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Good morning, and welcome to Apollo Global Management's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. This conference call is being recorded. The call may include forward-looking statements and projections that do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to Apollo's most recent SEC filings for risk factors related to these statements. Apollo will discuss certain non-GAAP measures on this call, which management believes are relevant in assessing the company's financial performance. These non-GAAP measures are reconciled to GAAP figures in Apollo's earnings presentation, which is available on the company's website. Nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase an interest in any Apollo fund. I will now turn the call over to Noah Gunn, Global Head of Investor Relations.
Great. Thanks, operator, and welcome again, everyone, to our call. As usual, joining me to discuss our results are Marc Rowan, CEO; Jim Zelter, President; and Martin Kelly, CFO. Earlier this morning, we published our earnings release and financial supplement on the Investor Relations portion of our website. As you can see, our second quarter results demonstrate the momentum we are seeing across our business. We generated record fee-related earnings of $785 million or $1.26 per share and record spread-related earnings of $877 million or $1.41 per share. Combined, these core earnings streams drove total earnings or adjusted net income of $1.3 billion or $2.11 per share. Across key business drivers, including investment performance, origination and capital formation, these results highlight the tangible execution we're delivering against our business plan and the targets we've set. I'll now turn it over to Marc.
Thanks, Noah, and good morning. Second quarter was really all about momentum. FRE, as Noah suggested, $785 million, 25% year-over-year, 8% quarter-over-quarter. Management fees 23% year-over-year, 5% quarter-over-quarter. ACS, $277 million, the fifth straight quarter greater than $200 million. And as you will hear from Jim and Martin, increasingly durable and directly tied to our level of originations. SRE, $877 million. On an adjusted basis, 11%, it added about $76 million, also a record. The results were 5% up quarter-on-quarter, 11% year-over-year on the same basis. Strong organic growth, in line and slightly improved core spreads. In short, we're seeing momentum across the business. As you know, we believe that almost everything starts with origination. Origination here was a very strong quarter, $74 billion. Just to give you some perspective, that does not include Broadcom, the largest origination in our sector ever or a number of others. We account for and record the results when they close, not when they are announced. And so $50 billion of signed and announced in Q2 will benefit coming quarters. The pipeline has never been stronger, reflecting the global industrial renaissance that we've been speaking about. But most importantly, it's coming at consistent spread, 340 basis points over treasuries off an average rating of BBB. At the end of the day, people are in this asset class for excess return per unit of risk and that is what we need as a principal, that is what our investors need, and that is what we are trying to deliver. The reward for good performance is, of course, more to do. Capital formation, record for the quarter at $60 billion of organic inflows, $38 billion in asset management, $22 billion in Athene. In short, we believe that our 2026 growth outlook is on track for FRE and SRE. The trends in the business remain favorable. And it's up to us now to balance the desire for growth while the vast opportunity to invest in our business. Talk about our business a little bit. Our industry is in the midst of unprecedented change, certainly no different than the kind of change we've seen, but coming in a slightly different way. Just for some perspective, Apollo and its peer group in 2008, roughly $40 billion of AUM. Almost all of us were $35 billion of private equity and $5 billion of something else. Today, we're closer to $1.05 trillion, led by the growth for a product set that none of us envisioned when we were back in 2008, investment grade. And we have built a dominant IG origination franchise supporting the global industrial renaissance. Our peers are just now discovering that IG is actually a source of growth. We've seen this coming, and we're happy to have led them here. The growth in our sector continues to be driven by the need for capital to finance the global industrial renaissance, the need for yield from retirees directly and indirectly and by the need of investors to find diversification from increasingly crowded and correlated and indexed public markets. Recall that some 10 stocks are nearly 50% of the S&P. And when things go poorly, they go poorly all around. Private markets now offer the kind of diversification that investors used to expect in public markets when there were 8,000 public companies versus the 3,800 public companies we have today. The future for the industry, I also believe to be increasingly bright. As we've discussed in prior quarters, the entirety of our industry was built from one investor, one source of demand. This was the alternative bucket of our institutional clients. And today, we have six sources of demand: that first plus individuals plus insurance companies, plus the debt and equity bucket of our institutional clients, plus traditional asset managers and plus 401(k) and DC. All of that, I believe, bodes very well for future demand for private assets from a number of new investors, each of which has the opportunity to be the size of the first investor. I think the thing that we have seen perhaps differently than most of our peer set is we do not believe that those five new investors are coming to us in private markets in the structures that exist. If we want to serve them and increasingly have access to the full TAM that should be available to us, we are going to need to go to them. They have grown up as public market investors. The more that we can bring the origination from the private markets, but the packaging that they expect, the more I believe we will grow the asset class, and we will be more accepted and have greater sources of demand for our product. What you see going on in our business today is us pursuing this strategy. The changes we've made in estimated daily value, our ICE joint venture, our focus on settlement mechanics and on market making are all efforts to bring us closer to these five new buyers. It's not to say the rest of the industry is ignoring this. It's just no one is as fully committed to what we see as this big trend that is taking place in our industry and will increasingly shape our future. Just a couple of milestones. We went live with estimated daily value, estimated daily NAV on July 1 for the entirety of our fixed income investment-grade suite of asset products. By October 1, we expect to have daily pricing for all of our credit assets. That will be quite an accomplishment. Understand that the drive to estimated daily value is very investor-friendly. It is very transparent, but it also forces massive change internally. It forces us to digitize. It allows us to put our data in a form that increasingly allows us to take advantage of new technologies, new sources of information, new sources of efficiency. So this is a win-win. It's good for investors, and this is good for us. The partnership that we've announced with ICE is also driving change. It is now live. There are more than 2,000 ICE IDs. We expect the entirety of our product set, debt and equity over time to have ICE IDs. We expect ICE IDs will do what CUSIPs have done for public credit. We are increasingly attaching data and data fields to these ICE IDs. And ultimately, this will help in settlement and in market making. In market making, greater liquidity has expanded the opportunity set for every asset class that we have seen anywhere around the globe. We are now more than $30 billion traded. Volume continues to double, and we see really strong growth. People want to trade these assets, but they've never been in a form where liquidity has been available in a fair way at a fair price and a reasonable amount of time to settle. Every day, this franchise gets better and improves. The kinds of the things that I've talked about in market making, estimated daily value, settlement are a piece of what we need to do to serve these five new asset classes. Regulatory and transparency are another piece of this. Particularly in the insurance industry, we have been leading regulatory change. More disclosure, more transparency, no guesswork required. Full transparency on related party affiliate and Apollo-originated assets, full transparency on top holdings with case studies, full transparency with credit quality and ratings granularly dissected. We believe transparency helps all constituents grow. We have nothing but an amazing opportunity in retirement. The world is getting older. The world is in greater need of retirement income. We, the industry, have an opportunity to serve it and to grow through 2050. Very few industries can look out and see a demographic pattern as positive and as shaped just the way we see it, and it is our job to maintain and preserve trust. Increasingly, the industry is of the same mindset. Just this past week, the NAIC has put forward proposals to take meaningful steps toward addressing offshore regulatory arbitrage. We are also seeing increased focus by new governments, particularly in the Caymans, committed to cleaning up this sort of regulatory arbitrage. Cayman has done an unbelievable job for the funds industry and does not want to be thought of as a lesser place when it comes to insurance regulatory. And we will wait and see whether they actually move toward the kinds of steps that would grant them reciprocity and eliminate the regulatory arbitrage, which endangers the trust of the entire insurance industry. We are unwavering in our desire to see the industry operate on a level playing field, equal capital for equal risk. As I've mentioned previously, we are pushing hard on a AA. We believe we are capitalized for that. It is not that we need it. We want to make the distinction between what we do and many others in our market, unmistakable. In short, the future that we see is incredibly bright. It is, as we suggested, tied toward origination, but it is also tied to meeting our clients, particularly our new clients, where they are, not where we wish they would be. The steps our industry needs to take will cause profound change in the way we do business and in each of the firms, and I welcome it. I think those firms that address this in the right way and the right time are going to separate themselves from the 95% of the firms in our industry who simply want the world to stop changing until the principals can retire. Part of this commitment to change and commitment to meeting clients where they are, is to recognize that we also need to change. We confirmed yesterday that we will be opening a new office in Austin, Texas. And unlike a new office that simply houses more of the same, we are increasingly going to use Austin as a place to really focus on change to build the businesses of the future, to build the processes of the future, to get access to a workforce that is different than the workforce that is currently the vast majority of our industry. We're excited about what we can achieve there. We're excited about the environment in which we get to operate there. It is also home to some of our strongest LP relationships and one of our largest fundraising ecosystems. In short, second quarter was about momentum, incredibly pleased at how the year is shaping up, embracing and leading and changing and we're planning to win. With that, I'm going to turn the call over to Jim.
Thanks, Marc. We spent a lot of time thinking about the future of our industry and the change that we see taking place. Historically, the market looked at scaling in private equity or private credit and in particular, private direct lending as the sole signpost for success. When you step back and observe what's going on in private markets and where the industry is heading, there is a common thread forming. The opportunity in private IG, ratings, daily pricing, transparency and market making, all of these forces are working in tandem to massively expand our TAM. To sustain our growth and capture the opportunity ahead, we must remain focused on what's most critical, delivering excess return per unit of risk. Strong investment performance builds that trust and fuels growth over time. Across our platform, we are delivering. In private equity, our differentiated approach has stood out with Fund X generating a 21% net IRR well ahead of the index of the industry at 14% for the 2023 vintage. In hybrid, our hybrid value strategy has generated low to mid-teens returns since inception and is clearly scaling the opportunity set. And our AAA strategy is continuing its exceptional run with positive performance in 45 of the last 46 quarters, including 25 consecutive with low volatility. Broadly in credit, performance remains strong with all major strategies up 7% to 11% over the last 12 months. And amid heightened investor dialogue, ADS, our nontraded BDC, has continued to perform well with an annualized 8% inception-to-date return versus 4% for the high-yield index. To put the outperformance in perspective, $1 invested in ADS has returned nearly double the safe public high-yield and leveraged loan indexes since inception. Simply put, this outperformance is exactly why investors are attracted to private assets. With respect to origination activity for the second quarter totaled $74 billion, bringing first half volumes to nearly $150 billion and volume over the last 12 months to nearly $320 billion. Across our activity for the quarter, $68 billion was in debt, comprised basically 75% IG with an average rating of BBB+ and 25% sub-investment grade with an average rating of single B. Consistent with recent quarters, we observed relatively stable spreads across our platform volumes. On our investment-grade origination, we generated excess spread of 280 basis points over treasuries or approximately 200 over comparably rated corporates. On our sub-IG origination, we generated excess spread of 440 basis points over treasuries or approximately 150 basis points over comparably rated corporates. I'll highlight a few examples that demonstrate the breadth and the leadership of the flywheel we've built. In Healthcare, we provided a EUR 3 billion minority equity financing for Bayer through a JV, which will manufacture and produce certain core consumer products. This large, flexible financing solution enables Bayer to strengthen its balance sheet while also retaining full operating control over this core business. In Power and Infrastructure, we participated in the $5.3 billion financing in support of Williams Companies' development of behind-the-meter gas-fired power projects, which will supply dedicated power to Meta data centers under long-term take-or-pay contracts. And alongside co-investors, we also committed over $2 billion of capital to acquire a 40% interest in Pembina Gas Infrastructure, the largest independent gas processing platform in Western Canada. In the sports ecosystem, we led a structured investment in Pickleball Inc., the new parent company of the PPA Tour and Major League Pickleball, creating the largest platform in the fastest-growing sport in the country. This follows recent investments in Atlético Madrid, Wrexham AFC and MARI in collectively driving billions of origination through our Apollo Sports Capital platform. And finally, as you know, during the quarter, we announced our marquee partnership with Broadcom, where we led a $35 billion financing in support of their new AI XPV platform, which will enable significant compute capacity for leading frontier AI labs. This marks the largest private credit financing ever and demonstrates the core benefit of our flywheel: sourcing, structuring, principal investment and syndication. Unlike anyone else in our industry, we purposely designed and built our business to lead on large-scale opportunities exactly like this. As we've all come to realize, the sheer size of the AI infrastructure build-out is unprecedented. Cumulative through the cycle, more than $8 trillion of capital is expected to be invested, a staggering sum. We see an enormous opportunity for private capital to finance a portion of this along public capital, and we see ourselves playing a critical role in partnering with the leading firms and providing these flexible scaled solutions to support their needs. Our market-leading high-grade capital solutions business has now originated over $130 billion across 190 transactions with the majority of the issuance in the last two years. If you are a CFO, you need to come to 9 West for a conversation. Having seen several cycles before, we are on the lookout to ensure we are protecting ourselves from underwriting investments with equity-like risk at debt-like returns. This leads us to be highly deliberate in our underwriting, focusing on secured investment-grade credit quality, amortizing structures that seek to eliminate residual value risk and thoughtful counterparty selection. The opportunities we pursued to date are emblematic of these important criteria and we expect that to continue. Alongside the scaling of our origination ecosystem, our ACS business becomes an increasingly important component of the flywheel. In particular, our ability to provide scaled solutions depends on our ability to have strong syndication network as well. ACS is that connective tissue and continues to expand its capabilities. Over the last five years, what was once a small SWAT team has grown into a comprehensive coverage model. And in the first half alone, we distributed over $30 billion of syndication opportunities, up 50% versus the full year of 2025, reflecting the engagement with nearly 1,000 potential buyers for syndication opportunities. Turning to capital formation. We generated $60 billion of total inflows in the quarter with asset management delivering $38 billion and Athene contributing $22 billion. Inflows from asset management during the quarter were split approximately 70% from credit-oriented strategies and 30% from equity-oriented strategies with contributions across client types and geographies. Our institutional business had an excellent quarter with broad-based strength across hybrid, multi-credit, asset-backed finance, direct lending, performing credit and flagship private equity. Institutional demand for our AMAPS product remains very strong. And in the second quarter, we completed two issuances, driving the total AMAPS program to $25 billion in less than 12 months. In direct lending, we see institutional investors leaning in. And as a result, we pulled forward the fundraising of our third vintage, which we expect to be larger than its $5 billion predecessor. In flagship private equity, we launched Fund XI earlier this year in calendar 2026, and we are pleased with the reception in the market thus far and excited to announce that through July, we have surpassed $12 billion. We are seeing strong support across geographies from both new and existing investors with contributions from the institutional and wealth channels. The investor appetite with Fund XI is indicative of the deeper support we're seeing across our largest institutional relationships. For example, compared to levels observed just a few years ago, our penetration has nearly doubled with our top strategic LP relationships around the globe. Supported by these strong trends, we expect our institutional business to deliver a record fundraising year. Our Global Wealth business had a solid quarter as well with fundraising totaling $3 billion. And despite a softer backdrop, flows continue across semi-liquid and drawdown strategies. While ADS has faced similar redemption dynamics as the industry and it's still early in the current window period, we're seeing a lower rate of requests thus far in Q3 than we saw at this point in Q2. Individual investors remain meaningfully underallocated to private markets, and we believe the longer-term tide is moving in our favor. We have high conviction this period of time will drive performance dispersion across managers and ultimately provide our franchise with an opportunity to differentiate itself and gain market share. At Athene, inflows in the quarter totaled $22 billion. In particular, retail and flow reinsurance had exceptional quarters with inflows of $12 billion and $4 billion, respectively, marking the second highest quarter on record for each segment. With a total of $42 billion in the first half, Athene remains on pace to achieve our $85 billion target for the full year, and continues to cement its position as the leading retirement services platform. In summary, we had a strong quarter across investment performance, origination and capital formation, and we're entering the second half with active pipelines and meaningful momentum across all of our businesses. With that, I'll turn it over to Martin.
Great. Good morning, everyone, and thank you, Jim. Our second quarter results reflect the sustained momentum, as you've heard, that we're seeing across the business and disciplined execution across our long-term objectives. I'll briefly walk through the quarter's financials and the key drivers behind them. In Asset Management, our business delivered another quarter of record earnings, supported by broad-based growth. Fee-related earnings of $785 million marked a new high, up 25% year-over-year and 8% quarter-over-quarter, with AUM and fee-generating AUM up 25% and 34%, respectively. Perpetual capital continues to underpin that durability, representing 60% of total AUM and 70% of fee-generating AUM. Two drivers of the FRE growth stand out. First, management fees grew 23% year-over-year, driven by third-party fundraising across credit and equity strategies, strong capital deployment and growth at Athene and Athora as well as last year's acquisition of Bridge. Quarter-over-quarter, management fee growth reflects an initial contribution from PIC and continued strong third-party credit flows, partially offset by lower management fees on ARI as well as realization activity. Looking ahead, we're armed with $82 billion of dry powder, the most we've ever had, including $62 billion of future management fee potential, approximately 70% of which is in credit. The earnings impact of this capital, once deployed, is approximately $400 million of annual management fee income. And second, capital solutions fees of $277 million, as you heard, reached a new high with contributions from over 100 discrete transactions across many underlying businesses, underscoring the growing diversity and durability of this revenue stream. Activity was split roughly two-thirds credit and one-third equity, consistent with the mix we've observed in recent years. Capital Solutions revenue is driven by origination activity, which is growing as a result of the increasing scale across our $1 trillion-plus platform. Activity now runs across virtually every part of our credit and equity platform, not concentrated in one or two businesses and increasingly spans geographies. That breadth is a large part of why we've produced five consecutive quarters above $200 million of fee income even as the mix of underlying activity shifts from one quarter to another. And when you look at how this revenue has moved over the past three years, our capital solutions fees have been among the most stable in the industry. Supported by broadened origination across our footprint, Capital Solutions increasingly behaves like a recurring franchise-level revenue stream in its own right, one that we expect to keep broadening and deepening from here. It's worth noting that we are starting to see financing solutions that fund and recognize fees over multiple quarters or years rather than all upfront. In the case of Broadcom, for example, we'll record the originating funding volume and recognize the associated fee revenue as the $35 billion is drawn down over a multi-quarter time frame, with a weighting towards the fourth quarter of this year and the first three quarters of next year. Fee-related expenses grew 19% year-over-year in the quarter, reflecting the addition of Bridge and continued investment in the firm's long-term priorities. Our FRE margin reached 58.5%, up roughly 80 basis points sequentially and 120 basis points year-over-year. Positive operating leverage from record fee-related revenue against measured expense investment. Year-to-date margin expansion of about 90 basis points is tracking in line with our baseline expectation of roughly 100 basis points for the full year 2026. Importantly, forward earnings indicators, including our capital formation and origination pipelines, committed capital not yet earning management fees, and signed originations with future syndication fees, are all very strong and continue to build, providing confidence that we will hit our 20%-plus FRE growth outlook for the year as well as establishing embedded momentum for 2027. Moving to Retirement Services. A key enabler of the flywheel is retirement services, where we generated a record $877 million of SRE this quarter. Athene's gross invested assets grew by 14% year-over-year to $414 billion. Year-to-date, inflows have been very strong at $42 billion, and we've continued to originate new organic business in line with our long-term ROE and historical average targets. The reported net spread was 114 basis points versus 97 basis points last quarter. And adjusting to our 11% long-term return expectation on the alternatives portfolio, net spread would have been 10 basis points higher and in line with our previously communicated full year outlook of 120 to 125 basis points. The sequential improvement in the alternatives performance was driven by AAA along with better results at Athora, where we expect further gains in organic growth and returns as we move deeper into the PIC integration and optimize the asset portfolio. On a core basis, the improvement in net spread was driven by a rising fixed income yield as we continue to source attractive investment-grade assets, including the commercial mortgage portfolio we acquired from ARI, combined with lower expenses and interest costs. These positives were partly offset by lumpier asset roll-off from the previously announced Intel repayment, along with the normal course rising cost of funds as the portfolio continues seasoning. Regarding Intel itself, we recognized an almost $700 million realized gain within Athene's GAAP results, which also benefited capital. As we head into the back half of 2026, we expect Athene will continue performing as expected, and we are maintaining our full year target of 10% SRE growth, assuming an 11% alts return. Finally, turning to capital. Our approach remains consistent. We intend to grow our dividend by roughly half the rate of FRE growth over time, and we use share repurchases both to offset equity-based compensation and opportunistically when we see dislocation in our stock price. Consistent with that, we repurchased approximately $100 million of shares this quarter. Over the last 12 months, we've returned $1.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks combined while allocating nearly $500 million to strategic growth initiatives, including an investment in Athora earlier this year. With that, I'll hand the call back to the operator. We appreciate your time, and we welcome your questions.
分析師問答
Our first question is coming from Steven Chubak of Wolfe Research.
So I wanted to start just on the transaction fee outlook. And I was hoping to get your perspective just on the durability of the ACS fees given the strong momentum to start the year. It looks like for the first half, you're already run-rating above your 5-year revenue target that you laid out at Investor Day, so roughly three years ahead of schedule. And just given a lot of the comments on the call, whether it's a staggering sum of money needed to finance the global industrial renaissance, the strong origination pipelines, the differentiated high-grade capital solution, how does all of that collectively speak to your confidence level in terms of your ability to continue to grow at the current base? And how do you envisage the revenue potential of this business over the medium to long term?
This is Jim. Let me start off real quickly, and then I'll pass over to Martin for more detail. But I think you've hit on something that we think is a theme. We talked about this origination focus. We've talked about the flywheel, and now we're really seeing it hit in multiple stages. And I think what you're seeing, Broadcom is a good example where I think we've shown the discipline and the strength of our platform and be very thoughtful about the long-term durability of that stream. The other comment that I would make is the marketplace, I think, in aggregate is making a mistake by just thinking global industrial renaissance is AI and data centers. As we're sitting here in August of 2026, I suspect 12 to 24 months from now, we will be talking about the onshoring and re-onshoring of industrial basis of the U.S., defense, more energy transition. And so yes, I think what we're seeing is the durability, the breadth and the power of incumbency in this business, which are all themes we've talked about before, but you've hit on a very critical point that was an idea six, seven years ago, came in and became a robust business. And now it's really certainly durable and sustainable over time.
Yes. I'll just add, Steven, that we believe this earnings stream has more value than is generally appreciated, so we are very focused on building a durable base of origination to support it. If you step back, origination fuels all forms of revenue growth; it drives management fee growth for the asset manager, spread earnings growth for Athene, and ACS earnings growth. It's all connected. Every business within the firm is now contributing to the growth of this business by producing origination, which is in part syndicated to third parties, and every new business we consider is expected to do the same. I would combine that with partnerships with banks and other asset managers, where we are creating channels to generate originations. We do think there's upside, and at the same time we are mindful of creating a base we can invest against with high conviction. That's how we think about the business.
The other two points I'd add, just to pile on, are that if you look at the equity research analysis of the breadth of counterparty sales these companies need to do, whether it's chips or otherwise, there will be successive financings occurring in several years. The second is we believe in open architecture and that the economics of sharing fees across the ecosystem will continue. Finally, I do think that when Marc talks about one ecosystem of clients turning into five, ACS touches all of those as well. So there's a massive multiplier effect, which you're touching on. And we see, and again I think the mistake folks are making is thinking this is only an AI data center opportunity. If you look at our pipeline, it tells a very different story.
The next question is coming from Craig Siegenthaler of Bank of America.
Our question is on M&A. Can you update us on the M&A outlook, both at the Apollo corporate level and also at Athene and Athora post the PIC and Bridge deals? PIC is helping you accelerate your growth in the retirement business in the U.K. Do you see other potential targets like this one that could help expand the retirement business in Europe and Asia?
It's Marc. I'll take a shot, and then I'll turn it to Jim. As you know from prior quarters, we have not been big proponents of asset manager M&A. When you look at some of the businesses we've built and for instance, take sports, the magnitude of what we're doing in sports, if you look at what we've announced and the pipeline versus buying, for instance, a sports-focused firm, we just didn't see the mileage we would get. Every one of these asset manager purchases is, yes, it can be accretive. Yes, you probably have to pay twice, both to the equity owners and then to the employees. But most importantly, it gets you more of the same. We're growing so fast from originating good transactions that we debate in a negative way, the utility of just more of the same as opposed to using excess capital in our business to diversify the business in adjacencies that will provide recurring fee revenue, whether that is in market making, whether that is in growth in our equity business, whether that is a reinvention of retirement, whether that is a real expansion of lending against private assets. I think you are more likely to see us go in adjacent directions than you are to see us go by buying another asset manager simply to consolidate in, given the brain damage associated with people businesses.
The only thing I would add is consistent with that, what Marc laid out is we find ourselves when we have grown, you can go two ways in your business. You can become more siloed or you can be more integrated. We're clearly going to more integrated approach. That's when you see the results of ACS, that provides that example. And by buying something, universally, they'll want to get siloed, they'll want to control their destiny. So as Marc said, I think anything you see us do we'll be expanding the sandbox, not just taking more space within the existing envelope and sandbox.
The next question is coming from Alex Blostein of Goldman Sachs.
A little bit of a bigger picture question, Marc, back to the daily value sort of discussion. All of what you're describing makes a lot of sense. I'm just curious, what pools of investing capital do you think this will open up for Apollo and perhaps some of the others that is not already available as you and maybe some of the others move closer to providing daily NAVs on private credit?
So if you segment the market, I'll give you my view and Jim and Martin will weigh in. Go back to the way this industry started: drawdown funds out of institutional alternative buckets. Generally a closed-end product, no one cared how things were marked. It was all about what you were getting in the beginning and what you ended up with at the end. As long as the end result was good, everyone was fine, and there was no prejudice to an investor because everyone was entering and leaving at the same time. Now you move within that same investor to their debt and equity buckets. Let's start with their debt bucket. The fixed income manager at a large institutional client does not think of fixed income as a locked-up investment. They think of fixed income as securities. So when they have the opportunity to buy the Intel public and we offer them the opportunity to buy the Intel private, we're not talking to them about coming into a fund. We're talking to them about buying the security. They are making an explicit trade-off in whatever view they have into the secured private or the unsecured public. The negative has been that they historically had less liquidity and less ability to see daily valuation. The fact that Apollo market-making exists, that there are trades in these instruments, and that Intel's public bonds trade gives us a proxy by which to price these things. So all of a sudden, they are making a much better trade-off. They no longer need to demand as much excess spread for holding the private instrument versus the public instrument. From a settlement point of view, they are used to buying CUSIPs. They don't want to hear about documentation and long form and other types of things. Giving them an ICE ID is very similar to a CUSIP. Today, if you are an investor in our investment-grade fixed income product, every single day you can call up and find out where your holdings are trading. Every single day you can get an NAV. You get it as you log into your connection with Apollo. If you want to see a run of where things are trading in the morning, you get that run. This is building transparency. You can see, for instance, all of the work that's been done with traditional asset managers. Most of the announcements our industry has made with traditional asset managers have focused on unique products that are not necessarily mainstream. But why can't a fixed income public product include a 10% or 15% private bucket as a return enhancer? Look at what we've done so far with State Street. The State Street ETF (PRIV), which involves public and private, is a top-decile performer. It has now seasoned and, I believe, crossed the $1 billion threshold. We now have opportunities to show proof of concept that we can not only give you daily pricing, but we can actually create and redeem in line with public funds. The more we do this, the more we will make ourselves acceptable to 401(k)s, DC plans, traditional asset managers, individuals, and others. The most recent discussion across our industry on liquidity has been in a negative context because of the gating of direct lending funds over the past few months. Jim and I have taken away that the desire for these assets has never been stronger. You see that in the statistic Jim gave, which is you simply get twice the return. However, not everyone loves the wrapper. Some of the highest-net-worth clients will accept a wrapper that is restricted in its liquidity and will continue to use such wrappers. But imagine if they had access to private markets without liquidity restrictions and in ways that did not create mismatches in the funds. That is what we're trying to do. That's what's happening in market making. That's what daily NAV is about. It's even what the beginnings of AMAPS are about, with more to come. I think you will see our industry move toward the indicia of public markets while retaining private market origination. That doesn't mean they'll be the same, but the closer we get to providing the tools and the surrounding atmosphere of how things settle, how things trade, how things are priced, how much transparency and disclosure there is, the less the risk premium and the greater the acceptance.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Glenn Schorr of Evercore ISI.
I'll squeeze two very short ones together because it's the same concept. Monetizations were slow, but markets at all-time highs, M&A and IPO picking up. I'm curious if you could drill down on your slowish comment there. And at the same time, you've recently been talking about a lot of competition in the retail annuity space, yet your production, your annuity generation was great. So I was just curious, both of those kind of sound the same to me as a little bit different than what we're expecting.
Why don't we divide and conquer that. Jim, I'll take the retail annuity side. If you step back, an intense amount of competition has come into the retail annuity business. I believe by the latest count there are now 36 asset manager entries into retail annuities. I remind you the basis of competition in this business so far has been: can you find assets that generate a spread and are acceptable from a capital return perspective? Can you generate liabilities organically or inorganically that allow you to invest against in a stable way? Do you have an overhead structure that allows you to do the business in a cost-competitive way, and do you have the capital and management? Almost everyone who has come to this marketplace does not have anything other than capital. They do not have a mature origination machine to generate investment-grade risk. They do not have a liability structure or a liability registration queue that allows them to generate stable liabilities to invest against. They do not have sufficient operating expense coverage, and generally the management teams are untested and unseasoned. Yes, they have capital. What we've seen is that in the absence of those competitive advantages, new entrants in particular have used jurisdictions like Cayman to avoid putting up as much capital and to hold other types of assets as a way to try to build a bridge into the business. I think that's getting harder and harder because the NAIC understands that this is an existential risk to trust in the industry, and the proposals we've seen this week go a long way toward indicating that that will not stand. For us, it has been about competing in channels where many of these new entrants do not have a significant presence. Most of the institutional channels away from independent advisers are very ratings-conscious and very domicile-conscious. We do compete with strong traditional companies, but you eventually have to earn a spread. Sometimes we use more FABNs or more FABRs or more MYGAs or more FIAs or different mixes of products. The product mix this quarter reflects the markets and the products where we felt we could earn the right amount of spread. I would be less than fully transparent if I didn't say the strength of the origination pipeline is allowing us to create the trends, spreads, and returns in a competitive market. While we are not ceding the independent channel to new entrants, the independent channel is less focused on ratings and domicile and much more focused on price. It is still an important channel, and we enter and exit that channel as we think we can earn spread. We are here to earn spread. Sometimes spread is abundant and will grow faster; sometimes not so much. Right now, management feels it can deliver the plan at the current spreads and returns. If that changes, they will do less business externally and bring more of the existing business in-house to meet their 10% SRE target. If spreads widen, the company is well positioned to capture that. We are one of the few companies in the industry that has been building a treasury and an agency portfolio as a means of future earnings growth against competitive or opportunistic marketplaces. Almost everyone else has had to go all out to earn spread in a tight market — origination, origination, origination, Glenn.
Yes. I'll just quickly comment on the monetization. We would say that of all of our numbers, the most volatile in returns is the PII number from our business. I guess I would hang my hat on the fact that over any 12- to 14-month period or 16-month period, we feel pretty good about the aggregate numbers, not quarter-to-quarter. Monetization is one litmus test of success. The other is your investor response when you offer a new product. I mentioned the Fund XI demand that we've captured so far over $12 billion. So as a value investor over many decades, that has suited us well. I would say that the if you look at the monetization of the equity IPO market in the last quarter, year-to-date, a lot of it has been on a lot of growth versus value, but we're not concerned on a quarter-to-quarter. And really from us, we feel that the strength and the breadth of our business is what's outstanding.
The next question is coming from Mike Brown of UBS.
I wanted to ask on expenses here. So Apollo, you guys continue to really generate good operating leverage here, but you continue to really invest in tech, daily pricing infrastructure, market making, new distribution capabilities and other headquarters. So I just wanted to touch base on how is the expense outlook from here? Can you still deliver continued margin expansion as you continue to invest in the business? Any color there would be helpful.
Mike. Yes, I mean the quick answer is yes. The way we are planning the period ahead of us is really no different from what we've been doing, and that is you should expect that we will create 20% FRE growth over the cycle, anchored by sort of mid- to high-teens revenue growth and sort of low double-digit to low-teens expense growth. And so everything we do as we prioritize our investment spending is anchored around that. So I wouldn't look at the quarter as indicative of a trend, which is different on a long-term basis. There's some nuances in there, which we can get into. But think about it in the same rubric. And we're very mindful of funding new talent, new people, new businesses and then sort of the infrastructure to support all of that plus the pricing, plus cost and plus anything else that we do. And so AI is a part of it. Cost efficiencies are part of it. We're mindful of sort of extracting efficiency where we can. But that all goes into how we plan our expense load against the growing revenue base.
And I would just add, if you think about what we've been saying, the excitement you're hearing about our business and the breadth of the growth opportunities, we want to make our numbers and then some, but also invest in this bright future. It's never been so exciting from our perspective. So if you think about it, if you have that principal mindset, this is what you would want us to do for shareholders.
The next question is coming from Patrick Davitt of Autonomous Research.
Marc, a follow-up on the regulatory arbitrage point you made earlier. Good to hear there's movement there. So I'd be curious to get any updated thoughts on how meaningful you think cleaning up these disconnects could be for the competitive environment? And to what extent you've actually tried to peg specifically how much spread pressure has been driven by those players that are taking advantage of that arbitrage to more aggressively write new business?
No, I always look at my calendar to judge whether I'm having impact. This year I was the invited guest at the NAIC conference in D.C., and they already knew what I was going to say, so they wanted me to say it. What we've seen over the past few weeks and from conversations with other CEOs is that everyone understands we have an enormous opportunity as an industry. The world is short guaranteed lifetime income, populations are aging, almost no one else offers guarantees, and the global industrial renaissance is providing long-dated fixed income to support those guarantees. We should be giants straddling the financial world, and yet the industry has not captured its rightful share. Part of the problem is product modernization. Today’s products are hopelessly complex, and over coming quarters you will hear that we will simplify our product base; I believe others in the industry will do the same. But trust is also a major issue. How many institutions will people entrust with their retirement savings? That is why we focus on AA credit quality and on the health of the industry, because we are only as good as the perception of the industry. We push for disclosure and transparency, and now we are pushing the industry on regulatory standards. We do not want bad outcomes from competitors in any jurisdiction, because that damages consumer trust and imposes a financial penalty on us, the most successful company in the industry, since we operate an industry-funded, on-the-margin guarantee association. We are tired of making good on guarantees for visible risks. What we have seen is business migrating primarily to the Cayman Islands, which has grown very quickly. That shift has put pressure on the companies there, and it also affects U.S.-based firms that would otherwise do the right thing; they go to their local regulators and say it’s hard to compete with Cayman-based companies. Some U.S. regulatory jurisdictions have given special dispensation that effectively allows some Cayman rule creep into the U.S. That is an early warning that regulators need to do their job, clean this up, and maintain trust, or risk a race to the bottom. Over the past week we saw proposals addressing nonreciprocal jurisdictions. This is not about banning competition or insisting everyone be onshore; it simply requires that rules be reciprocal with the U.S. That is not a lot to ask. I believe the growth phase of offshore regulatory arbitrage is coming to an end, and companies will be unhappy with the capital bills and additional capital they will likely be required to post. On spread pressure, I don't have the stats in front of me, but Noah has the details. A simple way to see it is to compare funding cost differentials in the broker channel versus other channels and observe how much people are paying for capital. It will surprise you how little spread some companies are willing to accept to enter a business without the fundamentals needed for long-term success: an asset origination franchise, a liability origination franchise, and cost-effective operations. We live in a competitive world and we have what we need to compete, but some of the trends we see are warning signs for the whole industry, which is why this issue is getting strong industry support. I think the industry has woken up and is taking action.
The next question is coming from Bill Katz of TD Cowen.
I just want to come back to the opportunity to sort of achieve the 11% return for the alternative sleeve within Athene. Can you give us an update on the opportunity with PIC in the European footprint, if you will, and how you might sort of see the trajectory of improvement there, particularly given your comments, Marc around just sort of the evolving regulatory landscape and the capital arbitrage?
As you know, we very recently closed on PIC, which involved a substantial new fundraise into Athora. That fundraise would not have happened without investor belief and our conviction that Athora can achieve mid-teens rates of return going forward. If you look at Athora's trajectory, it had very good early returns, then a period of stagnation, and is now positioned for better returns. Some of this is just the nature of the growth cycle of these companies. At Athora, we incurred significant overhead while building the business to support the next level of acquisition. We had expected to make that acquisition on the continent but were delayed, so we carried excess overhead for about 18 months. That overhead has now been folded back into the operating subsidiaries. The two largest are the Netherlands, which runs a holistic business, and PIC, which also runs a holistic business. As a result, the holding company expense at Athora is increasingly minimized as we reassess our participation in some smaller markets like Germany, which have been the subject of rumor. It is not guaranteed, but I am optimistic that we are now set up for mid-teens rates of return on our Athora investment, and that was the basis on which we successfully raised significant capital. The other large investment is in AAA. AAA has been very close to target; I agree it should be returning more toward 10 percent rather than 11 percent. As Jim suggested, we've had positive results in nearly 25 quarters. We have made a decision there. We run AAA with a levered share class and an unlevered share class, and Athene owns the unlevered share class. For the most part, AAA's structure is not levered like private equity; it is very lightly leveraged. To make it more comparable to private equity, we also offer a levered share class. That levered share class is now $0.75 billion and has produced mid-teens rates of return on a much more consistent basis than private equity. We believe that on an unlevered basis, without the volatility introduced by leverage, we can get to our target; it may take another quarter or two. This is a very long-term investment. We have been doing this for 17 or 18 years, and over that period the returns have met our benchmark, though we have been through a bit of a desert of returns. I think we are getting close.
Look, the one thing I'd add, Bill, is the contract with PIC, the acquisition and the integration has been really well done. It's been a very smooth process. The construct for buying PIC was to create an organically growing business within Athora. And we've seen just in July a $6 billion pension transaction with a U.K. blue-chip company. So the thesis is starting to play out that this will become a growing business that we can add to over time.
The next question is coming from Brian Bedell of Deutsche Bank.
Great. Maybe just come back to the ICE JV and the private credit trading. Can you talk about what you see as the sort of realistic intermediate to longer-term addressable market in terms of what type of entities are trading this? The momentum sounds good. It sounds like you're at $30 billion traded since you started this. I think 2025, I think it was $10 billion, so good to see the momentum. Maybe just sort of comment on how you see that momentum improving? And how important is the acquisition proposal of MarketAxess for ICE in terms of actually trading this? I assume all of this comes into ACS, but please let me know if there's other areas that it impacts the P&L?
I would say you've tied a lot of the thread together, but it's early days. As I said, all the things that we've talked about on this call today and when Marc talks about the one market going to six, this is just a tool. We're a pioneer. It's been a fivefold increase in the last couple of years in trading volumes. If you're one of these big banks, you look at the number we've thrown out and you say that's a nice week or a nice couple of days, but this is very early. It's pioneering activity. The good thing is we're well ahead of everybody else. I suspect this will be a broad utility that's part of the ecosystem of transparency, daily pricing, investor liquidity and investor confidence. When we look back at these activities in 2028, 2029 and 2030, we'll be talking about the revenue that's been created and the robust nature of that. We have very, very high expectations. If you look at what goes on in the municipal market and at the activity by some public companies, where they have 15%, 20% or 25% market shares in the technology behind those, these are hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue. Again, early days — it's not going to move the needle on our 2026 FRE and SRE numbers, but I suspect if we're here in two or three years it will be a more meaningful number.
The next question is coming from Ben Budish of Barclays.
Maybe following up on some of the spread discussion at Athene. It sounds like a lot of good momentum. You talked about maybe with the Intel piece coming out, there's a bit of a headwind removed, but you talked about improvements at Athora, the introduction of the ARI portfolio. So I guess just putting it all together, you've maintained the SRE guide for the year. What's the sort of implied expectation for your normalized net spread? And how should we think about that going into 2027?
Ben, it's Martin. I'd assume the same. I think in the quarter, besides what I mentioned, there's nothing to call out. I think it's sort of normal portfolio behavior, if you like, in terms of the impact on the gross returns and gross cost of funds. And so we're in the ZIP code of the range. I would expect that, that will be maintained as we look into next year. And that's sort of informed by where we're writing new business, which is above that and behavior of the in-force business. So stick to the range until we advise otherwise.
The next question is coming from Brennan Hawken of BMO Capital Markets.
Jim spoke at the Institutional and Wealth Management reception about Fund XI. Could you give us an updated expectation for the timing of the first close and when we should expect management fee activation? We're hearing about headwinds to equity fundraising. Are you seeing any of that, and does it affect your expectations?
We've been very pleased with the fundraise. Jim mentioned $12 billion, which is a very healthy first close for the fund, and fundraising will continue. The timing of the fund starting to generate fees ultimately depends on when Fund XI is fully invested, so that is variable. For planning purposes we are assuming it will be in the latter part of the first half. We will know more as we get closer to that date. Fundraising is going well and is anchored by strong performance of its predecessors in terms of returns and DPI metrics.
Yes. I would say this reflects a continued dispersion. It is a tough fundraising environment. We're fortunate that, if you look at our institutional business, we've almost doubled last year's production through six months. So if you deliver for investors and maintain a consistent dialogue, you gain share and build confidence with the largest, most sophisticated investors around the globe. That's not every GP. What we're seeing is that firms with the track record, innovation, and investment success are getting a larger share as the largest LPs around the globe increasingly want to concentrate their activities. We feel great about the momentum of our aggregate institutional business, our equity franchise overall, and developments in hybrid and other areas. We're winners, but we recognize that not everybody has had the same experience.
The next question is coming from Wilma Burdis of Raymond James.
Are there any time constraints on assets held in conservative securities such as Treasuries before you may deploy some of those assets depending on the duration of matching liabilities? Just trying to ask about, I guess, the ability to deploy additional funds from here to generate spread uplift.
No, there are no constraints. We don't use it as part of ALM.
The next question is coming from Michael Cyprys of Morgan Stanley.
Just wanted to ask about evergreen funds and tokenization, just given some of your experiments with tokenization. Just curious what learnings you've had where you're seeing greatest utility? And ultimately, could tokenization prove as important for private markets as ETFs were to public markets? And if so, what is the next generation of evergreen and semi-liquid products look like? And what might some of the innovation look like in the years ahead?
Well, Mike, it's safe to say a lot of work is going on in the lab. I don't think we have enough evidence right now to define a clear pathway for the future beyond the themes we discussed this morning. The takeaway is that we won't be explicitly tied to how the rails have worked in the past. We want to continue to reinvent. Obviously, things like the ICE identifier create significant future opportunities for other activities. There are substantial operational and regulatory limitations to be careful about. We want to make sure we work within the regulatory dialogue and within the systems of transfer agents and trustees. This is a longer conversation. We have learned a lot, but it's still very early days. We share the view that if you think long term about delivery mechanisms, there's a lot of disruption happening in the ETF world in recent weeks, with some listings around the globe in the last couple of days. We see potential opportunity, but we don't have enough evidence to say clearly what the path will look like. We respect the potential, however.
The next question is coming from Crispin Love of Piper Sandler.
Can you share the latest on your wealth flows? Some others in the space saw redemptions improve in the most recent quarter, but ADS did increase and still remain somewhat elevated. What are the most recent trends you're seeing? Also, how are conversations with financial advisers and their end clients going given much of the noise we've seen so far this year?
I'll answer similar to what Marc said. First, let's start with performance. Over the last 11 quarters in the nontraded BDC space, the dispersion of managers was about 1% from top to bottom. In the last two quarters that dispersion widened to 4% and 2.5%, and we were in the top quartile. Our view is that we will keep doing what we've been doing — maintaining a thoughtful, diversified, high-quality portfolio — and that will pick up market share over time. That's what happens in every other asset class. Regarding redemptions, it's still early when you consider our onshore and offshore redemption windows, but comparing last quarter to this quarter and acknowledging that we're a bit early in the queue, we are seeing about half the redemption activity we saw last time. So I expect that trend will dissipate. We believe the performance story is clear: one dollar invested in ADS at the beginning can become about $1.40, whereas high yield and leveraged loans would be about $1.20. That performance is what thoughtful investors and financial advisers are recognizing. There are certainly regional hotspots with different objectives, and we've engaged with those appropriately. Overall, we feel very good about the breadth of momentum, our product set, and the education we bring to the market.
Thank you. The next question is coming from Bart Dziarski of RBC Capital Markets.
Great. Just wanted to follow up on the Athene organic inflow discussion. So thanks for the color on retail annuities. I was wondering if you could unpack a bit what you're seeing in flow reinsurance and funding agreements? How overall ties into your outlook for the $85 billion inflow target this year and maybe get an early look into how you're thinking about 2027?
We're right on track for the year, $42 billion for the half and $85 billion for the full year. That's what we expect to hit. We've messaged through cycle over a five-year period $85 billion, so just use that as an anchor point for next year. The mix of business this quarter reflected pricing in the marketplace. As Marc noted, we issued about $12 billion of annuities in different flavors, principally MYGAs and FIAs. We were also able to access the funding agreement market in different ways, and we had a healthy flow deal in the quarter. Altogether that contributed to the $22 billion that we printed for the quarter, pretty much in line, in aggregate, with what we did in Q1, but with a different mix. I'd expect a similar type of pacing for the balance of the year.
Thank you. That concludes the Q&A portion of today's call. I will now turn the call over to Noah Gunn for closing comments.
Great. Thanks again to everyone who joined the call this morning and for your interest. As usual, if you have any questions regarding what we discussed on the call, please feel free to reach out to us, and we look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Thank you.