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FLUOR CORP(FLR)Q2 2026 法說會逐字稿

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管理層發言

OperatorOperator

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to Fluor's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. The operator provided instructions to participants. A replay of today's conference call will be available at approximately 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time today, accessible on Fluor's website at investor.fluor.com. The web replay will be available for 30 days. At this time, for opening remarks, I would like to turn the call over to Jason Landkamer, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Mr. Landkamer.

Jason LandkamerVice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Jade. Good morning, and welcome to Fluor's 2026 Second Quarter Earnings Call. Jim Breuer, Fluor's Chief Executive Officer; and John Regan, Fluor's Chief Financial Officer, are with us today. Fluor issued its second quarter earnings release earlier this morning, and a slide presentation is posted on our website that we will reference while making prepared remarks. Before getting started, I would like to refer to our safe harbor note regarding today's forward-looking statements, which is summarized on Slide 2. During today's presentation, we'll be making forward-looking statements, which reflect our current analysis of existing trends and information. There is an inherent risk that actual results and experience could differ materially. You can find a discussion of our risk factors, which could potentially contribute to such differences in our 2025 Form 10-K and in our Form 10-Q, which was filed earlier today. During this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these amounts to the comparable GAAP measures are reflected in today's slide presentation and posted in the Investor Relations section of our website at investor.fluor.com. I'll now turn the call over to Jim Breuer, Fluor's Chief Executive Officer. Jim?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jason, and good morning, everyone. I'll start by reviewing some highlights from the quarter. Please turn to Slide 3. First, as we previewed on our call in Q1, the pull-through capture of our prospect pipeline is taking flight. New awards for the quarter were strong at over $6 billion, and backlog grew to almost $27 billion. These figures support a book-to-bill ratio above 1 for the full year. We didn't expect some of these awards until the back half of the year, so it's a positive outcome that our clients are accelerating these decisions. Second, and equally important, this growth is coming from a range of end markets. Clients are choosing Fluor for our ability to deliver large complex projects. Third, in the quarter, we completed two legacy infrastructure projects and expect the other two remaining projects to complete by the end of the year. And finally, with the award of the Centrus fuel enrichment project, Fluor continues to build its presence in the nuclear value chain. I will expand my thoughts on this in a moment. Turning to Slide 4. Last quarter, I discussed our prospect pipeline and the work required to mature these opportunities into full EPC awards, which then drive backlog and EBITDA. This quarter, we had significant front-end work translate into full EPC programs supporting nuclear fuels, fertilizers, copper and midstream. This is shown in the dark blue area of the chart. Furthermore, as these front-end projects graduate to EPC status, we are replenishing the pipeline with new front-end opportunities in our target markets. Shown in the lighter blue, these opportunities include fertilizers in the U.K., data center work, copper in the Americas, domestic refining, nuclear power, chemicals in the Middle East and LNG. We are leaning into these growth markets and investing time and effort with our clients during the planning phase to set projects up for success once they are fully funded and released. Turning to Slide 5. Urban Solutions continues to contribute a majority of our revenue and will drive further growth over the next several quarters. In mining and metals, our clients have signaled more robust capital spending over the next 18 months. Our in-house M&M pipeline includes nearly $30 billion of potential awards in this time frame, and we expect to capture a significant amount of these opportunities. In infrastructure, we've had an active quarter. On the LBJ project, all main lanes, toll lanes and side roads have been turned over to TxDOT. We also completed the Oak Hill Parkway in Texas, the Red Purple Line elevated rail project in Chicago and the Gordie Howe International Bridge. The bridge opened to traffic on July 27. During the quarter, results for this project were impacted by the effects of foreign currency fluctuation, the bankruptcy of one of our subcontractors and client-driven changes. We continue to work collaboratively with the client, our partners and subcontractors to resolve the remaining commercial matters. For the quarter, Urban Solutions new awards were $3.2 billion and include construction management for a copper mine in Chile, a feasibility study for Anglo's fertilizer project in the U.K. and expanded scope for a fertilizer project in Canada, additional scope on the life sciences project in the U.S. and an infrastructure project in Europe. Looking ahead to our prospect pipeline, we're well positioned for new life sciences work, a rare earth magnet facility, two copper projects in South America and an aluminum rolling mill for an existing client in the Middle East. We're also advancing work for TeraWulf and their data center in Kentucky. On a limited release basis, we're currently providing project management and engineering services and are working towards finalizing the commercial terms of the EPC contract. Moving to Slide 6. In Energy Solutions, as you know, we have closed out several mega projects in recent months. We're now executing front-end work that we booked over the past few quarters, which will support the next wave of EPC projects. Starting with power. Demand for electricity generation continues to build, driven by data center growth, industrial expansion and broader electrification. That demand is creating a meaningful set of opportunities in domestic gas-fueled power, where clients are engaging us and seeking to advance work under reasonable commercial terms. We are working on a front-end basis for a combined cycle project on the East Coast, and we recently submitted our proposal to another client for two simple cycle projects in the Midwest. We're also advancing a standardized combined cycle design for a third client. These collective efforts will support meaningful growth in our backlog in the first half of 2027. In nuclear, we're progressing the FEED work for the X-energy Dow project and are preparing a detailed cost estimate for the Cernavoda project in Romania. We're also in discussions with SMR and traditional nuclear technology providers for several opportunities. In the oil and gas space, we recently signed a long-term agreement with Aramco. This contract positions Fluor to support a broad portfolio of capital projects around the globe and extends our decades-long relationship with this important client. Last month, we announced the sale of our equity in the Mexican joint venture for $175 million. Over the past 30-plus years, our joint venture completed numerous projects across Mexico's oil and gas, power, mining and manufacturing markets. We are grateful to our partner and to our employees for the tremendous successes we shared, and we are proud of the legacy we have built together. Now given our current strategic priorities and the expected capital spending cycle in Mexico for the rest of the decade, we determined it was the right time to conclude this joint venture. This step gives our former partner more autonomy to pursue opportunities independently. And for Fluor, it sharpens our focus on our targeted growth areas and bolsters our liquidity further. New awards for the quarter include the limited notice to proceed for Phase 2 of the LNG Canada project. This award enables early planning and advances key activities in support of the client's proposed final investment decision expected later this year. We also started execution of a FEED package for a new aromatics facility in Bahrain and booked a gas compression project for a West Coast client. Over the next few quarters, we are positioning for front-end work in the Canadian oil sands. And we're seeing a notable uptick for front-end refinery work domestically that could translate into EPC work in 2027 and 2028. With regards to the Middle East, we continue to monitor the evolving situation. The well-being of our employees and their families continues to be our highest priority, and we have been able to execute the work in backlog without significant disruption. We remain engaged with our clients on additional opportunities and are well-positioned to support them once the situation stabilizes and they're ready to move forward. Turning to Slide 7. Mission Solutions continues to work for the Department of Energy and War while expanding into additional EPC opportunities. During the quarter, we received an additional task order to support Operation Epic Fury and an extension to an intelligence services contract. When combined with the two-year extension received last month, every ongoing intelligence contract in our portfolio has been extended this year. Prospects for the next few quarters include the rebid for the Savannah River program. As a reminder, under the rebid, the M&O scope and the plutonium pit project will be combined. Our proposal is in, and we're confident in our value proposition. While we anticipate a decision early next year, we do expect a six-month extension for our current work at this site later this year. Finally, during the quarter, we booked an award on the Centrus fuel enrichment facility. This significant award demonstrates our ability to apply our project delivery experience to the combined mission of national security and energy independence. And while we're on the topic of nuclear and before I turn the call over to John, I'd like to expand on our broader nuclear offering and how it supports our growth strategy. Please turn to Slide 8. Fluor's experience spans the full life cycle of the industry, including commercial power generation, plant operation and maintenance, SMRs, nuclear fuels, national security, lab management, decontamination and decommissioning. Starting with conventional power generation, Fluor has performed design or construction work on 21 nuclear power plants. Beyond initial construction, we have supported ongoing operation of the domestic nuclear fleet through maintenance, outage and operational services at more than 90 reactors nationwide. Internationally, we're currently executing front-end development work for a two-reactor expansion at an existing power generation station in Europe. In SMR technology, we continue to build capability across multiple platforms, including NuScale, X-energy and a third technology partner, which we hope to unveil in the near future. Across nuclear fuels, Fluor is helping expand uranium enrichment capability in the U.S. with our recent award. This work complements decades of experience spanning uranium mining, conversion and enrichment. In National Security & Site Management, Fluor supports some of the nation's most critical nuclear security and strategic infrastructure programs across DOE and NNSA sites. And finally, in environmental cleanup and decommissioning, Fluor has led some of the world's largest and most complex nuclear remediation, waste management and site closure programs. Taken together, Fluor has meaningful experience across the full nuclear value chain. And as global investment in nuclear infrastructure accelerates in the coming years, we believe this capability will continue to create attractive opportunities for us. I'll now turn the call over to John for a financial update.

John ReganChief Financial Officer

Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Today, I want to spend some time covering a few topics, namely Q2 results, the divestiture of our JV in Mexico and our updated '26 guidance, including the capital returns expected in the second half. Please turn to Slide 10. For the second quarter, revenue was $4.3 billion, up 9% from a year ago as we saw strong execution across our portfolio. This also drove adjusted EBITDA to $149 million compared to $96 million a year ago. And Q2 adjusted EPS was $0.91 compared with $0.43 last year. Ending backlog was $26.9 billion and reflects our sizable Q2 awards and the removal of just over $650 million of backlog related to our now former JV in Mexico. We decided to remove the backlog preemptively even though we didn't close the sale until Q3. I hope this kind of transparency helps our investors better digest the impact of our portfolio decisions. From a legacy project perspective, the remaining backlog decreased to $120 million at the end of Q2 and will continue to wane across the back half of '26. Now let's review our business segments starting on Slide 11. Urban Solutions reported a Q2 segment profit of $38 million compared to $29 million a year ago. Profits did include $44 million in additional losses on the Gordie Howe project, which stem from the factors Jim discussed earlier. Energy Solutions reported a segment profit of $88 million compared to only $15 million a year ago, largely arising from higher contributions on projects nearing completion. This evidences the high quality of our closeout efforts on these projects. Mission Solutions had a segment profit of $44 million versus $35 million last year, driven primarily by improved fee performance across our DOE portfolio. Let's move to Slide 12. We ended Q2 with $3 billion in cash and cash equivalents compared to $3.2 billion at March 31, meaning we have robust liquidity to support continued share repurchases and pursue inorganic opportunities. Looking ahead to July 31, that cash balance has seen a slight increase back to $3.2 billion. As reported, operating cash flow for the quarter was a negative $317 million. This includes a tax payment of $357 million associated with the conversion of our NuScale shares in 2025. So the result without the tax effects would have been $40 million of positive operating cash flow on a more normalized basis. As a reminder, we had signaled the tax payment since Q4 of last year, so it should come as no surprise. As it relates to our loss projects, having completed $96 million in Q2 funding, including $43 million reflected inside of operating cash flow, we only see an additional $94 million in future funding, all of which could be concluded in Q3. We certainly have the liquidity to make those payments now, but we don't complete the funding until our partners also fund. It will be momentous to put this execution chapter behind us. As Jim mentioned, in July, we sold out of our JV in Mexico for $175 million. This triggers a pretax book gain of $90 million and a tax payment of $33 million, which we funded earlier this month. Through the end of the decade, we saw diminishing backlog and limited prospects, so it made sense for both parties to pursue other opportunities aligned to our different growth strategies. Turning to our revised guidance on Slide 13. I want to walk you through the components of our EBITDA bridge from our previous midpoint to our new target. First, we have incorporated the foregone profit of about $23 million in the second half of the year that would have been generated by our former JV in Mexico. This makes the comparable starting point $519 million. By laying this out, we are trying to provide more of that heightened transparency. Second, we are managing the remaining impact from our lost contracts. The good news is that with the Gordie and LBJ projects now complete, we can focus our remaining efforts on completing LAX and I-35 Phase 2 by the end of this year. Third, we continue to see improved performance across our portfolio with segments delivering at or above expectations in most cases. And fourth, despite the continued hostilities in the Middle East, we saw no impact to our guidance directly related to the conflict. We do continue to evaluate the implications for our clients and any residual impacts on our supply chain efforts across the existing portfolio. While the region remains a source of uncertainty, our Q2 new awards demonstrate confidence from clients generally moving forward with capital projects outside the region. Turning to Slide 14. With these considerations, our revised adjusted EBITDA guidance is $500 million to $525 million, which implies an adjusted EPS range between $2.70 to $2.80 at our current repurchase tempo. Our key full year assumptions are outlined on the slide, including an adjusted operating cash flow guide of $300 million to $320 million, which exclude the Q2 tax payment directly related to NuScale and the Q3 tax payment for our JV sale, both of which represent the tax bill on transactions reported within investing cash flow. I'll point out this is a slight raise to our earlier guidance. We expect a new awards book-to-burn ratio well above 1, G&A of $170 million to $180 million, excluding up to $15 million across the full year for a potential replacement of our ERP and for other technology enhancements. An assumed tax rate of 28% to 30%, which includes the effect of taxes for the Q3 sale of our Mexican JV; a revenue split of approximately 65% Urban, 20% Energy and 15% Mission, which is unchanged from our May guide. Assuming these splits, as-reported full year segment margin expectations are 2.5% to 3% in Urban, 6% to 7% in Energy and 6% in Mission. As we outlined last quarter, our capital allocation priorities remain centered on returning meaningful value to shareholders while preserving flexibility to invest in our own business. In the second quarter, we continued to execute against that framework, repurchasing six million shares and deploying $300 million. We still model $1.4 billion of repurchases for all of '26. Beyond the share repurchases, we will seek to drive long-term growth in our chosen end markets. This includes continued investment in our capabilities, systems and people. It also considers a disciplined evaluation of inorganic opportunities in selected growth markets that are aligned to our strategic objectives. As we reflect on the quarter, our core business remains healthy. We delivered strong awards in the quarter, and we have taken decisive steps to further simplify the portfolio, complete our legacy projects and put capital to work in ways that support long-term growth. With that, operator, let's open the line for questions.

分析師問答

OperatorOperator

The operator provided instructions for the question-and-answer session. Your first question comes from the line of Jamie Cook from Truist.

Jamie CookAnalyst (Truist)

I guess my two questions. One, obviously, we had the favorable closeout in Energy Solutions. John, any way you can help us think about the underlying profitability of that business excluding that favorable closeout, understanding that's good that you guys got the favorable closeout. Just any help there so we can think about normalized margins. And then my second question, Jim, it was nice to see the $6.1 billion in new awards. Obviously, things are moving quicker than you had anticipated. So that's a positive. How are you thinking about the book-to-bill? Given what we saw in the first quarter, are you seeing any other projects move forward at a more rapid pace than you initially expected versus last year? And does that contribute at all to the 2026 guidance?

John ReganChief Financial Officer

Yes, maybe I'll start on the closeout. Energy has been in a space where some of their mega projects have been drawing to conclusion, and so when we generally refer to closeout efforts, we are talking about subcontractor settlements and warranty satisfaction. The closeout efforts themselves really represent profits that could have been recognized theoretically earlier in the process. That said, those efforts did contribute meaningfully to Energy Solutions in the quarter. Looking ahead to the back half of the year, you do see some diminution in the segment profit percentage in Energy Solutions as they begin to reload their business with things like a large LNG project and with some of the power opportunities that Jim talked about. So what you'll see in the back half of the year is a shift in the portfolio, whereby Urban Solutions is more meaningfully contributing to the absolute quantum of EBITDA as opposed to Energy Solutions. So it will be a slight inversion to what we saw in the first half of the year.

Jamie CookAnalyst (Truist)

Just one clarification. Sorry, John, was the favorable closeout embedded in your original guidance? And then I wanted to thank you on the EBITDA bridge for guidance. That was very helpful.

John ReganChief Financial Officer

Yes, in large part, yes, those closeout efforts were part of our original guidance. Maybe just an acceleration from the back half or from the third quarter specifically coming back into the first half.

Jamie CookAnalyst (Truist)

Okay. And then go ahead, Jim, on the new awards.

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

On the new awards, yes, we are very pleased with the $6.1 billion in Q2. The prospects that we're tracking for Q3 and Q4 are looking very good, whether it's LNG or it's copper or it's rare earth magnets. There's a big data center prospect. It's always a little challenging for us to predict the exact timing of these full releases. I will tell you that we have enough resilience in that plan that we feel very good about a book-to-bill well above 1. I don't know that I see a trend in many of them being accelerated, but I feel pretty good about a strong book-to-bill ratio by the end of the year.

Jamie CookAnalyst (Truist)

And now we're saying well above 1 versus above 1?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

We did say that.

John ReganChief Financial Officer

That's what we have said, yes.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of Andy Kaplowitz from Citigroup.

Andrew KaplowitzAnalyst (Citigroup)

Jim and John, it's good to see the progress on the legacy projects. I think that backlog is now only at $119 million. Maybe you can just update us on where you are on the remaining projects and particularly the mining project. It seems like no news is good news. So maybe talk about percent complete there and how that's progressing.

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

Thanks, Andy. The project continues to advance. We have already started handing over early portions of the project to the client, and we'll continue to do so throughout this year. Now that being said, we're working with the client on some additional scope items that, once agreed, would likely impact the timing and the schedule of the project. So we've made good progress in certain areas, and other areas we need to resolve with the client to further advance them.

Andrew KaplowitzAnalyst (Citigroup)

Okay. And when would we find out about those scope changes?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

Conversations are ongoing. I would say it would take a couple of months to resolve that.

Andrew KaplowitzAnalyst (Citigroup)

Okay. Got it. And then, Jim, maybe just sort of backing up, and I'll call it the data center ecosystem projects. You sound more positive on the power projects, more customers, then obviously, there's TeraWulf. And I guess I'll include the magnet facility in the U.S. on that. Do you sense that there's just a wider variety of projects that you can get on your terms? And what does that mean over the next few quarters for your bookings and your potential earnings?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

That's right, Andy. We see power to be the best play for us in the whole data center ecosystem and then we made some great progress in recent months. I mentioned in my prepared remarks several projects we're working on the front end with various clients, not just with one client. We're advancing these projects nicely towards an EPC negotiation and award. Because we're doing it in a methodical way and we don't want to convert to lump sum until we can properly understand and price the risk. My sense is that these things will happen in the first half of next year. So that's why we're saying these front-end activities are going to lead to meaningful awards in the first half of next year. Around data centers, we are working very closely with the one client for the data center in Kentucky. We are looking at other opportunities, but as we said before, many of those projects don't quite match our selectivity and our sweet spot. So we will continue to look at the data center market selectively. And if we can find the right opportunity, we'll go after it with full force. So power is number one, data center is number two.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of Sangita Jain from KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Sangita JainAnalyst (KeyBanc Capital Markets)

If I can start with the Centrus booking first. Can you walk us through when we should start to see that project burn in revenue for you and what the margin profile would look like versus your current Mission Solutions margin?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

Let me start with the timing of the project. We have been working on that project for at least six months in the early phases. We took the bigger award in Q2. We have a full team, several hundred people working on that. We have started some early procurement. Because this is percent-of-cost completion, the margin recognition is a function of the procurement and the construction. So we're going to see some of it this year, but I think the heavier side of it we're going to see next year and beyond.

John ReganChief Financial Officer

Sangita, when you look at the EBITDA bridge in the prepared materials, certainly the Centrus award is part of that pull-forward effect that is giving rise to the contribution shown. So the pull-through effect of Q2 new awards was really important. Closeout effects were also a factor. As a part of the overall bridge, that pull-through contributed to our updated guidance.

Sangita JainAnalyst (KeyBanc Capital Markets)

Got it. And then on the new EBITDA guide, I just want to see if you're including any probability-adjusted potential charges on the mining project that Andy referenced earlier or LAX or LBJ, or vice versa, if there are any positives there?

John ReganChief Financial Officer

We're not going to get into the mechanics of exactly how we develop the guidance range, but we are looking across the portfolio and assessing our risk-adjusted outcomes on those projects. I would say we feel pretty comfortable with the landing spot that we published this morning.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Dudas from Vertical Research.

Michael DudasAnalyst (Vertical Research)

Jim, again encouraging on the bookings. It seems like you have some more here in the second half into 2027 at a good pace. Can you share what the margins are on the backlog of these suites of projects, more of the EPC relative to some of the FEED work compared to what we've seen booked over the last 6 to 12 months? And are these terms and conditions leading to more visible profit pickup as you move through the cycle?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

Not only are we encouraged by the revenue side of these new awards, but we're also very pleased to see that margins continue to tick up in our new awards compared to what we had in backlog. Overwhelmingly, the awards were on the reimbursable side, but even then the margins are improving. That is a combination of very selective commercial negotiations, pursuing projects where we think we can add value and clients recognizing that value. As we take on some lump sum work in the future, whether it's in LNG or power, you would also expect those margins to be higher. We're making sure those estimates have enough contingency so that we protect our margin well. That's part of our smart lump-sum strategy. My plan is to continue to drive margin up in the backlog. As the backlog grows, and as we continue to see backlog growth in the next few quarters, I think you'll start seeing that margin translate into the income statement.

Michael DudasAnalyst (Vertical Research)

Excellent. I appreciate that. John, you mentioned with the significant cash balance and the profile you have, you're starting to sharpen a little bit more on inorganic opportunities. Maybe you could share a little about what you're targeting in the early stage: what you need, process development, team, size and what skill sets you need in your more asset-light business?

John ReganChief Financial Officer

It won't be a heavy steel business. Whatever we're looking at is aligned to our strategic end markets: power, mining, government services—particularly those with security clearance—and life sciences and pharma. In terms of size, that's part of the art of the deal, and we'll evaluate on a case-by-case basis. Management has the bandwidth and resources to execute. We can't talk about specifics until we have a deal in hand.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of Andy Wittmann from Baird.

Andrew J. WittmannAnalyst (Baird)

Jim, I wanted to ask about mining. The press release talks about metals and mining revenue starting to ramp and your comment about $30 billion of relatively near-term opportunities. Can you drill into that a little bit more? Do all these $30 billion projects have you listed as the FEED agent on them? What will it take for some of these to wind up as final investment decisions—governmental approvals, permitting, other items? What should we be looking for? Also, where does the margin profile and risk profile stand on these opportunities?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

We said roughly $30 billion of in-house pipeline, meaning we're doing the studies on these projects. There are other projects we're tracking outside of the $30 billion that are not currently in-house. By mining and metals, we're primarily talking copper, fertilizers (including potash), steel and aluminum. Geographically, it's widespread: South America, North America, Australia, the U.K., the Middle East. When we talk about the hurdles to full release, some of it is regulatory and permitting, but the majority relates to clients seeking capital efficiency. Clients want to ensure their investments will be profitable, so we work closely with them to design minimum viable solutions and to minimize the impact of escalation and supply chain disruption. Commodity pricing for these products is strong, so demand exists for copper, fertilizers, aluminum and steel. We can't say all of them will go forward, but we think a good chunk will.

Andrew J. WittmannAnalyst (Baird)

Thoughts on the risk you're taking and the margins associated with that?

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

The vast majority of the work will be reimbursable, which is lower risk and therefore generally aligns with historical margins in the mining and metals business.

Andrew J. WittmannAnalyst (Baird)

John, on backlog conversion: the backlog and awards for the quarter are a highlight. If we look at remaining performance obligations, it appears the within-one-year content has trended a bit lower. Should we assume the backlog is extending in duration? What does that mean about when you see earnings growth or EBITDA accelerating? Is that more of a 2027 event than 2026? How should we read RPOs versus backlog and your view on conversion timing?

John ReganChief Financial Officer

On the RPO front, what you're seeing reflects a lot of the large energy mega projects rolling out. With the Q2 new awards, many have multi-year execution horizons. I don't think there's anything anomalous about it; it reflects the difference between some energy projects concluding and the reload in Q2 extending meaningfully into 2027, with peak execution in late 2027 and early 2028.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of Judah Aronovitz from UBS.

Judah AronovitzAnalyst (UBS)

On for Steven Fisher today. I wanted one clarification on the EBITDA guide. You mentioned the $90 million pretax gain from the sale; is that factored in? Also, how confident are you in achieving the new guide for the year? You're implying a small step-up in the second half relative to the Q2 run rate. What are the moving pieces between Q2 versus Q3 and Q4? Is there anything else you still need to book, or are you covered for the year?

John ReganChief Financial Officer

The $90 million gain is outside of the guide, so we would not consider it part of the run rate of earnings. The guide implies a similar trajectory from Q2 into the back half of '26, but with a different segment profile: Mission will contribute similarly, Energy goes from a larger contributor in the first half to a lesser contributor in the back half, and Urban Solutions meaningfully increases EBITDA generation in the back half. In terms of new awards in the back half necessary to attain the guide, that's not critical because things booked in Q3 generally won't contribute a lot to EBITDA within the back half; they'd burn more meaningfully in 2027 and beyond. A majority of the expected EBITDA in the second half already reposes within our backlog today.

Judah AronovitzAnalyst (UBS)

Okay. And just one clarification on that. So the $90 million gain outside of your guide would be excluded once recognized? Is that what you're saying?

John ReganChief Financial Officer

Yes, that's essentially what I'm implying.

Judah AronovitzAnalyst (UBS)

That's helpful. You mentioned a bit of a ramp in Urban in the second half. In Q2, excluding the Gordie Howe charge, margins were still below the target I think you mentioned of 3% to 4% in that business. Could we see margins improve in the second half, or is it more on the revenue side? In terms of margins, what are the key drivers in getting margins higher? Is it better utilization or a changing mix?

John ReganChief Financial Officer

There is a bit of a mix implication. We do expect a slight uptick in Urban margins in the back half. That's largely due to portfolio performance and the different margins within their individual business lines. I don't think there's anything earthshattering in the print for the back half.

OperatorOperator

At this time, there are no further questions. I will now turn the call back to Jim Breuer for closing remarks.

James BreuerChief Executive Officer

Thank you, operator, and thank you for joining today's call. I am pleased to see solid momentum across our end markets and continued strength in our opportunity pipeline as evidenced by a strong Q2. Thank you, and have a good day.

OperatorOperator

This concludes today's call. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect.

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