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AIRGAIN INC(AIRG)Q2 2026 法說會逐字稿

20 段

管理層發言

OperatorOperator

Good afternoon. Welcome to Airgain's Second Quarter 2026 Conference Call. My name is Jasmina, and I will be your operator for today's call. Joining us today are Airgain's President and CEO, Jacob Suen, and CFO, Michael Elbaz. As a reminder, this call will be recorded and made available for replay via a link found in the Investor Relations section of Airgain's website, at investors.airgain.com. Following management's prepared remarks, the call will be opened for questions from Airgain's covering analysts. I caution listeners that during this call, Airgain management will be making forward-looking statements about future events as well as Airgain's business strategy and future financial and operating performance. Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by these forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business. These forward-looking statements are qualified by the cautionary statements contained in today's earnings release and Airgain's SEC filings. This conference call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of the date of this live broadcast, 08/05/2026. Airgain undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this conference call. In addition, this conference call will include a discussion of non-GAAP financial measures. Please see today's earnings release for further details, including a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Airgain's CEO, Jacob Suen.

Jacob SuenPresident and CEO

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. The second quarter marked another meaningful step forward for Airgain. Revenue increased 19% sequentially to $13.7 million. We achieved positive adjusted EBITDA, and we advanced important customer programs across the business. Enterprise and automotive continue their revenue growth trajectories, while consumer sales remain relatively stable supported by Wi-Fi 7 demand and strong Tier 1 relationships. We enter the second half with a stronger foundation than we had at the beginning of the year. Customer engagement is deeper. Our pipeline is more mature. And more programs are progressing from evaluation into trials and deployments. We are encouraged by this progress, and we are increasingly confident in the direction of the business. Our priorities are clear, built on the momentum in our core businesses: convert the AirgainConnect pipeline into revenue, advance Lighthouse toward commercialization, and increase the operating leverage of our business model. Let me start with AirgainConnect. During the second quarter, we continued to expand our AirgainConnect portfolio through our work with FirstNet, Built with AT&T. We added MegaFi, a FirstNet-trusted solution that uses high-power technology designed for demanding coverage environments. Together with AC Fleet and GoKit Pro, AirgainConnect now provides multiple connectivity solutions for vehicle, fixed, portable, and rapid response applications. The portfolio serves first responders, utilities, transportation, energy, and other critical field operations. Through FirstNet, AT&T offers Airgain's HPUE vehicle solution for public safety customers. Airgain also retains the ability to offer its HPUE technology to other carrier networks globally. This broader portfolio gives customers greater deployment flexibility, simplifies installation, and improves operational readiness. It also gives Airgain more entry points with customers and more ways to support them as connectivity needs expand. We are tracking approximately 60 Tier 1 and Tier 2 opportunities. Our focus is increasingly on pipeline conversion, and more than half of the pipeline is now in trial or post-trial stages, up from approximately one-third since our last call. The mix remains balanced, with approximately 55% of opportunities in first responder markets and 45% in utilities and other commercial fleet applications. In Q2, we secured five Tier 2 design wins across AirgainConnect: four are with first responder organizations and one is with a utility company. One of these wins is with a large countywide public safety customer covering fire, ambulance, and police fleets. The potential deployment spans more than 1,000 vehicles, but units are expected to be added in phases as vehicles enter service. This illustrates how these programs can begin modestly and grow into meaningful long-term opportunities. We are also in the final phase of the sales cycle for a Tier 1 first responder opportunity, which we are targeting to close by the end of the year. Work remains before a final award, including customer-specific certification requirements. We are making the necessary investments because the opportunity demonstrates the scale of the programs we are pursuing, and the certification can be leveraged to other lead opportunities as well. Carrier relationships are an important part of our go-to-market strategy. As announced in June, we expanded our work with FirstNet, Built with AT&T across public safety, utilities, and other critical field operations. Under this model, carrier sales teams help identify and advance customer opportunities while Airgain supports product demonstrations, trials, integration, and customization. This extends our commercial reach and helps move qualified opportunities toward deployment. We have also developed a plug-and-play AirgainConnect configuration for the AT&T channel, with the eSAM and required cabling pre-installed. The goal is to simplify evaluation and deployment for utilities, sanitation fleets, and other non-first responder customers. We are working to expand this carrier-enabled model to additional markets. We continue to strengthen our relationship with carriers and the FirstNet Authority with the support of well-respected industry veterans. Most recently, Jim Begle, former President of AT&T FirstNet and a member of the Wireless Hall of Fame Class of 2026, has joined Airgain as a strategic advisor. Jim will help us deepen relationships with public safety, the FirstNet Authority, and large fleet OEMs. We believe the pipeline for AirgainConnect has reached a stable level and our emphasis is now on execution. We are benching trials, supporting post-trial requirements, and helping customers move into phased deployments. We believe this is the right approach to build a durable AirgainConnect business. Turning to Lighthouse. We continue to prioritize the U.S. market opportunity given the ongoing geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East. We are deepening our engagement with domestic mobile network operators, service providers, enterprises, and communities. We now have two scheduled end-customer trials in the U.S. but collectively support coverage across all three major carriers. This represents meaningful progress from our prior U.S. testing, which was conducted primarily with a network provider. The first trial is with a large logistics company seeking to improve coverage across its operating environment. Our current production-ready configuration supports the mid-band spectrum used by AT&T and Verizon. The second trial is with a residential community seeking to address coverage gaps commonly experienced by large communities and HOAs. Our new configuration extends Lighthouse to the spectrum used by T-Mobile, and we expect pre-production samples during Q3. In Q3, we also secured an international customer's trial for our integrated 4G and 5G combo solution. Initial samples are expected this quarter as well. These trials address a common problem: inconsistent cellular coverage across large operating environments and communities. Traditional solutions can be expensive, disruptive, and slow to deploy. Lighthouse is designed to provide a faster and more cost-effective alternative while giving mobile network operators control over network performance. We also continue to advance our engagement with a Tier 1 U.S. mobile network operator we previously mentioned. We are now working through the final certification approval process for its enterprise offering, and the operator has identified several customers for potential trials. Our commercial approach combines a top-down and bottom-up strategy. We work with the MNOs to obtain network approval and reach enterprise accounts. At the same time, we engage directly with end customers, including enterprises and communities, to validate the need and create demand. Service providers and system integrators remain important deployment partners. While we are making very good strides with Lighthouse, we view Lighthouse primarily as a 2027 revenue opportunity. Our near-term objective is to complete trials, establish reference deployments, and demonstrate a repeatable commercial model. Any revenue before then will be incremental to that plan. Now turning to our core markets: Enterprise IoT was the main driver of our sequential growth in the second quarter, and we expect it to remain an important growth driver in Q3. Demand from our long-standing end customers continues to increase, primarily in energy monitoring applications, and we see renewed activity in the EV charging market. Shipments under the previously announced $4 million purchase order accelerated and are now expected to be completed by the end of this quarter. In parallel, we continue to expand opportunities in emerging applications such as robotics, drones, and data centers. Coco Robotics is preparing to launch its next-generation autonomous delivery vehicles, and we expect the program to begin ramping up production shipments this quarter. Initial production shipments for a drone application are also expected to begin this quarter. The near-term revenue contribution is modest, but the program expands our presence in autonomous and mission-critical applications. Finally, we recently secured a design win for remote energy monitoring in data centers, with revenue expected to begin in early 2027. This win extends the Skywire platform into the growing data center connectivity market and creates a reference point for similar opportunities. IoT order patterns can be uneven, so we are not assuming the current growth rate will continue every quarter. Still, the recovery in established programs and the breadth of newer applications give us greater confidence in the long-term opportunity. The near-term picture in consumer is more mixed. Q2 revenue was relatively stable, supported by Wi-Fi 7 antenna shipments and demand from Tier 1 service providers. We are managing two distinct factors that are affecting consumer during Q3. The first is the continuing memory shortage. Demand in AI infrastructure is causing suppliers to prioritize high-bandwidth memory, tightening availability and increasing the cost of the standard memory used in home gateways. The timing of improvement in that environment remains uncertain. The second factor was the FCC ruling, which affected the timing of our MNOs' new product launches. Our OEM partners have recently received conditional approvals; as a result, this issue contributed to shipping delays in the second half. Based on our backlog and customer forecasts, we expect consumer revenue to decline sequentially in Q3, which is reflected in our guidance. Importantly, these timing issues do not reflect a change in underlying demand. Our solution spans multiple OEM platforms and service providers, reducing our reliance on any one gateway supplier. Wi-Fi 7 and our Tier 1 MNO programs remain important long-term growth drivers. We have secured the inventory required to support our current AirgainConnect and Lighthouse plans into 2027, limiting the near-term impact on these growth platforms. With that, I will turn the call over to Michael.

Michael ElbazCFO

Thank you, Jacob. Before diving into the numbers, please note that my review of our financial results and guidance refers to non-GAAP figures. Information about the non-GAAP financial measures, including GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations, can be found in our earnings release. Now, let's turn to our second quarter results. Q2 sales were $13.7 million, slightly above the midpoint of our guidance range and up 0.7% year-over-year, marking our first quarter of year-over-year growth in six quarters. Sequentially, Q2 sales increased $2.2 million, or 19%, driven by growth across all our markets. Enterprise sales were $6.7 million, up $1.7 million sequentially, driven by higher IoT modems and custom product sales. Automotive sales were $1.2 million, up $300 thousand sequentially, reflecting higher sales of AirgainConnect vehicle gateways. Consumer sales were $5.8 million, up $200 thousand sequentially, driven by Wi-Fi 7 antenna shipments. Non-GAAP gross margin for the second quarter was 43.6% compared to 44.2% in the prior quarter and relatively flat year-over-year. The sequential decline was primarily due to a change in product and customer sales mix. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $5.7 million, down $400 thousand sequentially and down $800 thousand, or 12%, year-over-year, reflecting continued expense discipline. Separately, GAAP operating expenses included $600 thousand in severance expenses associated with the headcount reduction we mentioned on our last call. These actions align resources with our highest-priority development and customer programs. In Q2, adjusted EBITDA was $400 thousand, $200 thousand higher than the midpoint of guidance. Adjusted EBITDA improved by $1.3 million sequentially on higher sales and lower expenses, highlighting the operating leverage in our business model. Non-GAAP EPS was $0.02, $0.01 above the midpoint of guidance and an improvement of $0.10 from the prior quarter. As of 6/30/2026, our cash balance was $7.6 million, $500 thousand higher than the prior quarter. Net cash proceeds from our ATM were $1 million. Now, moving to our outlook for the third quarter ending 9/30/2026. As a reminder, we provide quarterly guidance for sales, non-GAAP gross margin and expenses, non-GAAP EPS, and adjusted EBITDA, as we believe these metrics are key indicators for the overall performance of our business. For the third quarter of 2026, we project sales to range from $14.25 million to $16.25 million with a midpoint of $15.25 million. The midpoint represents an 11% sequential growth driven by continued strength in enterprise and automotive, partially offset by the projected sequential decline in consumer that Jacob just discussed. We expect non-GAAP gross margin to range from 41.5% to 44.5% with a midpoint of 43%. The sequential change at the midpoint primarily reflects the anticipated decline in consumer market sales. We are experiencing higher component and module costs, but we have offset these increases through pricing and product cost initiatives. We project non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $6 million. Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be $0.04 at the midpoint of our guidance. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $700 thousand at the midpoint of our guidance. Now, I would like to turn the call back over to Jacob for his closing thoughts.

OperatorOperator

Jacob?

Jacob SuenPresident and CEO

Thanks, Michael. Q2 reinforced our confidence in the direction of the business. We delivered on our commitments and enter the second half with building momentum. Our Q3 outlook reflects continued sequential growth and improved profitability, with operating expenses expected to remain relatively stable. We should generate greater operating leverage as revenue scales. We are also making tangible progress across our growth platforms. AirgainConnect is producing design wins and moving more opportunities through trial and post-trial stages. Lighthouse is advancing into scheduled U.S. end-customer trials as we continue working through the approval process with a Tier 1 mobile network operator. We are encouraged by our progress, but we recognize that converting these opportunities takes time and consistent execution. Our priorities are clear: deliver our Q3 outlook, convert more customer programs into revenue, and expand adjusted EBITDA through gross margin improvement and disciplined growth. Operator, we are now ready to take questions.

分析師問答

OperatorOperator

We will now take questions from Airgain's sell-side analysts. Our first question is from Jaeson Schmidt with Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jaeson SchmidtAnalyst, Lake Street Capital Markets

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Just want to start with AirgainConnect. Obviously, it sounds like the funnel continues to expand with, I think you noted, over 50% in trials or post-trial stages. How should we think about those trials converting to orders and revenue and the timing around that?

Jacob SuenPresident and CEO

Yes, great question. On AirgainConnect, we are definitely very encouraged about the progress. As I indicated on the call, in the second quarter we were able to convert five design wins. We are hoping to continue at an increasing rate. While we cannot give you a precise number, our goal is to convert at least a third of that pipeline every quarter. That is going to be the target. We are also very close to closing a Tier 1 opportunity and we are wrapping up the last stage, which is certification. That should also meaningfully help second-half growth as a whole.

Jaeson SchmidtAnalyst, Lake Street Capital Markets

Okay, that is helpful. And then just following up on your comments on the drone application, which I understand is minimal revenue in the near term, can you discuss what you are seeing in that market and whether you continue to target other customers in that space?

Jacob SuenPresident and CEO

Yes, certainly. We're excited about this particular opportunity relating to our IoT product. This application is using our IoT modem as the connectivity point for drone applications. We are also seeing a number of drone-related opportunities leveraging our automotive product, including AirgainConnect solutions. In some setups, customers are using our AirgainConnect on a vehicle to improve communications with the drone. So we are seeing several opportunities that use our overall product portfolio.

Michael ElbazCFO

And to give you more color on this, Jaeson, this is pretty exciting to see on the Skywire modem growth altogether. We have been very entrenched with end customers that focus on the application of energy monitoring, HVAC, and similar industrial use cases. Those are resilient markets. Seeing new applications such as robotics a couple quarters ago and then drones this quarter—and then engaging with companies on data center remote monitoring—is good to see, because those new market applications provide future growth, specifically for 2027. For Q3, we are counting on the robotics company to start initial production shipments. We expect to see production shipments next quarter with the drone company, and the data center program should be in the early part of 2027. We are using those reference points to expand the top of the base and market applications.

Jaeson SchmidtAnalyst, Lake Street Capital Markets

Gotcha. I appreciate that color. I'll jump back into the queue. Thanks a lot, guys.

OperatorOperator

Our next question is from Anthony Stoss with Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Anthony Joseph StossAnalyst, Craig-Hallum

Thanks. Good afternoon, Jacob and Michael. Wanted to follow up on Jaeson's questions on AirgainConnect and the pipeline. I am curious what you are learning so far with the companies that have been in trial and the fact that you converted—what they liked. Also, maybe it would be helpful if you know the numbers, a rough estimate of how many total vehicles are in those 60 opportunities. Just trying to get a sense of average deal size perhaps and anything else you might be willing to share.

Michael ElbazCFO

Yes, absolutely, Tony. In terms of the 60 deals that we are tracking, those are Tier 1 and Tier 2 deals. Tier 1 are 500-plus vehicle fleets; Tier 2 are between 50 and 500 vehicles. We used to give a statistic on Tier 3, which are below 50 vehicles—those typically go through distribution channels quickly—so our focus is on Tier 2 and Tier 1 because those are the meaningful paths to revenue. About a year ago, we started to define the overall cycle time from first contact or expression of interest to revenue generation. We mentioned that Tier 2 would take about 9 to 15 months, roughly 12 months on average. Tier 1 would be about 12 to 18 months. We happen to be right on that schedule now, with Tier 2 starting to ramp up from a closure standpoint: five in Q2, which is exciting. I believe last quarter we had one. Those five represent four first responder fleets and one utility company. What I can tell you is that orders, as we are seeing from our POS data, are taking place on all five companies, so they are starting the deployment phase. We are hoping the deployment progresses over the next two to three quarters. For Tier 1, it is a more complex sale because it involves multiple layers of contacts and approvals, sometimes certification from different departments and often executive-level approval. This is a consultative sale where we bring together an ROI analysis to anticipate savings and performance improvements. Those require more trials under different conditions and we are going through that process. One thing I can share is that of the roughly 60 deals right now, about 70% are Tier 2 and about 30% are Tier 1. On the Tier 1 side, what is interesting is that the majority are non-first-responder fleets—very large fleets across the U.S. They view this as an important decision because this is about having a gateway. On the Tier 2 side, about 70% are first responders, which are smaller and look for the simplification that we bring, especially with MegaFi. I hope that helps.

Jacob SuenPresident and CEO

Let me add a little more color to what Michael said about differentiation. It is becoming very clear to us that for non-first-responder vehicles, most do not have trunk space—these are sanitation vehicles, pest control vehicles, and other street vehicles. They typically have a router mounted in the back today, which is not acceptable to them. Many use a tablet or a mobile device, which does not provide sufficient coverage. AirgainConnect offers an all-in-one option that they find highly attractive. Working with the network operators, there was a major Tier 1 opportunity where AirgainConnect is the only viable solution today. It will also help them consolidate multiple data plans into one gateway, providing a major cost advantage and easier maintenance and management. That differentiation is resonating with prospects. Overall, I would say the total addressable size of those 60 opportunities is in the tens of thousands of vehicles—that is what we are seeing at this point.

Anthony Joseph StossAnalyst, Craig-Hallum

Thanks for the color, guys.

OperatorOperator

At this time, this concludes our question-and-answer session. If your questions were not answered, you may contact Airgain's Investor Relations team at AIRG@gateway-grp.com. I would like to turn the call over now to Mr. Suen for closing remarks.

Jacob SuenPresident and CEO

Thank you for your thoughtful questions and continued interest in Airgain. We are encouraged by our progress and look forward to updating you as we execute our priorities through the second half. We appreciate your time today. Operator, you may now conclude the call.

OperatorOperator

Thank you for joining us today for Airgain's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. You may now disconnect.

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