters, and other metrics increased; transaction activity accelerated and we can see app revenue growing. Yet Solana is down roughly 50-plus percent year-over-year. In your opinion, what breaks the disconnect between usage of this network and the price?

Ryan NaviChief Investment Officer

Fedor, thanks for the question. Taking a step back, anytime you see price decoupling from fundamentals—in this attractive case where fundamentals are improving and prices are dropping—that's given us the confidence to continue to scale our SOL holdings, as you've seen with our results. In terms of the catalyst that breaks that trend, no one has a crystal ball. There are a lot of macro forces at play that don't really have anything to do with Solana fundamentals, and you're seeing that across the broader crypto ecosystem. For Solana specifically, there are a couple of initiatives being contemplated which would improve value accrual to the token and could act as near-term to medium-term catalysts. Overall, we're seeing more developers come to Solana, more usage, more TVL, more AUM on the RWA side—going from $2.5 billion to $3.3 billion-plus is real growth. Markets get dislocated week-to-week, month-to-month and year-to-year; we're using this as an opportunity to lean into that dislocation. We're willing to bet that the market will eventually catch up to our view on fundamentals.

Fedor ShabalinAnalyst (B. Riley Securities)

A quick follow-up on OnRe and incremental yield deployments. It was a very successful investment and you committed up to $25 million of liquidity. How much of that committed amount is actually deployed today? What would it take to upsize it? Should we expect OnRe upsizing or OnRe-like deployments in the near term?

Ryan NaviChief Investment Officer

I'm not sure if we publicly disclose the exact amount of ONyc, but our deployments are public and are alluded to in the cap table. I believe we've deployed in the low $20 million area in terms of the ONyc token itself, and that is up to the $25 million commitment.

Mark BrazierChief Financial Officer

Sorry to jump in. As of the end of June, we publicly disclosed that we've invested approximately $70 million of deployment related to OnRe and the ONyc token, and that's on top of our initial investment in the entity. So yes, we're very close to—or have deployed over half—of what we've committed in the $25 million liquidity component.

Ryan NaviChief Investment Officer

Thanks for that, Mark. To address the rest of your question around upsizing: we're always evaluating different RWA and general M&A opportunities, both debt and equity, as well as minority investments similar to the OnRe situation. We don't have anything specific to disclose at this time, but we do have a robust pipeline and some targets are further along than others. There's a chance that one or a couple could be announced before year-end, but nothing specific to share right now. With OnRe specifically, we're getting a great return—about 12% net of fees—and it's completely uncorrelated to macro; it's more weather-related. These investments help us pick up a positive U.S. dollar-denominated cash flow spread relative to our cost of capital and dramatically derisk our business by adding stable uncorrelated cash flows. In downside scenarios, we still expect to outperform Solana; in upside scenarios, you get SOL-plus type exposure. We're trying to make this as attractive of a risk-reward as possible.

Fedor ShabalinAnalyst (B. Riley Securities)

Thank you, Ryan. Thank you, Mark, for your perspective and continued best of luck.

OperatorOperator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining Forward Industries Fiscal Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. You may now disconnect.

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