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NOMURA HOLDINGS INC (NMR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

24 segments

Prepared remarks

OperatorOperator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to today's Nomura Holdings Second Quarter Operating Results for Fiscal Year Ending March 2026 Conference Call. Please be reminded that today's conference call is being recorded at the request of the hosting company. Should you have any objections, you may disconnect at this point in time. Please note that this telephone conference contains certain forward-looking statements and other projected results, which involve known and unknown risks, delays, uncertainties and other factors not under the company's control, which may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from the results, performance or other expectations implied by these projections. Such factors include economic and market conditions, political events and investor sentiments, liquidity of secondary markets, level and volatility of interest rates, currency exchange rates, security valuations, competitive conditions and size, number and timing of transactions. With that, we'd like to begin the conference. Mr. Hiroyuki Moriuchi, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Thank you very much. This is Moriuchi, CFO. I will now give you an overview of our financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026. Please turn to Page 2. Group-wide net revenue came in at JPY 515.5 billion, down 2% from last quarter. Income before income taxes fell 15% to JPY 136.6 billion, while net income was JPY 92.1 billion, down 12%. Excluding gains from the sale of real estate recorded in the previous quarter, net revenue was up 10% and net income was up 40%, reflecting steady growth. Earnings per share for the quarter were JPY 30.49 and return on equity was 10.6%, reaching the quantitative target for 2030 of 8% to 10% or more for the sixth consecutive quarter. In addition, income before income taxes in the 3 international regions rose 63% to JPY 44.9 billion, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of profitability. For all 4 divisions in total, income before income taxes rose 25% to JPY 132.6 billion.

In Wealth Management, the balance of recurring revenue assets and recurring revenue saw a net inflow for the 14th consecutive quarter, reaching an all-time high. And in Investment Management, assets under management also reached an all-time high on a 10th consecutive quarter of net inflows. Revenues and profits rose in both divisions. In Wholesale, the overall trend of growth in both revenue and profits strengthened further with net revenue in Equities reaching a record high in Global Markets and momentum remains strong in Investment Banking, too. The Banking division established in April also performed well. Before we go into details for each business, let us first take a look at the performance in the first half of the fiscal year. Please turn to Page 3. As shown on the bottom left, income before income taxes rose 26% year-on-year to JPY 296.9 billion. Net income rose 18% to JPY 196.6 billion, and earnings per share came in at JPY 64.53.

Return on equity rose to 11.3% as medium- to long-term initiatives steadily bore fruit. In addition, group revenue rose by 11% and profits benefited from cost controls and operating leverage with a cost coverage ratio of 71%. Please see the bottom right for a breakdown of income before income taxes. Income before income taxes at the 4 main divisions rose 11% to JPY 238.4 billion. Growth in recurring business revenue in Wealth Management and Investment Management helped to stabilize overall performance and Wholesale continued its self-sustained growth based on the principle of self-funding, enabling income before income taxes to rise substantially, thereby driving overall performance. Banking got off to a good start and has made progress with preparations for the introduction of a deposit sweep service next fiscal year. In view of this performance, for the period ended September 2025, we expect to pay a dividend of JPY 27 per share.

This works out at a dividend payout ratio of 40.3%. Please turn to Page 4. This time, we have added this slide to our presentation. We calculate stable revenues as the sum of recurring revenue at Wealth Management, business revenue at Investment Management and revenue at Banking. Steady growth in recurring assets in both Wealth Management and Investment Management, shown on the left, has resulted in strong growth in stable revenues, as shown in the graph on the right. And Banking has been steadily increasing its recurring business, including loans outstanding and trust balance, thereby expanding its foundation for growth. Now we will look at the second quarter results for each division. Please turn to Page 7. All percentages discussed from now on are based on a quarter-on-quarter comparison. Wealth Management net revenue increased 10% to JPY 116.5 billion, and income before income taxes grew 17% to JPY 45.5 billion.

Income before income taxes was the highest in about 10 years since the quarter ended June 2015. Recurring revenue and the balance of recurring revenue assets both reached record highs as recurring revenue assets saw a net inflow for the 14th consecutive quarter. As major equity markets rose to fresh highs during the quarter, client activity increased and flow revenue registered strong growth. Meanwhile, the pretax profit margin reached a high level of 39%, buoyed by ongoing cost controls. The recurring revenue cost coverage ratio for the last 4 quarters came to 70%, leading additional stability to the division's performance. Please turn to Page 8, where you can see an update on total sales by product. Total sales declined around JPY 300 billion to JPY 6.4 trillion, but this was owing to a tender offer in excess of JPY 1 trillion during the previous quarter. As for recurring revenue assets, sales of investment trusts and discretionary investments grew steadily, supported by continued strong demand for long-term investment diversification.

Regarding insurance, sales have continued at a high level, reflecting the relatively high U.S. interest rate environment. Next, let's take a look at the KPIs on Page 9. On the top left, you can see that recurring revenue assets saw a net inflow of JPY 289.5 billion. As major markets reached new highs, net inflows remained at a high level despite increased selling pressure from portfolio adjustments as our efforts to expand the recurring business proved successful, taking us to the next stage. Meanwhile, as shown on the top right, recurring revenue assets totaled JPY 26.2 trillion at the end of September and recurring revenue exceeded JPY 50 billion for the first time in our quarterly results, owing to a contribution from investment fees, which are collected on a half-yearly basis in the second quarter. As shown on the bottom right, the number of workplace services rose steadily to exceed 4 million.

Next, let's take a look at Investment Management. Please turn to Page 10. Net revenue came to JPY 60.8 billion, up 20%. Income before income taxes amounted to JPY 30.7 billion, up 43%. Stable business revenue has been growing steadily. In addition to favorable market factors, 10 straight quarters of net inflows resulted in assets under management topping JPY 100 trillion and asset management fees reaching a new high. Investment gain loss came to JPY 16.8 billion, rising sharply by 69%. This reflects not only a large increase in investment gain loss related to American Century Investments but also profits recorded at private equity investment firm Nomura Capital Partners on the sale of shares held in Orion Breweries, which publicly listed. Let's now turn to Page 11 and examine our asset management business, which is the key source of business revenue for the division. The graph on the upper left shows that assets under management reached JPY 101.2 trillion at the end of September.

As shown on the bottom left, net inflows amounted to JPY 498 billion. Net inflows to the investment trust business totaled around JPY 525 billion and net outflows from the investment advisory and international businesses were around JPY 26 billion. Net inflows in the investment trust business were achieved despite share price increases in the major markets, triggering profit-taking sales, pushing up funds kept in reserve in MRFs. But even excluding MRFs, funds flowed into Japan equity ETFs, private assets and balanced funds. The investment advisory and international businesses saw net outflows owing to reshuffling of investments by Japanese investors and outflows from Asian equities, which outweighed inflows to U.S. high-yield bonds and UCITS investment funds. As shown in the graph at the bottom right, alternative assets under management rose to a new high of JPY 2.9 trillion. This performance is the result of solid net inflows and not solely owing to market factors.

Next, Wholesale Division. Please go to Page 12. Net revenue came to JPY 279.2 billion, up 7% as shown at the bottom left of the slide. Global Markets net revenue was up 6% and Investment Banking net revenue was up 15%. Meanwhile, stringent cost management resulted in division expenses only rising 3%. As a result, the cost-income ratio improved to 81% and income before income taxes rose 27% to JPY 53.1 billion. Please turn to Page 13 for an update on each business line. Net revenue in Global Markets business rose 6% to JPY 235.7 billion. Fixed income revenue was JPY 121.9 billion, in line with the previous quarter. Let's look at the product breakdown. In macro products, rates revenues were down quarter-on-quarter in EMEA. FX/EM revenues in AEJ were also down. In spread products, credit revenue growth in Japan and AEJ was attained by capturing client flows and securitized products revenue growth was supported in the Americas by the prevailing direction of the interest rate environment.

As a result, higher revenue from spread products offset lower revenues from macro products. Equities revenue rose 16% to a new high of JPY 113.8 billion. In equity products, revenues grew on higher client activity in Japan and AEJ, supporting a strong performance in the derivative business and the Americas business remained favorable. Execution services sustained strong revenue from the previous quarter. Please turn to Page 14. Investment Banking net revenue rose 15% to JPY 43.5 billion. Corporate action in Japan remained consistently strong, and the international business also contributed to revenue growth. By product, in advisory, momentum remained strong in Japan with multiple transactions involving financial sponsors and moves to take companies private. The international business also made a contribution with M&A deals related to renewable energy and digital infrastructure, primarily in EMEA.

Advisory continued to rank top in the Japan-related M&A league table for January through September and ranked 15th in the global M&A league table, demonstrating its global presence. In financing and solutions, revenue rose in DCM on continued solid performance in Japan and multiple international transactions, primarily in EMEA as well as ALF deals, particularly in the Americas. Now let's look at Banking. Please turn to Page 15. In Banking, net revenue came to JPY 12.9 billion, flat from the previous quarter. Income before income taxes fell 12% to JPY 3.2 billion. KPIs such as loans outstanding and investment trust balance remained at a high level and revenue from the lending business and trust agent business held firm. Meanwhile, higher costs pushed down profit as an upgrade to the core banking system completed at Nomura Trust and Banking in May 2025 resulted in the associated depreciation being fully booked this quarter.

Preparations for the deposit sweep service scheduled for introduction in FY 2026, 27 are progressing as planned. Now I will explain noninterest expenses. Please turn to Page 16. Group-wide expenses came to JPY 378.8 billion, a 4% increase from the previous quarter. Compensation and benefits totaled JPY 195.1 billion, rising 5%, reflecting an increase in performance-linked bonus provisions. Commissions and floor brokerage fees came to JPY 47.2 billion, up 5%. The increase was driven by a heavier volume of transactions. Other expenses came to JPY 52.8 billion, which includes JPY 3.1 billion related to acquisition and integration of the U.S. asset management business of Macquarie Group as well as the expense of paying compensation for losses arising from fraudulent trades in clients' accounts due to phishing scams. I will comment in more detail on how the phishing scams affected our profits this past quarter at the end of today's presentation.

Lastly, we take a look at the financial position, Page 17. In the table on the bottom left, you can see that Tier 1 capital at the end of September came to approximately JPY 3.6 trillion, up roughly JPY 170 billion since the end of June, while risk-weighted assets came to JPY 23.5 trillion, up roughly JPY 660 billion. The common equity Tier 1 ratio at the end of September accordingly came to 12.9%. This is within our target range of 11% to 14%. Our common equity Tier 1 ratio finished the quarter down from the 13.2% marked at the end of June, but this decrease reflected the accumulation of positions commensurate with revenue opportunities as well as the increase in the value of risk-weighted assets due to market factors. As we explained 3 months ago, the calculation method for regulatory capital ratios will change once the acquisition of Macquarie Group's U.S. asset management business has been completed, and we currently expect this to depress the CET1 ratio by about 0.7 percentage points.

This concludes our overview of second quarter results. We would like to provide more detail on the issue of fraudulent trading in client assets resulting from phishing scams. In response to instances of fraudulent trading, we have raised the security level in stages and the number and scale of damages have come down greatly from April peak. At this point, we have been in direct contact with nearly all clients that have been affected by the attacks, and we are working through the process of paying compensation to them. There are times during the second quarter when the related damages increased again, but at present, the situation has settled down, owing to various steps undertaken to address the issue. In the second quarter, the negative impact on the profit came to JPY 4.8 billion. Although the number of damages fell sharply, fluctuations in share prices led to high costs in some cases to restore our clients' assets to their original condition.

In this regard, we are working to avoid market volatility risk to the greatest extent possible. On October 18, we introduced a passkey authentication system that is recognized as an effective means of thwarting phishing attempts, and we are strengthening measures to eliminate such damages. Looking ahead, we expect that the impact of phishing scams will be much smaller than it has been up through the second quarter, judging from the current state of damages. Our swift action to implement high-quality security countermeasures does more than just limit the damages suffered by our clients. It enhances the security and convenience of the financial services we provide. Our plan is to be proactive in assembling effective account security measures in our role as an industry leader and thereby reinforce our brand as the most trusted partner for our clients. I would like to close with some final remarks.

During the quarter just finished, stock indices in Japan and other major economies rose steeply amid lessened uncertainty over the trajectory of U.S. interest rates and widespread interest in AI-related stocks and other high-tech stocks. Those conditions helped us record another quarter of strong earnings as we expanded our stable source of revenue and successfully monetized robust client flows. EPS in the second quarter came to JPY 30.49 and ROE came to 10.6%. For 6 quarters in a row, we have attained a quantitative target for 2030 announced last year of consistently achieving ROE of 8% to 10% or more. In addition, ROE for the first half of the fiscal year was 11.3%. As mentioned at the beginning of this presentation, we have seen solid growth in our key sources of stable revenue, including recurring revenue in Wealth Management, business revenue in Investment Management and net revenue in Banking.

This has added further to the stability of our company-wide performance. Wholesale as well as steadily achieving independently sustainable growth under the self-funding approach. Revenues and profits in the division have both been increasing in the continuation of last year's trend and overseas business, which has long presented a challenge, has gained ground in making a steady profit contribution. Let me briefly touch on the situation in October. In Wealth Management, net revenue thus far in October is well above the levels observed in the second quarter. We have seen continuous medium- to long-term growth in investment trust and discretionary investment and other such products and services premised on the idea of long-term diversified investment, and this trend has continued in October. The flow from savings to investment has become well established, and we have tangible sense that the client base for investment in marketable securities has broadened steadily.

We intend to continue playing our part to transform Japan into an asset management powerhouse by building relationship of trust with our clients and providing them with asset management services tailored to their needs. In Wholesale GM business, equity products have continued performing well. In Investment Banking, we expect the current high frequency of corporate actions to continue. In October thus far, the net revenue in Wholesale continues to be solid. Going forward, we aim to raise our profit baseline by taking on risks appropriate to market conditions, and we ask for your continued support.

Questions and answers

OperatorOperator

The first question comes from Bank of America Securities, Tsujino-san.

Natsumu TsujinoAnalyst

This is Tsujino. I have two questions. Firstly, I would like to discuss personnel expenses. As mentioned, in Q1, there were U.K. expenses which, according to accounting rules, tend to be high every year. Since you started at a low level, and considering the slight weakening of the yen, costs have increased somewhat. However, I feel that on a quarter-on-quarter basis, the rise in personnel expenses and benefits seems excessive. Even when considering wholesale revenue, it appears to have increased too much in my opinion. Could you provide more insight on this? My second point relates to the CET1 ratio, which remains within the target range. Following the Macquarie acquisition, it is expected to decrease slightly, having been around 12.5%, and you mentioned not being entirely comfortable with that level. Given the current strong market conditions, will there be any changes regarding buybacks this year compared to previous years? If possible, could you share any insights on this matter as well?

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Tsujino-san, this is Moriuchi. Regarding your first question about compensation and benefits, yes, the points you raised are all correct. And yes, let me add some color to that. Within the compensation and benefits, there's the bonus increase linked to our earnings. That is a big factor. And on top of that, there was some retirement bonus increase in Wholesale, for example. And that does tend to happen as part of our business. And in this quarter, the retirement payments were a little larger than usual. So that's my answer to your first question. And for the second question, regarding the CET1 ratio target, 12.9% is going to go down to 12.8%, but how we think about the buybacks this year? Well, as for buybacks and for shareholder return in general, we have committed to the market of 40% dividend or above and total payout ratio of 50% or above. And we plan to stick to that as we consider shareholder return. And we had the Macquarie closing, and the CET1 ratio is going to decline further from here. And within Wholesale at the moment, we are seeing some high-quality deals and opportunities, and those are increasing. So from an investment perspective and financial discipline perspective and shareholder return, we will keep those 3 factors in mind, and it's quite hard to balance those 3. But we will make sure to stick to our commitments. Thank you. I hope that answers your question.

OperatorOperator

The next person asking the question is SMBC Nikko Securities, Mr. Muraki.

Masao MurakiAnalyst

I'm Muraki from SMBC Nikko. I have two questions. The first is about the revenue from the markets department. Currently, the macro revenue appears weak, while credit and equity derivatives, specifically securitized products, are showing strength. Can you clarify how revenue is generated, particularly regarding the increase in credit risk RWA? Where are you assuming risk and what type of revenue is this generating? You mentioned there are quality deals available; what level of risk-taking are you anticipating in the third quarter? Could you elaborate on that? That's my first question regarding market revenue and risk-taking. My second question concerns the First Brands failure. Did this incident have any repercussions or lessons learned for you? Additionally, we often receive inquiries about private credit. Your balance sheet shows a trading book loan of JPY 1.9 trillion and, excluding Nomura Trust and Banking, about JPY 1.2 trillion in loans. What is the size of the securitization department or private credit-related business within this overall figure in the Americas? Can you provide some insight?

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Thank you for your questions. Regarding credit risk, in the first and second quarters, SPPC and equity derivatives performed very well, contributing solidly to our revenue in the credit trading business. Looking ahead to the third quarter, we have some interesting deals in the pipeline related to SPPC. In our credit business, including First Brands, we often receive inquiries about any abnormalities in the credit market. Internally, we have been discussing various high-profitability deals connected to SPPC. However, we must be cautious about concentration risk related to SPPC on our balance sheet. Therefore, we need to be selective in our deal-making, and we do not expect rapid growth in the SPPC portion of our total portfolio from its current level. Regarding the impact of First Brands and the lessons learned, the specific impact on our business or P&L has been minimal. While we did have some exposure, it is negligible.

This situation did not result in direct costs for us. In terms of broader implications, we conduct both periodic and non-periodic stress tests to assess the changing patterns of tail risk. Upon reviewing our existing portfolio, we can confirm that the risk is not significantly growing, particularly as the private credit portion within the SPPC business is relatively small. The SPPC business is comprised largely of mortgage structured lending and infrastructure, which make up a larger part of our portfolio. Therefore, while I cannot provide a specific figure, the impact of private credit on our balance sheet and P&L is currently minor.

Masao MurakiAnalyst

I want to shift focus from the earnings results and ask for your perspective on First Brands. Specifically, what risks are you monitoring? Are you concerned about simple credit risk, risks related to nonbank intermediaries, potential double collateral issues in some transactions, or the possibility of fraudulent transactions? What specific risks are you keeping an eye on?

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

It's not that because this incident happened, but regarding individual cases, credit, we need to perform due diligence closely to look at the creditworthiness of each case. And regarding the fraudulent case or scam, by all we can do is to conduct a thorough due diligence to screen for the fraudulent trading. Regarding the nonbank intermediaries, unlike commercial banks, we are a firm that's focused on the trading. So what we take is inventory as a counterparty. So how should I put it? Nonbank credit risks themselves are not taken greatly by us. The risk which I mentioned is in the sense that regarding individual transactions, we pay close attention to credit. And for example, for the specific individual cases, when we receive sizable deal to conduct, we are not a major firm. Our balance sheet size is limited. So to what extent do we allocate balance sheet to one transaction. So what is the level of concentration risk. So those are the items or matters that we closely evaluate as we make a decision, and that's what we will have to keep doing.

OperatorOperator

The next question is from Mr. Watanabe of Daiwa Securities.

Kazuki WatanabeAnalyst

This is Watanabe from Daiwa Securities. Two questions, please. First is regarding the October revenue environment. And in wholesale equity and IB is strong, which I understand. But for FIG, what are the trends you see in FIG? And compared to Q2, if you look at the Wholesale division revenue, is it above or higher or lower, please? Number two is the tax burden, Page 5. If we look at it year-on-year, the pretax income is increasing, but the net profit is down. And international pretax income size is larger, but the tax rate is going up. Why is that, please? Two questions.

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Watanabe-san, this is Moriuchi. Regarding your first question about fixed income trends, I can say that in Japan, fixed income is quite strong. In the first half, the ultra-long-term domain faced some difficulties, including position taking, but we are starting to see a normalization in that area. The market is very active, and revenues are improving accordingly. For the international scene, we're observing a similar trend to the first half, and moving forward, depending on the rate environment, there could be potential for growth. As fixed income improves, it tends to help normalize other businesses as well. Overall, we are seeing an increase in stable revenues, and that level is gradually improving. That's my first answer. Your second question pertains to the slight increase in tax burden or cost. I apologize for not being able to delve into the details, as there are many technical issues involved. What I can say is I'm unable to go into the technical specifics at this time.

Kazuki WatanabeAnalyst

Just to check on the first point, in October, Wholesale division revenue compared to Q2, is it above? Is it higher?

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Well, overall, it is strong, but I would say it's about the same level. It's still only been 3 or 4 weeks. So we'll see where things go. It's still a bit early to say. But just for the first 3 weeks, I would say it's about the same level.

OperatorOperator

The next question comes from JPMorgan Securities, Sato-san.

Koki SatoAnalyst

I am Sato from JPMorgan Securities. I have 2 questions. First question, sorry for dwelling on this, but Wholesale, Equities or especially equity product business. So the revenue has reached the record high level. But firstly, in the short term, in the first quarter, Americas derivative did well, if I recall. But this time, looking at the material, Japan, AEJ had a significant increase in revenue. Anyways, derivative seems to be the strong area. But if it is fine with you over the several quarters in each region, what has been the trend of movement of each business line over the last several quarters? And such trend, is it sustainable over the next several quarters in the future? Can you give me some sense? My second question is about risk asset. The target range is set at 11% to 14%. And in this situation, now after the closing of Macquarie acquisition, it will come to around 12%, but the CET1 ratio, CET, if it's JPY 3 trillion, if core equity, then if it's 11%, then it's going to be JPY 27 trillion. Then for the time being, is that going to be the allowable ceiling of risks you can take? Can I have that sense? So I'd like to ask you to elaborate on the capacity of risk-taking.

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Thank you for your questions, Sato-san. To address your first question regarding equities performance by region and the sustainability of that performance, I may not have provided specific details in the material for the U.S., but during the first quarter, the Americas contributed significantly to our revenue, and that strength is maintaining. This wasn’t explicitly stated, but for Asia and Japan, the second quarter results improved compared to the first quarter on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Overall, equities in AEJ, Japan, and the U.S. performed very well. As for how long this strength can be sustained, we anticipate that if equities remain strong, we will eventually see some normalization, which is a topic of internal discussion. It’s important to note that we have geographical diversification in Japan, the U.S., and Asia, and within equities, we offer a wide range of products. Over the past few years, we have made efforts to diversify and expand our equity product range, which helps us to be more resilient to downside risks.

As equities strengthen, we expect normalization to occur, but in such a context, resources in the fixed income category, which we have purposefully reduced, could increase for macro and other fixed income opportunities. Therefore, I encourage you to consider the entire portfolio. Regarding your second question about the target range of 11% to 14%, following the Macquarie acquisition, the ratio is around 12%. You inquired about our future capacity for risk-taking, a valid point. In Wholesale, they are closely adhering to a self-funding model as they expand their operations, driving self-sustaining growth. If Wholesale continues to perform well in the third and fourth quarters, the revenue and profit it generates will increase our capital and RWA headroom. For areas outside of Wholesale, we need to evaluate the necessity for capital in the near term. If opportunities for M&A or inorganic growth arise, our resources may grow significantly.

However, this would happen soon after the Macquarie transaction. In finance, we prefer to take a conservative approach, ensuring we maintain a balanced perspective. I hope this answers your questions.

OperatorOperator

The next question is from Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities, Nagasaka-san.

Mia NagasakaAnalyst

This is Nagasaka. I have two questions. On Slide 14, regarding Investment Banking, how do you view the pipeline for the second half of this year and next year? In Q2, we saw strong performance in Japan and an international recovery. You mentioned that corporate actions will remain robust, but what are your thoughts on advisory and finance solutions? Could you provide comments on those products? My second question pertains to the return on equity. In Q2, you reported a ROE of 10.6% for the full year, which includes some one-off items, yet it still stands at 10.6%. What would you say is the base ROE that can be achieved? I suspect it has increased quite a bit. Regarding your 2030 target of 8% to 10% or higher, will you consider revising the target profit level at this time? What are your thoughts on the potential for upside or downside as CFO?

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Thank you for your questions. This is Moriuchi. Regarding your first question about the pipeline by product, there are several cross-border and large opportunities in advisory in Japan, and the pipeline is growing. For international, the situation varies by region, but we have made several announcements regarding deals. Additionally, there are some deals in the second half that we haven't announced yet, which are also developing. The advisory pipeline is looking good. For ECM, the fee pool is stabilizing and shrinking somewhat, but there's a slight increase in the reduction of cross-shareholdings. Typically, corporate actions are more concentrated in the second half compared to the first half, so we plan to pursue those opportunities. DCM is performing well, and while we anticipate that rates will rise, we expect consistent deal flow. Advisory is very strong, and we expect DCM to maintain its level.

Although ECM is somewhat weaker than usual, we foresee a recovery. Regarding your second question about ROE, in Q1 and Q2, we have achieved over 10% ROE. You asked if we will adjust this level, and indeed, our current earnings indicate that our base earnings power is slowly improving due to portfolio and operational reforms across our divisions. We receive many inquiries about revising our ROE, and while we are discussing this internally, we must consider our position in the economic cycle. Regardless of the cycle, we aim for our wholesale products to balance each other to maintain overall revenue. If we do face a slowdown, we aim to sustain at least 8%, which is the lower limit of our target range of 8% to 10%. We are currently focused on enhancing our earnings capability. I hope this answers your question.

OperatorOperator

As there are no more questions, we would like to conclude the question-and-answer session. Now we would like to make a closing address by Nomura Holdings.

Hiroyuki MoriuchiCFO

Thank you. This is Moriuchi again. Thank you very much for attending the call despite your tight schedule. So we were able to show you the good results. And we still have third quarter and the fourth quarter remaining, so we will stay focused so that we can deliver results so that we can do so, the management members will keep making efforts. Thank you very much for your continued support. Thank you.

OperatorOperator

Thank you for taking your time, and that concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your lines.

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