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Dole plc(DOLE)Q2 2026 法說會逐字稿

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管理層發言

OperatorOperator

Welcome to Dole plc's Second Quarter 2026 Results Webcast. Today's webcast is being broadcast live over the Internet and is also being recorded for playback purposes. Operator instructions. For opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to the Head of Investor Relations with Dole plc, James O'Regan.

James O'ReganHead of Investor Relations

Thank you, Derrick. Welcome, everybody, and thank you for joining our results webcast. Joining me today is our Chief Executive Officer, Rory Byrne; our Chief Operating Officer, Johan Linden; and our Chief Financial Officer, Jacinta Devine. During this webcast, we will be referring to presentation slides to supplement our remarks, and these, along with our earnings release and other related materials, are available on the Investor Relations section of the Dole plc website. Please note, our remarks today will include certain forward-looking statements within the provisions of the federal securities safe harbor law. These reflect circumstances at the time they are made, and the company expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. Actual results or outcomes may differ materially from those that may be expressed or implied due to a wide range of factors, including those set forth in our SEC filings and press releases. Information regarding the use of non-GAAP financial measures may be found in our press release, which also includes a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures. With that, I'm pleased to hand over to Rory.

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Thank you, James, and welcome, everybody, and thank you all for joining us today as we discuss our results for the second quarter and provide an update on the latest developments across the Group. So turning firstly to Slide 4. Across the Group, we continue to see healthy consumer demand for our products. Fresh produce consumption remains resilient, supported by the long-term health and wellness trends, and we believe this augurs well for the future of our sector. Our second quarter results were in line with our expectations, reflecting the impact of higher fuel and shipping costs on Fresh Fruit profitability arising from the conflict in the Middle East. Despite these pressures, the quarter once again demonstrated the resilience of our diversified business model with the strength of our Diversified Americas in particular helping to offset the pressures experienced in Fresh Fruit. Since our last update, we've been active in advancing our development pipeline while maintaining our disciplined approach to capital allocation. Turning now to Slide 5 and focusing in more detail on this topic. As we said last quarter, our priority remains clear: to allocate capital where we can achieve the best long-term returns for our shareholders. As part of this approach, we were delighted to complete the Ecuador port sale on July 1. This transaction represents an important milestone, unlocking approximately $95 million of net proceeds, further strengthening our balance sheet and increasing our financial flexibility. Importantly, the sale is expected to have a negligible impact on our ongoing earnings and cash flow profile, making it a very attractive, value-enhancing transaction for shareholders. We continue to explore an important strategic opportunity to invest in automation, AI and innovative warehouse solutions to better serve our core customer base in Scandinavia. As part of this strategy, we were very pleased to complete the acquisition of Greenfood's Fresh Produce division in Scandinavia at the beginning of July. This acquisition strengthens our position in an attractive market where we already have meaningful and successful operational capabilities. And it also adds a state-of-the-art distribution facility in Helsingborg, which gives us a strong platform for the next phase of this automation and artificial intelligence investment. Alongside these larger projects, we continue to look at smaller bolt-on acquisitions that complement and strengthen our existing operations. During the quarter, we completed a bolt-on acquisition within our Irish growing operations, further strengthening our sourcing capabilities and supply base. The fresh produce market remains fragmented, and we continue to see opportunities for disciplined acquisitions that add value across our core markets. Finally, returning capital to shareholders remains an important component of our capital allocation framework. During the quarter, we repurchased just over 700,000 shares for $10 million, at an average price of $13.88 per share. As always, we weigh share repurchases against the returns available from our development projects and acquisitions. We remain focused on balancing investment for growth with returns to shareholders. Turning now to the operational review and beginning with the Fresh Fruit slide on Slide 8. As we flagged on our first quarter call, we anticipated higher fuel and shipping costs to arise from the conflict in the Middle East, and that is how the quarter played out. Looking at our main product categories. Bananas, we saw strong volumes in Europe with pricing broadly in line with the prior year. In North America, volumes were lower, reflecting market conditions and our focus on disciplined profitability, although underlying pricing was slightly higher than the prior year. For pineapples, weather affected availability during the quarter, while the continued strength of the Costa Rica colón pressured profitability. These challenges are not unique to Dole and continue to affect producers across the industry. Positively, overall demand for our products remains resilient. As we move through the second half, we expect to benefit from contractual pricing mechanisms, including fuel surcharges together with increasing benefits from our recent investments in production and sourcing, and the cost-saving actions we continue to advance across the segment. Taken together, these initiatives are expected to help offset a portion of the cost pressures experienced during the second quarter and support improved Fresh Fruit performance in the second half of the year relative to the prior year. Turning now to Diversified EMEA. The segment delivered a solid quarter overall, with revenue broadly stable, although profitability was slightly below the strong prior year comparative. Sweden was again a strong contributor, and we continue to see the benefits of our investments in logistics, infrastructure and automation. The lower year-on-year result was driven largely by South Africa, which had our greatest exposure to the disruption in the Middle East during the quarter. Turning to Diversified Americas. Diversified Americas delivered another strong quarter and was again an important contributor to Group performance. The segment benefited from strong category performance, disciplined execution and the continued benefits of investments made over recent years. The dynamic pricing model continues to support profitability and gives us flexibility to manage changing market conditions. The strong performance through the first half again highlights the value of our diversified business model and helped offset the pressures in Fresh Fruit. With that, I'll hand you over to Jacinta to give the financial review for the second quarter.

Jacinta DevineChief Financial Officer

Thank you, Rory, and good day, everyone. Turning firstly to the Group results on Slide 11. Group revenue of $2.5 billion was 2.9% higher on a reported basis, reflecting positive operational performance across the Group, together with favorable foreign exchange movements. Excluding foreign exchange impacts, on a like-for-like basis, revenue was 1.7% ahead. While revenue remained resilient, profitability was impacted by higher costs within Fresh Fruit, as discussed by Rory. Cost of sales increased at a proportionally higher rate than revenue, primarily reflecting the higher costs in Fresh Fruit. And as a result, gross profit decreased by $23 million. SG&A expenses were higher year-over-year, primarily due to a nonrecurring charge recorded in connection with the settlement of a historical legal matter. In Q2 2025, we booked gains from asset sales in Hawaii, which also contributed to the overall decrease in operating income. Offsetting this, other income increased by $22.6 million, primarily reflecting favorable unrealized foreign exchange movements on foreign currency denomination borrowings compared with an unrealized loss in the prior year. Interest expense decreased by $2.7 million due to lower average borrowings and lower base interest rates. Overall, net income from continuing operations was $35.1 million, compared to $52.9 million in the prior year. However, total net income increased year-on-year as the prior year included a loss from discontinued operations associated with the Fresh Vegetables business, which was divested in August 2025. Looking now at the non-GAAP performance measures. Adjusted EBITDA was $117 million, a decrease of $20.4 million, mainly driven by the higher costs within Fresh Fruit and partially offset by another strong performance from Diversified Americas. Adjusted net income decreased $9.4 million, predominantly due to the decrease in adjusted EBITDA, partially offset by lower interest expense and a lower tax charge. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.46, compared to $0.55 in Q2 2025. Turning now to the divisional updates, starting with Fresh Fruit on Slide 13. Revenue of $972.8 million was broadly in line with the prior year as higher banana volumes in Europe and higher underlying pricing in North America was partially offset by lower banana volumes in North America and lower pineapple volumes across all markets. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $22.5 million to $50.3 million, primarily reflecting elevated fuel and shipping costs, higher fruit sourcing costs, higher pineapple growing costs and the continued appreciation of the Costa Rican colón. In Diversified Fresh Produce - EMEA, reported revenue increased 1%, primarily due to favorable foreign exchange and underlying growth in Scandinavia, partially offset by lower revenue in Spain relative to a strong comparator quarter. On a like-for-like basis, revenue decreased by 1.7% or $19 million. Adjusted EBITDA decreased 6%, compared with a very good performance in Q2 '25, as continued strength in Scandinavia and a favorable foreign exchange impact was offset by weaker performance in South Africa, the Netherlands and Spain. On a like-for-like basis, adjusted EBITDA decreased $4 million. Finally, Diversified Americas delivered another strong result this year. Revenue increased 14%, driven primarily by higher volumes in North American business, particularly kiwi, avocados and North American cherries, together with more positive season-end pricing for our Southern Hemisphere export business. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $5.2 million to $20.6 million, driven by a strong performance in our North American business together with the continued benefits of the partial restructuring of our berry operations in the fourth quarter of 2025. Turning to Slide 16 for a view of key cash items and net leverage. Capital expenditure was circa $25 million, including investments designed to support future growth, expand capacity and improve operating efficiency. For full year 2026, we are maintaining our guidance for routine CapEx of approximately $100 million. As expected, working capital remained an outflow during the first half of the year, reflecting the normal seasonal profile of the business. However, as discussed in our Q1 call, first half free cash flow significantly improved compared to the prior year. Net debt in the quarter was impacted by the first step of the Ecuador port sale transaction. As part of that transaction, we completed a pre-closing ownership restructuring in May, acquiring the remaining minority interest in the port business. The second and final step closed on July 1, and the associated proceeds will be recognized in the third quarter. Overall, net proceeds are now expected to be approximately $95 million. We ended the quarter with net debt of $746 million and net leverage of 2x. Reflecting the completion of the Ecuador port sale on July 1 and the expected net proceeds of approximately $95 million, pro forma net leverage would have been approximately 1.6x at quarter-end. This remains a conservative level of leverage and provides us with significant flexibility as we continue to execute our capital allocation strategy. Now I will hand you back to Rory, who will provide an update on our outlook for 2026.

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jacinta. So looking beyond the quarter, we are very encouraged with the strength and diversity of our portfolio, the quality of our market positioning and the strategic progress achieved during the first half of the year. So we move into the second half, fuel and shipping costs remain elevated and geopolitical developments continue to create uncertainty. While some of the sharp cost increases experienced during the second quarter appear to be moderating, the operating environment is still complex. Consumer demand across our key markets has remained resilient, supported by long-term health and wellness trends. We also expect to benefit from contractual pricing mechanisms and cost-saving initiatives in Fresh Fruit, the effectiveness of our dynamic pricing model across the diversified businesses, and positive returns from recent investments and development activity. Taking all these factors together, we are targeting full year adjusted EBITDA of approximately $400 million for 2026. And with that, I'll hand you back to the operator to open the line for questions.

分析師問答

OperatorOperator

Your first question comes from the line of Christopher Barnes with Deutsche Bank.

Christopher BarnesAnalyst (Deutsche Bank)

First, I guess, could we just start on the EBITDA guidance? I know now it's approximately $400 million, down from at least $400 million before. But I just want to get more perspective on what you're expecting for the second half. Last quarter you mentioned that the second half would always be the stronger half for the year given the pricing, fuel surcharge recoveries and other opportunities to take out cost division by division. But I guess, are you able to size in the second quarter how much of a headwind was these fuel costs versus recovery mismatch this quarter? And as we sit here today, how should we think about those benefits in 3Q relative to higher fuel logistics costs and other inflationary pressures you might be incurring currently?

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Okay, Christopher. Yes, the main problem we've got here is that it's just such a difficult backdrop in which to predict anything. Certainly, if you look at the world, you look at the general impact on fuel prices and fertilizer prices, knock-on effects to inflation, consumer impacts, there is an overwhelming incentive around the world to try and solve this issue. But it's dragging on longer than we would have liked, and that obviously had some impact on our ability to get clear visibility over the back half of the year. We've put all the factors into the mix. We do have fuel surcharges that come in a quarter in arrears. We will see the benefit of that flow through in Q3. And then with the way pricing has been, I feel likely to be the same — similar benefit in Q4. Some negative impact in Europe where fuel has been a little bit higher versus what we would have liked it to have been, but there are some offsets and ups and downs. So I think really just, Christopher, the backdrop for being very precise about forecasts, it just remains so complex. But if we can achieve a $400 million EBITDA outcome with all of the challenges that are being thrown at us at the moment, I think it will be a pretty satisfactory outcome for the full year. And we expect that to be split across Q3 and Q4.

Christopher BarnesAnalyst (Deutsche Bank)

Understood. And just switching gears, how are your scenario-planning around potential disruption related to a super El Niño on your banana and pineapple businesses? I know in the past you've mentioned improved irrigation for some of the drought-prone areas and better drainage where flooding might occur. But any perspective on contingency plans in place at your own farms or those where you're sourcing from would be helpful. And if you're willing to offer any insight into how protected or exposed the broader industry might be, that also would be helpful.

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Johan will deal with that, Christopher.

Johan LindenChief Operating Officer

Yes, Christopher. Firstly, you mostly actually answered the question yourself, which is good, we appreciate that. But remember, weather is not new to us. We farm in the tropics. Managing weather is what we do every day. Also, this event is building; we don't yet know how strong it will be. It's just starting to build as we are speaking. However, the pattern is well understood. Ecuador will get more rain, Ecuador and northern Peru. Central America and Colombia will be drier. We have been building resilience to this for a long period of time, not only within Dole, but also across the industry. We have expanded irrigation in areas that are likely to be drier. We've built dikes and drainage in areas more likely to be impacted by rain. We elevate pump stations so they're not at flood levels. For other products, not talking about bananas and pineapples, but grapes or berries, the farmers we're working with are experimenting with new varieties that are more tolerant to drought and to excessive rain. On top of that, we are building our portfolio to be diversified. We have a lot of volumes south of the equator as well as north of the equator. So when you put all this together, we are keeping an eye on it, but we are not losing sleep on it right now, Christopher.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of Gary Martin with Davy.

Gary MartinAnalyst (Davy)

Just a few questions on my side. I'll start with the capital allocation just to begin with, and I'm cognizant that you bought back shares during the quarter. How do you think about just general capital allocation into the future and just kind of weighing the different return differentials between choices of capital usage, be it more organic investments in the Scandinavian area versus buybacks versus other potential M&A? How do you kind of think about the whole picture? That's my first question.

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Yes, Gary. As always in the question of capital allocation, we take a very dynamic approach. The dividend is well established, and we've held our dividend at a decent level. It gives an acceptable yield. Most of our shareholders are happy with that. There clearly are some small bolt-on acquisitions that very obviously give the right level of return compared to buybacks. We have some development CapEx. In Scandinavia, it's a combination of a small acquisition that gave us a strong platform. It's a smallish business, some $250 million revenue business, but has a very attractive facility that we believe we can utilize much better for the future development of our business. Over the last while, we've enhanced our investment at the production side and strengthened our position in production joint ventures. Across our European business, we've been upgrading our ripening facilities in Ireland, in France, in Spain—normal growth, small add-on developments—all part of the ongoing and successful development of the Group. So we look at everything. We look at the investment return opportunities. We obviously look at the interest rate environment. We look at our free cash flow development from our business. And we make variable judgments around all of those factors. We've carried out an element of the buyback program. Since we announced it last November, something like a $15 million buyback so far with a consistent dividend. So the return to shareholders we think is sensible and reasonable. But it's a dynamic process. We had flagged the Scandinavia investment, which is probably one of the longer-term, more significant uses of the Ecuador proceeds and the very strong $95 million net proceeds outcome as well. So I hope that covers it, Gary.

Gary MartinAnalyst (Davy)

I do have a part two, Rory, just on your answer there, just around the general returns profile, specifically some of that organic investments in Scandinavia. I know that you called out AI and automation spend in particular. How does that shift premium to the overall average of Dole right now? Is it materially higher in terms of the opportunity set?

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Yes. Our business is not one where we've quantum-leaped growth by making investments. We have a target level of return. The easiest way to look at it is we measure what our return would be against buybacks, and we try to ensure that our investments get a return that's a reasonable premium to that return. We would like to grow the business and develop the business. So we think there are interesting elements, particularly in Scandinavia, where we will go to a further level of automation in conjunction with some of our key customers in that area where we will utilize the latest robots and picking technology, utilize the latest AI developments, improve efficiencies and strengthen both the profitability and our long-term positioning with our key customers in that marketplace, and hopefully get the right return to enhance shareholder value over the long term as well.

Gary MartinAnalyst (Davy)

That makes sense. And maybe just to ask a different kind of line of questioning, just around the revenue performance in the quarter and just expectations for the back half in particular. Just one for Diversified North America in particular, it's been several very strong quarters now in a row. Are we expecting moderation at any point here? Was some of the performance, was it kind of timing based in Q2 and should we expect that to moderate in the back half?

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

We're not expecting any radical moderation in the back half of the year. We have had a pretty strong run in that division, fair wind in terms of the way seasons have fallen. So no radical shifts. But there can be a few ups and downs. Overall, we're very satisfied with that division.

Gary MartinAnalyst (Davy)

And then just on Diversified EMEA and Rest of the World. It was a reasonably flat to slightly negative revenue growth quarter. I'd be curious from a pricing pass-through perspective: was much of the headwind just the weakness in South Africa or was it some of the price pass-through and knock-on elasticity? What's the best way to think about it?

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

There are a couple of factors. Last year, we had a very strong increase in EMEA, and trying to repeat that was always going to be challenging. The single biggest factor this quarter is our South African business. It has the greatest exposure to the Middle East market. The magnitude of disruption that took place, particularly during the early part of the conflict, was radical where shipping in its entirety stopped and had to be reorganized. Across the remainder of that division, there is a little bit of a time lag to reflect price changes. But in the main, we've been able to adjust the dynamic pricing, as we have always been able to do within that division. South Africa really was our standout issue.

Gary MartinAnalyst (Davy)

That makes sense. And then just to top it off, I'll cover Fresh Fruit here just from a revenue growth perspective as well. There's one piece in particular that I'd be interested in, and that's the negative volume print in North America on the banana side. Is there anything that you'd call out in particular there? I know you kind of gave a bit of color in the prepared remarks, but are you seeing any demand attrition here in the U.S.?

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

I don't think so. Maybe Johan could give a little more flavor around that.

Johan LindenChief Operating Officer

No, we see demand holding stable in North America. Because of weather, pineapple volumes were down overall in the industry, and that impacts the category. We've been careful when it comes to protecting price in negotiations. That's it. Volume overall in the market is good, demand is good, consumers still love the products.

Gary MartinAnalyst (Davy)

Very good. Just one final one for me then, maybe it's one for Jacinta in particular, just around the first half's operating cash flow performance. I'd be curious about the way to think about net debt at year-end or just the general moving parts around the puts and takes of H2 operating cash flow performance.

Jacinta DevineChief Financial Officer

Yes, Gary. We always have an operating outflow in Q1 and Q2, and then typically experience a significant inflow in the second half. We expect a very similar cadence this year. Last year, we had lower operating cash flows, but this year, we expect it to be more normalized. So far, that's the way it's played out. In terms of our net debt at the end of the year, we have the benefits of the port proceeds now. So yes, we would expect leverage and net debt to be down at the end of the year. Hard to predict precisely, but I'm guessing leverage south of 1.5x.

OperatorOperator

Your next question comes from the line of Pooran Sharma with Stephens.

Pooran SharmaAnalyst (Stephens)

Rory, I wanted to get at something you said earlier in relation to guidance. I think you said Q3 and Q4 split for Fresh Fruit, and I wanted to just confirm that. Because seasonally, margins seem to wane from Q3 to Q4 in the past, but last year the business was facing pressure starting in the back half of the year. Are we expecting the margins to be similar through Q3 and Q4 and not exhibit that seasonality like we've seen in the past?

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Thanks for the question. Over the last year, circumstances have been different and there are a few factors. Last year, in the back half of the year in particular, there were several unusual dynamics: short production in Honduras and Panama, a huge increase in the cost of fruit coming out of Ecuador, which tends to be the safety valve, and the impact of that had a strong impact on our back half last year. We're not expecting that dynamic to repeat in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, we see the delayed benefit coming in from our contractual adjustments around bunker fuel surcharge. So yes, we do expect the margin dynamic in Q3 and Q4 in Fresh Fruit to be different from Q3 and Q4 of last year.

Pooran SharmaAnalyst (Stephens)

Okay. I appreciate that clarification. And then just to zoom out and think about the Fresh Fruit business: in the past this has been described as a 5% to 6% EBITDA margin business over time. Given changes in sourcing, freight and your production footprint over the last couple of years, do you feel like this is an appropriate normalized margin rate and what would it take to get back to this level?

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

We'd like it to be a little bit higher, and our internal aspiration is to push that up. Over the last few years, Honduras was the biggest single impact that affected us at the end of 2024 and 2025. That production is coming back on stream. Because of the way it links with our logistics and shipping, the cost of production in Honduras tends to give us a particular advantage that benefits margin. We've invested in a couple of production joint ventures, particularly in Guatemala, and we've invested in plantains. Pineapple margin has been under short-term pressure due to climatic issues that affected production, quality and sizing yields, but that tends to balance out over time. We could do with the world being a bit calmer and less volatility around fuel and shipping prices. With some favorable conditions and the production issues stabilizing, we expect to see benefits come through and to push margins back toward our normal aspiration.

OperatorOperator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Rory Byrne, CEO, for closing remarks.

Rory ByrneChief Executive Officer

Thank you. We are very pleased with the progress the business has made during the first half of the year. The operating environment remains complex, but our teams are continuing to execute well against that difficult backdrop. Our strategic priorities remain very clear and we're focused on delivering sustainable long-term value for our shareholders. I'd like to thank all of our employees across the Group for their continued dedication and hard work, as well as our shareholders, customers and suppliers for their ongoing support. Thank you all for joining us today and for your continued interest and support of Dole plc. Thank you very much.

OperatorOperator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

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